Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!


Contact
Ace:
aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com
Buck:
buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com
CBD:
cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com
joe mannix:
mannix2024 at proton.me
MisHum:
petmorons at gee mail.com
J.J. Sefton:
sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com


Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Captain Whitebread 2026
Jon Ekdahl 2026
Jay Guevara 2025
Jim Sunk New Dawn 2025
Jewells45 2025
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups

Texas MoMe 2026: 10/16/2026-10/17/2026 Corsicana,TX
Contact Ben Had for info





















« Michelle Malkin Guest Hosts Hannity and Colmes... in Two Minutes | Main | Video: Ward Churhill Pushes Reporter in Anger Over Plagiarized Art »
February 26, 2005

Clock Ticking Softly For Damascus?

Overstated, perhaps, but two interesting stories suggest that Syria might have made its last consequence-free mistake.

From World Net Daily:

'U.S. will get Syria out by May'
Former Lebanese PM says war in Iraq will allow his country to be free

By Aaron Klein

JERUSALEM -- The U.S. led war against terrorism and its advances in Iraq and Afghanistan have enhanced the climate in the Middle East and will enable the international community to force Syria to withdraw its troops from Lebanon likely by May, former Lebanese Prime Minister Michel Aoun told WorldNetDaily today in an exclusive interview.

"The U.S. and EU are backing us in our movement to free Lebanon," said Aoun, speaking to WND from France. "They are interfering through diplomacy and threats of sanctions, and the situation is such today that Syria must comply. If the U.S. and Europe follow through, Syria will be obliged to withdraw before Lebanese elections in May."

Without offering a timeline, Syria announced Wednesday it will withdraw its troops from Lebanon to the eastern Bekaa Valley....

"The U.S. efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan have changed the Middle East. Not only the attacks to oust the rulers of those countries, but the consequences of the attacks changed things as well. They are democratizing the region and this will put pressure on [Syrian President Bashar] Assad to follow through," said Aoun.

"All these changes in the Middle East make obsolete the previous ways of Syria in dealing with Lebanon and Syria's involvement with political terrorism, which is not accepted anymore."

Meanwhile, a reader of TKS says...

...that the Iraqi forces are being built up to eventually take action against Syria. He adds the military action would be associated with Syria's refusal to police the border with Iraq to prevent terrorists and Baathists from entering Iraq.

This oddly echoes Kevin McCullough’s Pentagon source who said yesterday, “Likely, Syria's meddling in Iraq and the upcoming Lebanese elections will provide sufficient trigger for some "coalition" action. That action may well have an "Iraqi" face.”

The liberals may bleat, but a couple of points:

1) Europe actually seems to give a rat's ass about Lebanon's freedom, largely because France has always viewed itself as the protector of Lebanon's Christians. They might even pony up peace-keepers to keep order as the Syrian army departs.

2) It would not take a land invasion to drive Syria from Lebanon, should it come to that. Airstrikes on their troops should encourage them to depart as soon as humanly possible.

3) We wouldn't have to invade or occupy Syria, which we don't consider a threat like Iraq or Iran at this point; simply driving Syrian from Lebanon, and perhaps hitting military targets within Syria, would be enough. Not all military action needs to be a full-scale Iraq-style invasion and occupation (and reconstruction); American airpower can make life miserable for an intransigent regime.

I don't agree with Pat Buchanan much these days, but I do agree with his critique that Bush has to stop "warning" countries and threatening consequences unless he's actually prepared to do so-- unless he wants to see his credibility fall to nearly UN-levels.

Perhaps Bush agrees, and is putting out these sorts of low-key, unofficial threats out there to let Damascus know we're serious... or that we soon might be.

Related: David Brooks catches a bad case of optimism in a must-read column:

This is the most powerful question in the world today: Why not here? People in Eastern Europe looked at people in Western Europe and asked, Why not here? People in Ukraine looked at people in Georgia and asked, Why not here? People around the Arab world look at voters in Iraq and ask, Why not here?

Thomas Kuhn famously argued that science advances not gradually but in jolts, through a series of raw and jagged paradigm shifts. Somebody sees a problem differently, and suddenly everybody's vantage point changes.

"Why not here?" is a Kuhnian question, and as you open the newspaper these days, you see it flitting around the world like a thought contagion. Wherever it is asked, people seem to feel that the rules have changed. New possibilities have opened up.

...

Stephen Sestanovich of the Council on Foreign Relations wrote an important essay for this page a few weeks ago, arguing that American diplomacy is often most effective when it pursues not an incrementalist but a "maximalist" agenda, leaping over allies and making the crude, bold, vantage-shifting proposal - like pushing for the reunification of Germany when most everyone else was trying to preserve the so-called stability of the Warsaw Pact.

I was skeptical of Bush's full-throated call to place freedom and democracy at the heart of American foreign policy, and I guess I remain so.

But I guess we'll just have to see, won't we?

Read the whole thing. I don't think I've excerpted the best parts, because most of the essay is "best parts."


posted by Ace at 02:15 AM
Comments



Spit on hands, hoist flag, etc. etc.. Go get em.

Posted by: CL on February 26, 2005 04:04 AM

One thing's for sure Ace, we can't let this story die. I think the first chance MSM gets to kill it, they will. Don't think they can handle too many Lebanese politicians wondering out loud: "Iraq was an earthquake in the Arab world.!"

Posted by: Hans on February 26, 2005 05:13 AM

From Jihand Watch the AP reports:

The bearded man in a gray jacket...appeared on... Iraqi state television station Wednesday had a stark message about the insurgency -- he was Syrian intelligence officer who helped train people to behead others and build card bombs to attack American and Iraqi troops.

"My name is Anas Ahmed al-Essa... I am from Syria... "What's you're job?" he was asked by someone off-camera. "I am a lieutenant in intelligence." Then a second question. "Which intelligence?" The reply: "Syrian intelligence." And so began a detailed 15-minute confession broadcast by al-Iraqiya TV...

see jihadwatch

or see

Posted by: Ledger1 on February 26, 2005 05:29 AM

Ace--

You're slightly more optimistic about military action than I am. Firstly, because of the technical limits of airpower. This coming from an airpower zealot-- airstrikes without intelligence on the ground (or mobile forces flushing the enemy out of hiding) is a difficult business. We could be bombing for a LONNNG time before we start to see the effects we want to see-- all the while exposed to more worldwide criticism (none of which admittedly means much in the end, but never underestimate the power of mass media to inflate the minor into the major, and to incrementally but inevitably shift military strategy in a negative direction).

As for the political considerations, if all we were doing was parking the Sixth Fleet off of Beirut and letting 'em have it, I'd agree 100%. However, unlike decades past Syria has the means to directly retaliate against us, this time against our forces in Iraq.

So far, their aid to the Jihadis has mostly been hinted at, rarely confirmed (at least not to Euro-trash "impossible" standards). If, however, we openly took action against Damascus, the gloves could come off quite quickly, with open (and full) Syrian support for the Jihadis in Iraq.

I don't know if it would make much of a military difference in Iraq in the long run, but having an active state sponsor of the Jihadis would probably increase the violence significantly in the short run.

Until Iraq is secure-- or, secure "enough"-- it remains our Achilles heel in the region. It not only sucks up our available ground strength, thus eliminating our most potent option; Iraq has the potential to generate a two-front war against both Syria and Iran.

I'm not saying this isn't going on right now with Iran & Syria; I'm just saying that any decision to use military force against either country has to consider their retaliatory response to our forces in Iraq, not to mention the free Iraqi forces.

But I'm sure my bosses are thinking about that right now.

I hope.

Cheers,
Dave at Garfield Ridge

Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on February 26, 2005 08:24 AM

I know we all like making jokes at the expense of the French; guilty as charged. However, I believe in this case the French have some nuisance value. Nothing like a former colony to pique their interest. I also believe that the French know they can make a whole lot more money off a freed Lebanon than one controlled by the Syrians. In their quest to please the rest of the Arab world, they may not have cared so much, but if the rest of the Arab world is willing to throw Little Assad to the wolves, heck, even the French can spoil for a good fight.

"En garde!"

Posted by: Ron on February 26, 2005 09:29 AM

I doubt very much the premise of the WND article claiming that Syria could be forced to leave Lebanon through diplomacy and sanctions. The US does very little trade with Syria and the rest of the world has shown many times that they don't give a rat's ass what scum they trade with as long as they can make a buck. They won't go along with sanctions.

I believe it'll take some military action, which I would expect some time within the next through months. And, that'll just put another nail in the coffin of the Democratic Party as Bush's foreign policy is proven to be correct again.

Posted by: on February 26, 2005 10:27 AM

It's rarely considered the responsibility of a nation to patrol it's border to police those leaving, people leaving rarely are a threat. Border security concentrates on those entering. I want Syria out of Lebanon more than mostbut that's not a valid reason to force them out. I don't understand why it has taken all these years to finally draw some attention to the problem and they nned to use this as the reason for threats of action. The fact that Syria is allowing terrorist activities inside Lebanon and is an oppressive occupying force and has done both for years should be enough for action. I notice that noone is calling for action against Syria IN Syria for the same problems yet, and that's the root of the whole problem. I say ask them to leave Lebanon, throw them out if necessary and sanction them until they clean up their act inside their own nation, or force them at the point of a gun if sanctions fail. Set up some Iraqi training bases along the border and let Iraq assume responsibility for policing people coming in. If there is a better place for training recruits and better conditions for building morale than protecting your own border I sure don't know what it would be. From everything I've seen the majority of new Iraqi troops are based in the cities of Iraq where the personal conflict of bearing arms against fellow Iraqis must have an effect on them. It seems to me if they could train against a clearly defined enemy they would adapt more readily and if they can cut off the flow of arms, money, and so-called insurgents that are nothing more than invading terrorists the training and the actions afterward would feel like an accomplishment rather than the way it must feel now. The Iraqi population in general would view them more as defenders instead having mixed feelings about them like they do now.

Posted by: bullwinkle on February 26, 2005 11:26 AM

Syria may not be a direct threat to the US (yet), but they are very much a threat to our two key allies in the region, Israel and Iraq. If we want a stable Iraq, we have to get Assad in line, which will very possibly mean sticking him in a cell next to Saddam's.

Posted by: Van Helsing on February 26, 2005 04:55 PM

it would be sweet if, while bombing said troops, we dropped a bomb or two on some Hezbollah camps in the Bekka Valley.

"Whoops. How did that happen?"

Posted by: sonofnixon on February 26, 2005 06:43 PM

Here's a bit of irony. If Bush's implied plan works - ie, if a Democratic Iraq makes despotic regimes like Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Iran untenable each of which then collapses from its own weight with support from Special Forces and not US Army regulars - then America will have spread freedom throughout the Mideast while only fighting 2 synchronous conflicts.

Think of the savings in human life, property, infrastructure. Think of the spread of freedom. What if Iraq is not a quagmire, but the keystone in a dam that's needed to burst? What if Iraq was not about WMDs at all, but about gaining the center of the chessboard in the Middle East? And Rumsfeld would be vindicated - smaller mobile military units operating independently and asynchronously become the new political weapon of war - the best response to rogue states and rogue WMDs.

And what are the eventual payoffs to America? Bases for our troops, democratic protection of our oil supply, friendly regimes seeking to establish credibility against the remaining despotic regimes of Russia and China. And don't forget the freedom brought to millions in the process.

The irony to all of this is that not only will Bush have succeeded, but it will be at a ridiculously low cost. Every criticism leveled against him these last 4 + years will fall on its face. Finally, he will have succeded in utterly dismantling the entire framework on which leftist foreign policy is based in America, whereby America is an invisible hand leading the world quietly to soc-ialism and Marxism. Instead freedom, capitalism, and democratic republics will be not only viable and available, but also the best route forward. It will be Reagan's victory vs. the Soviet Union rewritten in an age of Asynchronous warfare and post-modernist Marxism.

It would be a good thing.

Posted by: John on February 26, 2005 09:04 PM

I like the way you think John.
I'm an optimist too.

For an interesting, yet depressing counterpoint, check out Allah's blog.

Posted by: lauraw on February 26, 2005 09:33 PM
Post a comment
Name:


Email Address:


URL:


Comments:


Remember info?








Now Available!
The Deplorable Gourmet
A Horde-sourced Cookbook
[All profits go to charity]
Top Headlines
Update to Gavin Newsom Under Investigation story: This investigation was begun under Senor Dementia:
Adam Housley
@adamhousley

As I have reported several times and now acknowledged by the Governor of California... Gavin and his wife are under federal investigation... what he failed to tell you... This began during the Biden Admin. Kind of a big detail.
Teen Driver Tayvin Galanakis Wins Jury Trial Against Officers Who Charged Him With DUI Even After He Blew 0.0 on A Breathalyzer And Passed Sobriety Tests. One Officer Accounted For 72% of All DUI Arrests For That PD [dri]
Days before the woman was stabbed in the neck by a taxpayer-supported Cultural Enrichment Officer, in the same general area, another taxpayer-supported Cultural Enrichment Officer attacked a boy and bloodied his head with a brick.
What is the UK Regime's plan for protecting the citizens from the savage criminals they've foisted on the populace? They offer NONE. They do, however, have a plan for protecting the savage criminals from the citizens: The citizens must STAY CALM and not get angry and not share videos of citizens being attacked by savage criminals.
The public keeps saying "protect us from the foreign savages you have imported against our wishes and over our objections" and the UK branch of The Regime keeps proposing plans to protect the foreign savages from the public. Soclose to what the public is demanding, just, you know, the complete opposite.
Just a thought: Maybe you wouldn't have to worry about the public attacking the savage criminals if you actually introduced a plan to protect the public from the savage criminals. Maybe they wouldn't feel as if it was necessary for them to protect the public through self-help.
Courtney Subramiam, one of the "journalists" who "previewed" her questions for the decrepit and demented Biden so that he could "answer" it with a pre-scripted response, rewarded by promotion to president of the White House Press Corps
Bonchie
@bonchieredstate

hahahahaha

This is the lady who gave her question to Biden beforehand, and he had it written verbatim in his notes with her picture.

You know what's really terrible? There are Daily Signal reporters in the press room. That's the Real Scandal Here!
You might think that movie critics by nature are effeminate and bitchy, but, did you know that grass is green and red peppers are red?
CJN podcast 1400 copy.jpg
Podcast: Sefton and CBD bounce around from Maine and its pet Nazi, to the cracks in the Democrat messaging, to the failure of California and its effect on the 2028 election, sea drones rescuing Apache crews, and more!
Seattle mayor shrugs off millionaire-tax concerns as 44% of business leaders consider leaving
It happens in all the blue states, but WA and Seattle will be different! [CBD]
Mary Margaret Olohan
@MaryMargOlohan

NEW: Five FBI employees were fired today over the infamous Richmond Catholic memo on "radical traditionalist Catholics," FBI source confirms to @realDailyWire.
Oof. Reviewers do not like Scary Movie 6. The criticism I keep hearing is that the movie mistakes a reference for an actual joke. The movie (they say) keeps Key Jangling a reference to another movie (or some other pop culture ephemera) and you expect there to be a joke but nope, the Key Jangle was the joke. Other reviewers say that the promise that "no lines will be uncrossed" is a fake-out, and that the movie is bland and inoffensively corporate.
Whoops! I posted about Dan Goldman losing the NY congressional primary. He might do that, but it won't be tonight -- the primary isn't held until June 23.
One race to keep an eye on: the Levi's heir nepo baby and egregious "Designated Liar" Dan Goldman -- one of the Democrats from a safe district Democrats send out to spread their most indefensible lies -- may actually lose his lower Manhattan/Brooklyn set due to, get this, antisemitism in the Democrat primary electorate.
Antisemitism? In the anti-Nazi Democrat Party? Sounds crazy, I know, but apparently the anti-Nazi Party wants to eliminate Jews.
Henry Rosoff
@HenryRosoff

🚨EXCLUSIVE POLL:

Brad Lander is 34-pts ahead of Congressman Dan Goldman with #NY10 Democratic Primary voters. @ZohranKMamdani is backing the former Comptroller.

@bradlander: 57%

@danielsgoldman: 23%



Poll by @PIX11News & @EmersonPolling.

MORE: http://pix11.com

Oh my Totenkopf Tattoo, that is a DRUBBING!
I'm usually very anti-antisemitism but if the Communist Antisemite Jihadists can pull this one off, Go Communist Antisemite Jihadists, Go!
Recent Comments
Wolfus Aurelius, Dreaming of Elsewhere [/i] [/b] [/s]: "After waking me at *his* usual clock time, 3:45, S ..."

Grumpy and Recalcitrant[/b][/i][/s][/u]: "A version of the Musical Interlude that will work ..."

Coliin: "Trillion air is the new billion air. Local school ..."

Wolfus Aurelius, Dreaming of Elsewhere [/i] [/b] [/s]: "The local utility co. came by yesterday to upgrade ..."

Richard Cranium : "Video unavailable ..."

Pixy Misa: "[i]11 Fake news. Fable is NOT available to anyone ..."

Grumpy and Recalcitrant[/b][/i][/s][/u]: ""[i]Samsung has slashed 42% off the price of its 2 ..."

Ben Had: "Biden's Dog, what an opportunity. ..."

Wolfus Aurelius, Dreaming of Elsewhere [/i] [/b] [/s]: "[i]Fake news. Fable is NOT available to anyone rig ..."

Defenestratus: "Fake news. Fable is NOT available to anyone right ..."

Biden's Dog sniffs a whole lotta malarkey, : "Just back from the firing range. Put new tritium i ..."

AltonJackson: " g'mornin', 'rons ..."

Bloggers in Arms
Some Humorous Asides
Archives