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November 02, 2004

Okay, Now It Gets Serious

He's also got the times of poll-closings, some of which I repost here:

G= Gubernatorial race; S = Senatorial race; #= electors

6 p.m.

Indiana 11 GS
Kentucky 8 S

As Fund says, somewhat obviously, we know which way these states are voting, but the important thing is whether Bush does better now than he did in 2000.

7 p.m.

New Hampshire 4 GS
Virginia 13

7:30 p.m.

Ohio 20 S
West Virginia 5 G

Ohio, Ohio, Ohio. Don't expect a result early.

8 p.m.

Florida 27 S
Michigan 17
Missouri 11 GS
New Jersey 15
Pennsylvania 21 S

Florida, Florida, Florida. 8 o'clock should tell us who our President will be.

9 p.m.

Arizona 10 S
Colorado 9 S
Minnesota 10
New Mexico 5
Wisconsin 10 S

9 pm should seal the deal.

Well, that's enough for now. You can read Fund's article for the rest. He tells you what you should be looking for each round of poll-closings.

posted by Ace at 05:33 PM

Comments

Any idea where MegaPundit got the number on New Hampshire?

Posted by: Dear Johns on November 2, 2004 05:38 PM

Could just be the votes from Dixville Notch, you know, the morons who voted 12:01AM last night.

Posted by: ace on November 2, 2004 05:40 PM

ZOGBY!!!!

Posted by: NoName on November 2, 2004 05:41 PM

Good catch on Dixville...And very thorough on the part of MegaPundit.

What's with Zogby? Have the rays of sunlight reached the final corner of the room the vampire is hiding in? Ok, did I stretch that metaphor a
bit?

Posted by: Dear Johns on November 2, 2004 05:51 PM

Ace, I trust this afternoon's BS has inoculated you from more premature hysteria.

Posted by: someone on November 2, 2004 05:53 PM

ZOGBY!!!!

In other words,

TIMMY!!!!!

Posted by: Brian B on November 2, 2004 05:59 PM

Am I wrong? Don't the polls in Florida close at 9 o'clock EST? The panhandle is in the central time zone - wasn't that what caused all the shit in 2000? I am on my second six-pack so forgive me if I am babbling.

Posted by: donald hamilton on November 2, 2004 06:04 PM

Ace--

I need your counsel.

Is Renee Zellwegger attractive?

Or, more importantly, is she attractive when she's packing the peanut butter, as in all the commercials running on MSNBC for Bridget Jones 2?

I'm worried that I'm finding her attractive. Either that makes me gay-- not that there's anything wrong with that-- or in desperate need of some hot and heavy Kim Richards actions.

HELP ME, ACE-- you're my only hope.

Cheers,
Dave

Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on November 2, 2004 06:07 PM

Actually, I *only* have ever thought she was attractive in Bridget Jones.

Posted by: ace on November 2, 2004 06:17 PM

The guys at Powerline say an unscienetific AOL survey is 57-41 Bush. That's more like it.
http://powerlineblog.com/archives/008452.php

Posted by: Iblis on November 2, 2004 06:21 PM

Oh, phooey on unscientific internet surveys. To be completely honest, I'm tired of hearing about such nonsense.

Posted by: ace on November 2, 2004 06:30 PM

No offense meant! But I read FR a lot, and every other post is about this or that stupid meaningless internet survey.

Posted by: ace on November 2, 2004 06:31 PM

Ace--

Thanks. Glad to know we share the same opinion.

Do you do any financial planning as well?

Cheers,
Dave

Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on November 2, 2004 06:36 PM

Now, Jenilee Harrison - back in the day... when she first replaced Suzanne Sommers? Oh dear. I lived to see her come on screen in a tight fuzzy sweater.

But have you seen here recently on that ronco chopparizer infomercial. Dude, was she abducted by aliens or something???

Posted by: spanky on November 2, 2004 06:41 PM

Ok, this is all definitely getting to you if you're having difficulty determining whether Renee Zellwegger is hot. Just picture her making those little faces.

Yes. She's hot.

Posted by: Dear Johns on November 2, 2004 06:51 PM

Nurse Betty. Renee in a nurses uniform. Very hot

Posted by: on November 2, 2004 06:58 PM

Hey, it's a stressful day. Things are going wacko right now in my head.

BTW, Ace-- if you want to give any shout outs, I'd love one tonight. I'm on a blogging tear right now.

Okay, granted, I'm not really *saying* anything right now, but the news is still coming in, ya know?

Thanks,
Dave

Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on November 2, 2004 07:07 PM

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Top Headlines

Oh no! Hamas' de facto press agent at the UN complains that she can't use her credit cards or rent a card now that she's been sanctioned as a terrorist operative
Why does this keep happening to members of the "political organization" (per Tucker Carlson) of Hamas?!?!

Tucker Carlson claims that it's weird that Ted Cruz is interested in the massacre of Christians by Nigerian Muslims, because he has "no track record of being interested in Christians," then blows off the massacre of Christians by Nigerian Muslims, saying it might or might not be a real concern
Tucker Carlson enjoys using the left-wing tactic of "Tactical Ignorance" to avoid taking positions on topics. Is Hamas really a terrorist organization? Tucker can't say. He hasn't looked into it enough, but "it seems like a political organization to me." Are Muslims slaughtering Christians in Nigeria? Again, Tucker just doesn't know. He hasn't examined the evidence yet. He knows every Palestinian Christian who said he was blocked from visiting holy sites in Bethlehem, but he just hasn't had the time to look into the mass slaughter of Christians in Nigeria that has been going on since (checks watch) 2009. He doesn't know, so he can't offer an opinion. Wouldn't be prudent, you know? Don't rush him! He'll sift through the evidence at some point in the future and render an opinion sometime around 2044.
Of course, if you need an opinion on Jewish Perfidy, he has all the facts at his fingertips and can give you a fully informed opinion pronto. Say, have you ever heard of the USS Liberty incident...?
You'd think that the main issue for Tucker Carlson, who pretends to be so deeply concerned about Palestinian Christians being bullied by Jews in Israel (supposedly), would be the massacre of 185,000 Christians in Nigeria itself. But no, his main problem is that Ted Cruz is talking about it, "who has no track record of being interested in Christians at all." And then he just shrugs as to whether this is even a real issue or not.
Whatever we do we must never "divide the right," huh?
Tucker is attacking Ted Cruz for bringing the issue up because he's acting as an apologist for Jihadism, and he can't cleanly admit that Jihadists are killing any Christians, anywhere. There is no daylight between him and CAIR at this point.
One might conclude that Tucker Carlson himself isn't interested in the plight of Christians -- except as they can be used as a cudgel to attack Jews.
Just gonna ask an Interesting Question myself -- why is it that Tucker Carlson's arguments all track with those shit out by Qatarian propaganda agents and the far left? That if Jews crush an ant underfoot it is worldwide news, but when Muslims slaughter Christians it elicits not even a vigorous shrug?

Sydney Sweeney has passed from celebrity to Meme Legend

Garth Merenghi is interviewed by the only man who can fathom his ineffable brilliance -- Garth Merenghi
From the comments:

I once glimpsed Garth in the penumbra betwixt my wake and sleep. He was in my dream, standing afar, not looking my way, nor did he acknowledge me. But I felt seen. And that's when I knew I was a traveler on the right path. I'm glad he's still with us.

Now that's some Merenghian prose.
Garth Merenghi on the writer's craft

Greetings, Traveler. If you still have not experienced Garth Merenghi -- Author, Dream-weaver, Visionary, plus Actor -- the six episodes of his Darkplace are still available on YouTube and supposedly upscaled to HD. (Viewing it now, it doesn't appeared upscaled for shit.)
I think the second episode, "Hell Hath Fury," is the best by a good margin. Try to at least watch through to that one. It's Mereghi's incisive but nuanced take on sexism.

TJM Returns with a discussion of Auteur Theory.

Podcast: The elections! NYC, Virginia, New Jersey, Texas, California, and the future prospects of the Republican party...

Update on Scott Adams:

Scott Adams had approval for this cancer drug but they hadn't scheduled him to get it. He was taking a turn for the worse. Trump had told him to call if he needed anything, so he did. Talked to Don Jr (who is in Africa) , then RFK Jr, then Dr Oz. Someone talked to Kaiser and he was scheduled. Shouldn't have needed it but he did and he says it saved his life.
Posted by: Notsothoreau

"Trump" goes trick-or-treating

Funny retro kid costumes, thanks to SMH
Good to see people honoring Lamont the Big Dummy

Four hours of retro Halloween commercials and specials
The first short is the original 1996 appearance of "Sam," the dangerous undead trick-or-treater from Trick r' Treat.

ICYMI: Australian journalist actually presses Kamala Harris when she repeatedly dodges questions about Biden's mental fitness
Kamala admits she didn't have the stamina to run for president, while continuing to insist he had the mental capacity to serve as president. He was too frail to run but perfectly strong enough to govern. Yeah sure whatever lying whore.

On Wednesday, we'll see the "Beaver Super-Moon." Which sounds hot.

Podcast: Historian and Pundit Robert Spencer joins us for a wide-ranging discussion about the Islamists in our midst: Mamdani in NYC, all across Europe, and others.

Full Episode: The Hardy Boys (and Nancy Drew) Meet Dracula
I don't remember this show, except for remembering that Nancy Drew was hot and the opening credits were foreboding and exicting

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She may not know what the hell her book is about, but she definitely knows that "every day I wake up black and queer." Join the club, sister!

Schmoll: 53% of New Jersey likely voters say their neighbors are voting for Ciattarelli, while 47% say the cheater/grifter Mikie Sherrill
The "who do you think your neighbors are voting for" question is designed to avoid the Shy Tory problem, wherein conservative people lie to schmollsters because they don't want to go on record with a likely left-winger telling them who they're really voting for. So instead the question is who do you think your neighbors are voting for, so people can talk about who they themselves support without actually having to admit it to a left-wing rando stranger recording their answers on the phone.

Hackers take over University of Penn website, calling the school a "dogshit elitist institution full of woke retards" and threatening to release its admissions files to prove illegal racial discrimination
No lies detected so far

Live Now: Dana Loesch is interrogating Heritage President Kevin Roberts on his insistence that the gay Nazi Nick Fuentes is an absolutely essential "conservative" voice whose ideas we must take seriously and who we must absolutely not exclude based on his Naziism

TJM Complains about Wreck-It Ralph The very topical premiere of TJM's YouTube Channel.

Interesting football history: How the forward pass was created in response to the nineteen -- 19! -- people killed playing football in 1905 alone
The original rules of football did not allow forward passes. The ball was primarily advanced by running, with blockers forming lines with interlocked arms and just smashing into the similarly-interlocked defensive lines. It was basically Greek hoplite spear formations but with a semi-spherical ball. As calls to ban the sport entirely grew, some looked for ways to de-emphasize mass charges as the primary means of advancing the ball, and some specifically championed allowing a passer to throw the ball forward.