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« Weekend Geek Confession | Main | Canada: Safe Haven for America's Gay Doctors »
September 24, 2005

Dyn-O-Mat!

This guy claims he can reduce a hurricane by about 20% by dropping (10) 747's full of diaper gel into it.

How can you argue with such spunky, cockeyed optimism? At least the guy is trying to do something. The feds think he's nuts of course.

His residential products are intriguing. I've always wanted my lawn and shrubs to have a glossy gel-like appearance. But who hasn't, am I right?

Hat tip to scott.

Ace's Update: Maybe Not Completely Spunky, Cockeyed Optimism! The government has done experiments, with actual hurricanes, and they have noticed some ameliorating effect... sometimes:

But it wasn't until 1961 that initial tests were conducted on Hurricane Esther with a Navy plane releasing silver iodide crystals. Some reports indicate winds were reduced by 10 percent to 30 percent.

During Stormfury, scientists also seeded hurricanes in 1963, 1969 and 1971 over the open Atlantic Ocean far from land.

Researchers dropped silver iodide, a substance that serves as an effective ice nuclei, into clouds just outside of the hurricane's eyewall. The idea was that a new ring of clouds would form around the artificial ice nuclei. The new clouds were supposed to change rain patterns and form a new eyewall that would collapse the old one. The reformed hurricane would spin more slowly and be less dangerous.

Sometimes, the experiments appeared to work. Hurricane Debbie in 1969 was seeded twice over four days by several aircraft. Researchers noted that its intensity waxed and waned by up to 30 percent.

FWIW, the article denigrates the idea of just blowing up a nuke in the middle of a 'cane, noting that the energy of a hurricane far exceeds that of even a bunch of nukes.


posted by LauraW. at 12:35 PM
Comments



They did that last night. But it was a C-130.

Posted by: Dave in Texas on September 24, 2005 12:46 PM

Really? Got linkage?

Posted by: lauraw on September 24, 2005 12:53 PM

I couldn't find diaper gel on their website. What the hell is it?

Posted by: on September 24, 2005 01:02 PM

FWIW, the article denigrates the idea of just blowing up a nuke in the middle of a 'cane, noting that the energy of a hurricane far exceeds that of even a bunch of nukes.

Yeah, but it would still be fun to see what happens if you do, right? I say nuke 'em.

Posted by: on September 24, 2005 01:06 PM

I was just kiddin lauraw.

Posted by: Dave in Texas on September 24, 2005 01:23 PM

But it wasn't until 1961 that initial tests were conducted on Hurricane Esther with a Navy plane releasing silver iodide crystals. Some reports indicate winds were reduced by 10 percent to 30 percent.

That's a myth. They did the experiments but didn't understand the results.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/C5a.html

Posted by: Steve L. on September 24, 2005 01:57 PM

Intense hurricanes form their own concentric outer eyewalls thereby reducing their intensity. Unfortunately, often this is sometimes temporary as the inner eyewall collapses and the outer contracts and the storm reintensifies. The process is called an eyewall replacement cycle. Both Katrina and Rita underwent such cycles when they were extremely strong and never managed to reintensify (thankfully) to their previous strong levels. This is a normal process for strong Cat 4 and 5 hurricanes. Three of the most destructive modern hurricanes, Andrew, Camille, and Charley, all underwent rapid intensification immediately before striking land. The process of rapid intensification is not well understood.

Posted by: laddy on September 24, 2005 02:15 PM

noting that the energy of a hurricane far exceeds that of even a bunch of nukes.

It wouldn't be about vaporizing the hurricane per se, rather about disrupting structure. You can't blow a hurricane apart like Nagasaki (conservation of momentum and all that physics stuff) - the bombs would after all be adding net energy to the system.

Might be able to disrupt structure enough that it would take longer to reform a core and strengthen.

A full eyewall replacement cycle takes what? 12-24 hours maybe? Several "monster city buster" H-bombs around one quadrant of the eye perimeter, nice "clean" air bursts at 5,000-7,000' might just be enough to slash a cat4/5 down to a disorganized 1/2.

It would take quite a while to reform the eyewall if you could turn 25% of it into disorganized mush.

Posted by: Tony on September 24, 2005 02:16 PM

2 for nuke 'em.

Posted by: on September 24, 2005 02:34 PM

re: nukes

We'll never know if we don't try....

Posted by: Hanover on September 24, 2005 02:48 PM

3 for nukes.
(This is probably how Godzilla was born, ya know.)

Posted by: on September 24, 2005 03:06 PM

I really hate wasting perfectly good thermonuclear weapons that have been bought and paid for...

...we bought the ticket, I want the ride.

Posted by: Tony on September 24, 2005 03:16 PM

What about having Michael Moore and O-Dub stand in the path of the storm with their backs turned? Sure, a bunch nukes pale in comparison to a hurricane, but I think their combined butt-wind just might do the trick . . .

Posted by: anon on September 24, 2005 03:31 PM

C'mon, there's one thing that's sure to work: lasers!

I mean, is there anything thy can't do? Am I the only one with his thinking cap on? Hellllloooo?

Posted by: Phinn on September 24, 2005 03:42 PM

Just tell Rosie O'Donnell that hurricanes are made out of high-speed marshmallow fluff, she'll do the rest.

Posted by: lauraw on September 24, 2005 03:49 PM

Okay.
4 for nukes
1 for methane
1 for laser
1 for marshmallow fluff bait and switch

Posted by: on September 24, 2005 05:39 PM

Another vote for nukes here. I mean c'mon, we do have a lot of nukes. And besides, nuking a hurricane would just be utterly fucking cool. How many people have ever done that in the history of the world? Zero. That's right, zero! But we're Americans, goddamnit, and we ought to be the first to nuke a motherfucking hurricane.

"Gotta nuke somethin'."

Posted by: Megan on September 24, 2005 05:57 PM

I still don't believe that detonating a large weapon or group of weapons, nuclear or not , will have NO affect on a hurricane. What does the energy within the hurricane have to do with a bomb? Most of the energy within a hurricane is kinetic energy, I would think, from water moving around. What if you evaporated the water? What if the concussion from the blast disrupted the wind flow? Has anyone tried to detonate a weapon inside a hurricane? I think we should employ the scientific method here. What else do we have the government for, if we can't get them to explode nukes inside hurricanes? Isn't this why we pay taxes?

Posted by: chip on September 24, 2005 06:01 PM

Most of the energy in a hurricane is heat energy.

What else do we have the government for, if we can't get them to explode nukes inside hurricanes? Isn't this why we pay taxes?

PREACHIN' TO THE CHOIR, CHIP.

Posted by: lauraw on September 24, 2005 06:04 PM

When I wrote my check to the IRS this April I noted that it was "To be used only for nuclear weapons technology and deployment." They cashed it anyway, the bastards.

Posted by: Megan on September 24, 2005 06:10 PM

Its a good street cred builder.

"Osama, they are crazy, they nuked a fucking hurricane...we'd better stop pissing them off."

Posted by: Tony on September 24, 2005 06:21 PM

From the NWS about nuking a hurricane:

Now for a more rigorous scientific explanation of why this would not be an effective hurricane modification technique. The main difficulty with using explosives to modify hurricanes is the amount of energy required. A fully developed hurricane can release heat energy at a rate of 5 to 20x1013 watts and converts less than 10% of the heat into the mechanical energy of the wind. The heat release is equivalent to a 10-megaton nuclear bomb exploding every 20 minutes. According to the 1993 World Almanac, the entire human race used energy at a rate of 1013 watts in 1990, a rate less than 20% of the power of a hurricane.

and

In addition, an explosive, even a nuclear explosive, produces a shock wave, or pulse of high pressure, that propagates away from the site of the explosion somewhat faster than the speed of sound. Such an event doesn't raise the barometric pressure after the shock has passed because barometric pressure in the atmosphere reflects the weight of the air above the ground. For normal atmospheric pressure, there are about ten metric tons (1000 kilograms per ton) of air bearing down on each square meter of surface. In the strongest hurricanes there are nine. To change a Category 5 hurricane into a Category 2 hurricane you would have to add about a half ton of air for each square meter inside the eye, or a total of a bit more than half a billion (500,000,000) tons for a 20 km radius eye. It's difficult to envision a practical way of moving that much air around.

Why don't we try to destroy tropical cyclones by nuking them ?

Posted by: Steve L. on September 24, 2005 06:44 PM

Also the deterrent effect. You nuke the shit outta just one, that let's the other hurricanes know you mean business, that you're ready to pull the trigger.

Look, I'm no scientist. All I know is that we let Katrina get away with her nonsense. We looked awfully weak in front of all the other hurricanes. Next thing I knew we were running from Rita. Coincidence?

Posted by: Dr. Reo Symes on September 24, 2005 06:55 PM

I think Rita got wind of the nuclear option you'll pardon the pun.

Posted by: Dave in Texas on September 24, 2005 07:01 PM

Piece of advice. You handle hurricanes the way you handle your first day in prison.

First day of hurricane season, you pick out the biggest, nastiest looking hurricane you see. Then, in the cafeteria, no provocation, you call it out, shouting "You fuckin looking at me, punk?" Then, before it can react, you go nuts. Unleash. Buck-fuckin-wild on that thing. Nukes. Shivs. Whatever ya got.

You might get your ass beat, but the other hurricanes, they know not to front. "Don't mess with him, he crazy"

Hurricane's don't know reason. They don't knowlogic. All they know is fear and violence. Give it to them before they give it to you.

Posted by: Dr. Reo Symes on September 24, 2005 07:11 PM

Why don't we try to destroy tropical cyclones by nuking them ?

When I began to read Steve L.'s link, my mind played a trick on me. I thought it was going to say:

Why don't we try to understand why these storms hate us?

Where did I ever get such a crazy idea? Must have been something I heard.

Posted by: on September 24, 2005 07:24 PM

released radioactive fallout...

Pure piffle.

THERMOnuclear weapons won't produce hardly any fallout with an airburst. They have only a very small conventional fission nuke as their initiators and fuse very light elements in the bang.

I'm shocked that NOAA would be pitching such technical nonsense.

Posted by: Tony on September 24, 2005 07:35 PM

So all the wussy objections I'm reading have to do with the fact that hurricanes produce more energy than the nukes we currently have.

The nukes we currently have.

Obviously, the answer is to build even BIGGER nukes. A B41? Screw that. I'm talkin' THOUSANDS of megatons of pure thermonuclear fury. This is how we won the Cold War, people. Let's get cracking. All those hippies yap about "Mother Gaia" and shit, so obviously the Earth is just another Godless commie regime. Well, we saw off the Soviets and we'll see off your precious "Gaia" too.

USA! USA! USA!

Posted by: Megan on September 24, 2005 08:23 PM

ok then its heat energy. How about a nonexplosive solution? How about scooping up some water from down near Antarctica, or up near the Arctic, whichever is closest, and pour that on the hurricane? I know, it's alot of water, but it sure as hell beats rebuilding entire cities and surrounding communities, doesn't it. AND, it would help to prevent gas price spikes, b/c there would be no hurricanes screwin' up the refineries. So even though you use a lot of airplane fuel flying back and forth, airplane fuel is a whole lot cheaper than NEW ORLEANS. Put our tax dollars to work, BushCo. Stop hurricanes now! Think about what kind of legacy THAT would be for your presidency. Cold War, good job. Stopping hurricanes, GREAT job. Get after it!

Posted by: chip on September 24, 2005 08:59 PM

Pour water on it? Gez, why don't we just negotiate with it, or maybe put on some of those pretty blue UN helmets and boycott the thing.

Nuke it. We nuke the hurricane's, nuke any uppity tropical depressions. Hell, let's nuke any warm winds off the coast of Africa - kill em in the crib.

Posted by: Jack Wilkie on September 24, 2005 09:14 PM

As Godzilla was aroused from hibernation by an A-bomb, all this talk of nukes & 'canes has aroused --Megalon! Rise up and destroy our enemies! Rise up and destroy Mother Gaia and all those yapping hippies! Come on, Megalon!”

Posted by: on September 24, 2005 09:23 PM

I don't really have a dog in this fight -- in fact, I don't particularly care for the expression "dog in this fight" -- but I feel compelled to remind everyone that Gamera is a friend to children.

Posted by: S. Weasel on September 24, 2005 09:34 PM

Nuke the 'Canes? Geez, you Gators fans are so...

Oh. Never mind.

Posted by: Andrea Harris on September 24, 2005 09:36 PM

If we pour water on it, it's only as a prelude to unleashing some freezing ray. Zap, frozen hurricane. And then? Then we nuke it. Cause it'll explode into a bunch of shards like that cop in Terminator2. And that would be cool.

And don't gimme that mamby-pamby 'That'll just vaporize it" bullshit. Shards I tell you! SHARDS!

Posted by: Dr. Reo Symes on September 24, 2005 09:39 PM

If we use all our nukes on the hurricanes, then what are we going to use on the volcanos and earthquakes? Fairy dust?

Posted by: Johnd01 on September 24, 2005 09:50 PM

Johnd01: At every point in recorded history, there always been a line of small minded men, petty acoountants ready to chirp: 'What about radiation, couterstrikes, shortages.." Always some reason not to nuke Russia, the Library, those punk kid who keep cutting aross my lawn. The list goes on and on.

The visionary, the man who's seen further has always been the man to nuke first, ask questions later. And if shortages arise, we nuke the cause of those shortages. It's just that simple. Got it?

Posted by: Dr. Reo Symes on September 24, 2005 10:00 PM

Man, Reo is picking up some major points with me tonight. Of course, he needed them after that gay-ass Godzilla nerd post, but still.

Posted by: Megan on September 24, 2005 10:15 PM

Amen? Yeah, that's the word. I didn't even know that there was such a thing as a freezing ray, I was just trying to play the hand we've been dealt. If there's a freezing ray, and I am NOT ready to deny that there is such a thing, we can definitely include that in the plan. We will need an exit strategy, to ensure that if this plan fails to eradicate hurricanes, we can appease future hurricanes. I suggest that we put Mexico on the table, let the hurricanes HAVE Mexico, if necessary. That way we can just defend our southern border and keep hurricanes out of the United States. Because there's nothing coming over that border. Not now, not ever.

Posted by: chip on September 24, 2005 10:23 PM

Pfaugh. Freezing rays.

HELLO!! Icebergs?? HELLOOO??

Just float a few of those badass icebergs from up North, in the Gulf of Mexico. No more hot-water-causing-hurricane-growing-issues.

Sheesh.

Its like I have to babysit you wankers.

Posted by: lauraw on September 24, 2005 10:35 PM

How about a nonexplosive solution?

***BORING***

You're probably one of those guys who were satisfied with SuperSoakers when the rest of us were making flame throwers and setting the neighborhood on fire.

Posted by: Tony on September 24, 2005 10:42 PM

Icebergs? Well there's a surprise from Laura. A global problem where Hugh Jackman isn't the solution. The scientific community will be shocked.

Posted by: Ned Pepper on September 24, 2005 10:42 PM

Hey, don't attack me, I'm just brainstorming. Or was I having a 'thought shower'? I am a big proponent of the nuclear option. I am just trying to include everyone in the solution, and that means we have to include kook liberals. And kook liberals hate nukes. Not to mention America.

How exactly are we gonna transport icebergs in the heat of summer? I think the freezing ray (if such a thing exists) is the best option I've heard yet. Because it involves my solution as a prerequisite, and that means I am smart enough to be part of the solution. Stop trying to ruin my thought shower.

Posted by: chip on September 24, 2005 10:52 PM

Hold it chip. My freezing ray was only part of the plan. Without the nukes coming in after and shardify it... well, the thing starts to sound retarded.

Posted by: Dr. Reo Symes on September 24, 2005 11:02 PM

*burying the script in which Hugh Jackman attaches propellers to icebergs and steers them around North America for delivery to the Gulf*

Posted by: lauraw on September 24, 2005 11:03 PM

I didn't realize shardification was such a vital part of the plan. I did realize, just now, how close that shard is to shart, which is the ultimate un-plan. Take that, Suncom...

Posted by: chip on September 24, 2005 11:24 PM

Not just any icebergs, but icebergs sharpened into floating caltrops. They might not kill a hurricane, but they'll sure slow it down.

Posted by: Guy T. on September 25, 2005 12:09 AM

Of course if we were to do something nasty like shutdown the gulf stream most of these things would never get very strong to begin with.

THAT would kill two birds with one stone. Hurricanes get neutered, AND europe gets some super nasty winter weather.

Posted by: Tony on September 25, 2005 01:24 AM

Holly insanity batman another weird nutcase i mmean it reminds me of a few years ago when some persons gathered on certan places on earth to send out their vibes to bring about worldwide and universal peace all becuase of the planets were all lined up just what kind of wacky weed have these persons been nipping on?

Posted by: spurwing plover on September 26, 2005 10:53 AM
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