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October 06, 2004
DeterrenceEjectejecteject.com has the must-read post of the day, in two parts. But how do we deter people who want to die? How do we deter people who need only the skill and the means to push a button on a briefcase, or open a box cutter and be prepared to do bloody work with it? How do we deter the assassin lost in the crowd at the Superbowl? How do we deter enemies who are so dispersed, so ethereal and fragmentary, that hostile governments can arm and shelter them knowing full well that we will not retaliate with a nuclear attack against millions of genuine innocents in Cairo, or Tehran, or Riyadh? I think others, like Steven den Beste, have tried to make this point. There are two clocks ticking. One clock is ticking down the time until an Islamist, pro-terrorist government gets the atomic bomb. The other clock is ticking down the time until this period of homicidal madness passes from the Muslim world. The first clock is considerably closer to zero than the second. Senator Kerry is wrong. Al Qaeda is not our enemy-- not in the sense of being our only enemy. Al Qaeda is just the most malevolent outgrowth of the homicidal mania metastisizing throughout the Islamic world. I don't want to be alarmist, but sometimes tough questions have to be faced. Politicians don't like talking about them, but then politicians don't like talking about much of anything. What would we do if we get nuked? Continue to "hunt down the terrorists" who nuked us? At what point does the the desire to survive outweight the desire to be merciful and sparing in the use of force? Liberals like to talk about "the underlying causes" for Islamist hatred of America. Well, whether Bush will ultimately turn out right or wrong -- and I admit, the outcome is in doubt at this point -- he does seem to have a theory as to how to reverse those "underlying causes." He wants to spread democracy in the Middle East, toppling dictators by force if necessary, to speed along the hoped-for conversion of the Islamic world to freedom, democracy, and, most importantly, normalcy as regards the non-support of mass-murderers. What is John Kerry offering? A kind word, a smile, and just hoping that things turn out all right? That's not enough for me, personally. Thanks to Random Birkel for the tip. posted by Ace at 03:57 PM
CommentsBack to the old joke: You can get further with a kind word and a sword than with just a kind word. Reason and persuasion not backed by the willingness to use force is posturing, and nothing more. If Kerry won't recognize that, he's a worse fool than Carter. Was it possible to really say that? Wow. Posted by: Dianna on October 6, 2004 04:17 PM
Well, it is one thing to hope for no need to have to retaliate with WMD on Muslims using WMD, but another to establish deterrance. That to me is the weak point in Bill's essay. To effectively deter, you have to communicate your retaliatory intent to your enemies. The Soviets could have incinerated us with unstoppable nuke missiles, but they didn't. Because they knew that we would with certainty irradiate their children and blast their warm little puppies away in mushroom clouds. Innocence would be no defense if only 6 Politburo people out of 240 million Soviets had any part in the decision. All the talk in fighting Islamics is of avoiding collatoral damage, harming a single brick on any Mosque, ever violating a terrorists civil liberties, and above all avoid killing the families of Islamics that want to kill us - because that will make them only want to double extra special kill us. If infidel cities are nuked or millions lost to a biological agent - all that "compassionate" thinking goes out the window. Because the attack on us definitively ignites the clash of civilizations, NOT our response. So we do need to communicate strategic deterrance. If New York, Beijing, or Frankfurt goes...... We fry the appropriate country most responsible and kill millions of innocent Islami little girls and cute goats. If whole Islamic world rises in gibbering frothing at the mouth rage, and use WMD on us again.... Mecca and Medina are nuked. What is left of Islamic nations are isolated as lepers. All Muslims are purged from "infidel nations". If that then sends the Islamics into bug-eyed paroxisms of seething murderous rage and a universal call for total global Jihad to kill all infidels on the planet - Fine - We can destroy the infrastructure and economy of every Muslim nation in half an hour if we (US, China, or Russia) chose to. Screw 'em, if need be. If they don't listen to warnings of our strategic deterrance. Muslims Carthage awaits - if they are not going to back off from their insanity.
Posted by: Cedarford on October 6, 2004 04:33 PM
The great and unavoidable failing of all our achievements in the science of "conflict studies" is that, being economically based, it's unable to cope with the phenomenon of the villain who's willing to pay an infinite price -- his own death and the destruction of all that he loves -- to do you harm. There is no way to bargain with or deter such a creature. Which is why we have to locate, close with, and destroy him before he can get a shot off. Unfortunately, that might involve incinerating the entire Muslim world. That's something any Muslims whose love of life exceeds their hatred of "infidels" should think about really, really hard. Posted by: Francis W. Porretto on October 6, 2004 04:41 PM
Having re-read the essay, I have a quote to add, from Terry Pratchett: Hi! I'm the inner baby-sitter! Posted by: Dianna on October 6, 2004 05:18 PM
Good post and comments. It's depressing to think that it will take another attack on us, and maybe more than one, before anyone in a leadership position in the U.S. will even broach the subject of either the possibility of a problem within the religion itself, or that "moderates" in those parts of the world have a life or death OBLIGATION to root out and help destroy the "extremists." Until then, we'll hear about "terror" and "hate" as the enemy, and the need to spread democracy. Let's hope we can all stay safe long enough for the latter strategy to work. Posted by: joe on October 6, 2004 05:29 PM
It's a shame that Muslim leaders can't get their S**t together and actively combat these muslim extreemists and terrorists. Posted by: Polish Falcon on October 6, 2004 05:47 PM
I've played a game with people I know who are not really paying attention. I ask them to imagine a good-sized A-bomb goes off in New York City, and then Al Jazera broadcasts a tape of a Muslim militant demanding a total US surrender. A week later, Chicago goes, and the tape is repeated. The US Government capitulates to a Shiite cleric a week later, and we watch helplessly as Islamists flood the country. They always guffaw, and say I'm nuts. I suggest they go to a library and read newspapers from August 2 and August 9, 1945. If it could happen then, it could happen now. Especially now, since we wouldn't have a clue of where to retaliate even if we could. It is NOT a farfetched scenario. Posted by: Deona on October 6, 2004 05:57 PM
Deona - long before that, the Trident and Typhoon missile tubes will start emptying on Camel Land. The Japs thought we had plenty of Bombs, they had none. The Muslims outside Pakistan have none. If the terrorists get one or two, Islam faces 9,000 American warheads & 10,000 American ones. 250-300 in the hands of the Zionists, India, UK and France, each. Maybe 800 Chicom bombs. It is an entirely different situation than with Japan. Of course some people currently believe we can't ever use nukes on Islamoids after our major cities are nuked because women Islamoids and baby Islamoids will die in droves.. trust me, no problem hitting the launch button... And that bit about them loving death more than life...??? Islamoids have generally shown cowardice on the battlefield unless they have overwhelming numbers, or their fighting is limited to sneaky assymetric stuff. Posted by: Cedarford on October 6, 2004 07:30 PM
How do we deter them? Two words: pig blood. Posted by: Sailor Kenshin on October 6, 2004 08:15 PM
With Bush, it's playing Russian Roulette with a revolver; with Kerry, it's playing with a .45 Auto. Posted by: Sharpshooter on October 6, 2004 09:23 PM
As said elsewhere, if they wish to commmit suicide, we can oblige them. And taking cover behind innocents puts the onus on them, not us. Posted by: Sharpshooter on October 6, 2004 09:27 PM
Ok, so what we have here is an effective solution to Russia's terrorist problem. They sneak a coupla nukes in here set 'em off, we shoot all of ours all over Islam, and the world is none the wiser, and poof! no more islamists. Yeah, right! I'd like to stand up, beat my chest, and plan to nuke the asymmetric bastards if they nuke us. But to make sure we get all of them, we would simply make the Earth uninhabitable. Whoopee. Maybe we ought to make a bunch of suitcase bombs (the best in the world), and make this war symmetrical again. We use their techniques, but with bigger boomers. Even that makes more sense than sitting back, not paying attention, and saying "Oh, hell, if they come after us, we'll just wipe them off the face of the earth." Whoever says that is not part of the solution, but is part of the problem. Posted by: Deona on October 6, 2004 10:00 PM
There is another solution: before Iran can get a nuclear weapon - we use EMP bombs to turn off all of the lights in Iran. This doesn't sound like much but it is really devastating. Basically we take electricity away from them and put the country into the 18th century. Soon, no cars - how do you pump gas without electricity, do you use steam engines on the pipelines? No internet, no Al Jazeera, no TV no radio, no computers, no building nukes without electricity, no waste treatment plants, no running water - the populace has to disperse - 18th century cities can only be so large since there is no practical way to feed them. No electrical printing presses. We also pulse their military - no missile threat - the circuitry is all fried. They try to rebuild - but we just pop their rebuilt generators as soon as they come on line. Iran disappears as a threat Use this as an abject lesson to the rest of the Islamic world - repeat until they all understand. Posted by: Veteran330 on October 6, 2004 10:59 PM
*That's* why I'm so annoyed by this whole "no WMD stockpiles" meme. We got the son-of-a-bitch *before* he got WMDs: *good*, that's the *right* way to do it. We should not wait until he's got them and *then* strike. If there *had been* WMD stockpiles, *that* would have been a sign of Bush misfeasance for waiting so long. As it was, it was a triumph. ... begging to be repeated in Iran, I may add, and too late to be repeated in North Korea, thanks to trusting Mr. Clinton. Posted by: R. Alazar on October 6, 2004 11:33 PM
I see a minor problem with that "strategy"--it "elevates" them immensely...from their 7th century mindset...by about 1100 years... There are those who recognise the above observations as a "need" for a NEW Spanish Inquisiton with a different target audience--the problem IS the MUSLIM "religion". Not meaning to trivialize the problem, bring us home..before turning this part of the world into a nuclear scab on the world's ass crack... "...and your little dog, too, missy!" Posted by: Ignore the Man beind the Curtain on October 7, 2004 12:12 AM
Ace-- Excellent post. I elaborate more on what you and Eject said on my site http://garfieldridge.blogspot.com/2004/10/deterring-radical-islam.html The gist: We need to make this explicit, and we need to do it *before* the bomb goes off. As part of the larger strategy in the war on terror and radical Islam, this is the "last gamble of Kings." Al Qaeda may want the world to burn, but not every Arab citizen wants their nations to go along with them. We must make that clear now. V/R, Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on October 7, 2004 12:41 AM
Hey Cedarford-- Sorry pal, I didn't see your comment before I posted mine (or made my post on my site). But I think we agree. Cheers, Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on October 7, 2004 01:37 AM
Bill Whittle's essay was quite good. We will always have terrorists willing to die for their jihad. We need to fight to the death on all corners of the globe to ensure that they never get their hands on WMD or the technology to create same. I doubt that is possible, but it is certainly a worthy goal. Waving the carrot will only give them the time to calculate our demise. Posted by: jason on October 7, 2004 03:31 AM
Dave at Garfield Ridge: "-- We need to implement a 'nuclear corollary' to the Bush Doctrine: any nuclear attack on the United States by an Islamic terrorist group receiving support-- EVER-- from a nation-state will result in a nuclear response onto that nation-state."
Yesterday's report on WMD shows how reliable our spooks are -- the chances are at least even we'll launch an attack on the wrong guys. For years, it's seemed to me that when members of a certain ethnic or religious group start causing trouble, then political correctness be damned -- appropriate pressures ought to be brought on the group to clean up its own compadres, or continue to face the consequences, as a group. If innocent muslims felt the pain when Islamic maniacs strike the West, maybe they'd solve the problem by internal means. There's a concept there, somewhere, but I've never been able to frame it quite right. Posted by: Deona on October 7, 2004 08:39 AM
Dave at Garfield Ridge has it right. We have to have a stated deterrence policy. If you are a Muslim nation that funds the terrorists that end up nuking Moscow, if you are the nation that let them "borrow" a tad of your plutonium, even if you weren't in on the actual attack - Russia nukes you. Conversly, America nukes you if the terrorists you help hit Washington DC. Deona That's still not realistic. These guys aren't directly related to any nation-state. When New York blows, how in hell do we know for sure which "nation-state" to associate the vaporized terrorist with? We can't be firing off nuclear shotguns. We were ready to blow up the Soviet Union if they hit us. Even though we knew an attack would be the decision of 6 men in the Politburo and none of the other 240 million in the Soviet Union would have any effective say or responsibility in it. I would imagine that we would not be willing to listen to Sweden saying the proper response to having 1 million Americans nuked is to "find the specific criminal parties" and "bring them to justice" in the Almighty UN's International Criminal Court - where after 2-3 years - a stiff jail sentence was meted out(jailtime done with appropriate halal culinary sensitivities and a full-time Mullah hired to spritually salve them with 5X prayers for infidel deaths, a day)
Posted by: Cedarford on October 7, 2004 09:44 AM
Deona-- I sympathize with your point, but there are two elements at work here: -- Intelligence may not matter. I mean, if you're Al Qaeda, and you nuke NYC, you're liable to brag about it, eh? The intelligence mission is made easier when you have suspects. -- Intel may be irrelevant. This is a preemptive policy. . . I'm a little less worried about the day after than the day before. By making it clear that, "Hey, we may be a little bit crazy if we get nuked," it may do a bit to put the fear of Allah into these regimes. Is it perfect? No. Is it helpful? Well, I'm sure there'd be plenty of protests from the "give peace a chance" crowd, but we're not talking about *preemptively* nuking people here. It's a savage policy to be sure, but it's insurance on the cheap (I mean, we already have the nukes lying around; even if they sit in silos and bunkers, we might as well get some use out of them in the preseason). Cheers, Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on October 7, 2004 06:10 PM
Good stuff, Ace. I ran with one of your points, at http://sfsays.blogspot.com/ While the idea of declaring a nuclear retaliatory policy is probably good, I agree with the commenters who wonder how you can ever be absolutely *sure* which terrorist group was responsible. A second valid objection (to actually retaliating, not to announcing the policy) is killing lots of folks who had nothing to do with an American city being nuked. Imagine if some extremists here managed to get hold of, say, anthrax, turned it loose in France, and the French government decided they'd retaliate against some U.S. city. I suspect most Americans would argue--correctly--that they shouldn't kill a few hundred thousand innocent Americans for the actions of a few nuts. Since retaliation obviously doesn't bring back our dead, is it possible that a better course is to calmly, methodically, over a couple of years, find out exactly who *was* responsible and take out only them? Which is, of course, pretty much what we're doing now. Posted by: sf on October 8, 2004 02:05 PM
Actually there is a military option which would solve the Islamist problem short of total destruction: Electromagnetic Pulse. Simply take electricity away from Iran, and they never develop nuclear weapons, or any other weapons of mass destruction.. No missiles, no tanks, nothing but steam power. No computers, no Internet, no radio - nothing that uses electricity. Most importantly no news reports coming out of the country. Reduced to late 18th century status they are no threat to anyone else. If the Islamists want to live in the 13th century the proper thing to do is put them there. This won't directly kill anyone, but it will remove the country as a threat. Posted by: on January 25, 2005 08:42 PM
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Mayor Karen is so stung by fan-made AI ads that she's resorting to the shitlibs' go-to demand for an end to criticism -- these ads are "violent" and "hateful" and making me feel unsafe because one video showed AI cartoons throwing tomatoes at me and the tomatoes looked like blood when they squished
This was her actual complaint. The mushed-up tomato looked like blood so it's a death threat and these violent attacks on me must stop. What is dis bitch, CNN?
Few people remember that Norm MacDonald began his career as a ventriloquist
MacDonald's old partner Adam Egot revealed that MacDonald repurposed a bit with one of his ventriloquist dolls -- that he was a "bad guy" who "didn't believe the Holocaust happened" -- for the Norm MacDonald show, in which he claimed Egot didn't believe in the Holocaust. Funniest thing I've read about the Virginia mess. Back when they were hustling the referendum through the assembly both Senators, Warner and Kaine, advised them to go slow and play by the rules. Louise Lucas said she respected them but didn't need advice from the "cuck chair" in the corner. The gerrymandering was overturned and Louise is heading for the big house. Edward G. Robinson voice "where's your cuck now?" I posted his post on twitter and it's gotten 25K views so far. Thanks, Smell the Glove Chris
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click That Sums Up the Democrat Communist Party Today
Something is wrong as I hold you near Somebody else holds your heart, yeah You turn to me with your icy tears And then it's raining, feels like it's raining
"It's f**king f**ked."
-- reportedly a genuine comment offered by a "senior Labour source" Correction: I wrote that Labour is losing 88% (now 87%) of the seats it is "defending." I think that's wrong. The right way to say it is the seats they are contesting -- that is, they don't necessarily already hold these seats, but they have put up a candidate to run for the seat. It's still very bad but not as bad as losing 87% of the seats they already held. Basil the Great
"The end of the two party system in the UK" as first the Fake Conservatives and now Labour chooses political suicide rather than simply STOPPING THE INVASION
Incidentally, the only reason this didn't already happen in the US is because of the Very Bad Orange Man (who is right on 85% of all policy calls and extremely, existentially right on 15% of them)
No political party that is NOT also a doomsday religious cult would EVER choose a cataclysmic loss -- and possible extinction as a party -- to support a toxically unpopular favoritism of NON-CITIZEN ILLEGAL MIGRANTS over actual citizen voters.
Only a cult does this.
Now they've lost 84%.
Annunziata Rees-Mogg Update: They've now lost 88% of the seats they're defending. As I mentioned earlier, I think I heard that London will not bail them out, as many of those Labour seats will probably flip to "Muslim Independent" or Green. Detroit's 5am vote will not save them.
Yup, Labour is losing 80% of its seats...
The British Patriot Wow, up to 1700-2100 seats. It's not incredible that this is happening. It's incredible that the Davos crowd is so absolutely determined to privilege Muslim "migrants" over the actual native population who elects them, no matter how loudly the natives scream that they want to be prioritized, that they will gladly self-extinguish as a party rather than simply representing the interests of their own voters. Astonishing. Remember, when they call other people "cultists" -- they are the ones so imprisoned in their social reinforcement and discipline bubbles that they will choose political death rather than dare upset the Karen Enforcement Officers of their cult. Update: Now they've lost 83% of the seats they were defending. (((Dan Hodges))) Nick Lowles
STARMERGEDDON: In early returns, Reform gains 135 seats, Labour loses 90, the Fake Conservatives lose 36 (and I didn't even know they could fall any further), the Lib Dems lose 4, and the Greens gain 6. Note that the only other party gaining seats is the Greens and they're only gaining a handful of seats.
Update: Reform now up 145, Labour down 98. Labour projected to lose Wales -- where they've ruled for 27 years. Fulton County Georgia just discovered 400 boxes of ballots for Labour Update: REF +156, LAB -107, CON -45 Brutal: In four out of five council seats where Labour is defending, they've lost. 80%. I'm sure it's not this simple, but Reform is straight taking Labour's and the "Conservatives'" seats. They've lost almost exactly what Reform gained. If understand this right (and warning, I probably don't), all of London's council seats are up for election, and Labour might lose hugely there, as their old voters abandon them for Reform, Muslim Indenpendents, and the Greens. REF +190, LAB -134, CON -56.
Updates on the Labour collapse in council elections -- which wags are calling #Starmergeddon -- from Beege Welborne. There are about 5000 seats up for grabs, Labour is expected to lose 1,800, Reform will probably gain 1,580, up from... zero. So this would be more than that.
People claim that while Labour has adopted the Sharia Agenda to appeal to the million Muslims it allowed to migrate to the country, those voters are ditching Labour to vote for the Muslim Independent Party or the Greens. Delicious. This shadenfreude is going straight to my thighs. Oh, and if Starmer loses about as badly as expected, Labour will toss him out of a window Braveheart style and replace him. He will announce he is resigning to spend more time with his Gay Ukrainian Male Prostitutes.
Media bias and senationalism are as old as, well, the media:
![]() That was written by Denny O'Neill and illustrated by, get this, Frank Miller. Editor to the Stars Jim Shooter was in charge at the time. I always thought the gag was original to the comic book, but in fact the "Threat or Menace" headline was a satirical joke about media bias and sensationalism for a long while. The Harvard Lampoon used it in a parody of Life magazine: "Flying Saucers: Threat or Menace?"
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