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June 23, 2004
Ask Not For Whom the Cowbell Tolls; It Tolls for John KerryThe booming economy is forcing Democrats to attempt to better balance their message between "specious claims" and "total fucking bullshit": ...Democrats are edging away from their charges that President Bush is presiding over a "jobless recovery," which has been a staple of their campaign rhetoric. That argument is giving way to the line of attack that working America is suffering a "middle-class squeeze." Certainly the new version of the economic debate is harder for Democrats to win. Voters are less likely to turn out an incumbent if they see the economy broadly improving, even if they still have some specific pocketbook complaints. The changed terrain increasingly has Bush advisers comparing their candidate to Bill Clinton, a politician they're usually loath to invoke. Mr. Clinton launched his 1996 re-election campaign amid doubts about the strength of the economy, but by that November, voters were widely persuaded a solid boom was under way. The Kerry strategy "is similar to what Bob Dole tried to do in 1996," says Bush campaign strategist Matthew Dowd, referring to Mr. Clinton's Republican challenger. "At first Dole thought he was going to run on the economy, but when it started turning strong, he switched his message to 'middle-class squeeze.' " By November, Mr. Dole was left to wonder on the stump, "where's the outrage?" as he pulled just 41% of the vote. ... The current reality is a mixed picture. Forecasters expect the economy to grow by 4.7% this year, according to a survey by Blue Chip Economic Indicators, the fastest pace since Ronald Reagan won re-election in a landslide in 1984. Employers have created 1.2 million jobs since August, and the unemployment rate is 5.6%, down from a peak during Mr. Bush's term, last year, of 6.3%. ... Yesterday, a statistical duel broke out between the two campaigns, with Bush aides releasing a two-page "policy memo" comparing the U.S. economy in 1996 and 2004, purporting to show that conditions were about as good as they were during Mr. Clinton's re-election bid. The list showed numbers like short-term job growth about comparable, while the Bush era registered more money spent at restaurants, per capita, and more passengers taking cruises. Four hours later, the Kerry campaign shot back with its own data page accusing their rivals of "misleading statistics" and slower wage growth and faster tuition growth under Mr. Bush than Mr. Clinton. A USAToday editorial, meanwhile, calls "shenanigans" on Kerry's "Middle-Class Misery Index": Kerry's downbeat economic talk may be inevitable for a candidate challenging an incumbent's record in the wake of a recession. But as the economy blooms, his index's credibility is wilting... By talking down the economy, Kerry may hope to pick up votes in economically struggling states where the November election may be decided. But in doing so, he risks sounding out of touch with millions of Americans who see signs of an improving economy — and want a president with a sunnier outlook. The recent death of former president Ronald Reagan recalls just how powerful an optimistic message can be. Exaggerating the nation's economic misery is not wise policy or politics. The nation is looking for an upbeat problem-solver, not a gloomy naysayer. And a tangible political upshot to all this is Kerry's frighteningly small lead over Bush in New Jersey, 46-40, despite Al Gore's 16 point margin in 2000. Furthermore 54% of New Jerseyans think the Iraq War was wrong. So why isn't Kerry doing better in New Jersey? Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that New Jersey is one of the states doing best under The Bush Boom. New Jersey could be a leading indicator of what the rest of the nation will be feeling come November. And that doesn't bode well for John Kerry. Here's a small factory-refurbished cowbell I was able to get at a discount price:
Update: This guy's worth reading, too: Forgive me while I leak information vital to our national security: The economy is kicking butt. I assume this must be closely guarded information because you have to go deep undercover to find it in The New York Times or The Washington Post. posted by Ace at 04:18 PM
CommentsFootball ain't never gonna be played the same way again, the way these people move the goalposts on a daily basis. Posted by: Brian B on June 23, 2004 04:49 PM
I think Kerry is thisclose to falling back on Al Gore-style class warfare. When all else fails, just run on the simple, "I'll take THEIR money away and give it to you" campaign. At least it's honest. Posted by: Scout on June 23, 2004 05:00 PM
Wish I still had the article, but NJ just raised taxes on "millionaires" (which they define as people earning more than $500,000/year - go figure). NJ now ranks as one of the highest taxing states. Also, despite the "shitty economy", they just upped their annual budget to the tune of approximately $13 BILLION. I'll go back and try to find that article, either way, maybe Jersey-ites are a getting sick of their Dem leadership. Posted by: fat kid on June 24, 2004 02:01 PM
Fat Kid, Thanks for the info. I read that stuff, too, but thanks for reminding me. McGreevey really is taxing until their eyeballs bleed. Posted by: Smitty on June 24, 2004 02:36 PM
And, by the way, I'll be adding you to my blogroll shortly. I just keep delaying it because I have a bunch of people I need to add, and it's really such a pain in the ass. Posted by: Smitty on June 24, 2004 02:47 PM
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| The Deplorable Gourmet A Horde-sourced Cookbook [All profits go to charity] Top Headlines
Polls close in Texas at 7pm local (8pm for the East Coast). Vote the RINO out.
Those of you who are longtime Not Watchers of Stephen Colbert will not enjoy this flashback of Colbert dancing with Chuck Schumer while wearing ostentatious covid masks
Rush Limbaugh was an innovator in so many ways, including being among the first to not watch Stephen Colbert
DNI Tulsi Gabbard tenders her resignation for June 30, says her husband has been diagnosed with a rare bone cancer and she will have to help him through this
After threatening that the "clock is ticking" for renewed strikes on Iran, Trump once again calls them off to give negotiating a chance.
I can't even cover this any more. It's embarrassing. It's like covering the endless negotiations over DHS funding. Trump is going to drag this out through the midterms and then lose them. Note to the president: At some point, allowing the Regime to remain in power without actually forcing them to give up nukes is just a back-door, unacknowledged renewal of the Obama policy. Well, I guess we just have to wait for their economy to collapse and their troops to desert.
Mayor Karen is so stung by fan-made AI ads that she's resorting to the shitlibs' go-to demand for an end to criticism -- these ads are "violent" and "hateful" and making me feel unsafe because one video showed AI cartoons throwing tomatoes at me and the tomatoes looked like blood when they squished
This was her actual complaint. The mushed-up tomato looked like blood so it's a death threat and these violent attacks on me must stop. What is dis bitch, CNN?
Few people remember that Norm MacDonald began his career as a ventriloquist
MacDonald's old partner Adam Egot revealed that MacDonald repurposed a bit with one of his ventriloquist dolls -- that he was a "bad guy" who "didn't believe the Holocaust happened" -- for the Norm MacDonald show, in which he claimed Egot didn't believe in the Holocaust. Funniest thing I've read about the Virginia mess. Back when they were hustling the referendum through the assembly both Senators, Warner and Kaine, advised them to go slow and play by the rules. Louise Lucas said she respected them but didn't need advice from the "cuck chair" in the corner. The gerrymandering was overturned and Louise is heading for the big house. Edward G. Robinson voice "where's your cuck now?" I posted his post on twitter and it's gotten 25K views so far. Thanks, Smell the Glove Chris
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click That Sums Up the Democrat Communist Party Today
Something is wrong as I hold you near Somebody else holds your heart, yeah You turn to me with your icy tears And then it's raining, feels like it's raining
"It's f**king f**ked."
-- reportedly a genuine comment offered by a "senior Labour source" Correction: I wrote that Labour is losing 88% (now 87%) of the seats it is "defending." I think that's wrong. The right way to say it is the seats they are contesting -- that is, they don't necessarily already hold these seats, but they have put up a candidate to run for the seat. It's still very bad but not as bad as losing 87% of the seats they already held. Recent Comments
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