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« A Moveable Feast: Bush Gets Fat on "Moveable Voters," 52-33 |
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October 30, 2004
Newsweek: Breaking for BushA six point lead, 50-44. But that's not the fun part. The fun part is watching hyperliberal Newsweek attempt to claim that "anything less than a nine point lead" is a "statistical tie," and that a six point lead really means nothing with a four point MoE, etc. Let them coccoon. The coccoon gets ripped open on Tuesday. I Still Know What You Did Last Update: Polls and analysis from Secure Liberty.\ Yet Another Teenage Update: Vegas & the electronic markets break for Bush, too. posted by Ace at 12:55 PM
CommentsIs this a continuationn of the "movable feast" of filet'o fish that has Dubya surging to an Oliver Willis sized 6 point lead? Posted by: senator philabuster on October 30, 2004 01:04 PM
I am SO looking forward to the wailing and gnashing of teeth that the far looney left will have to endure on November 2nd. It is going to be sweet after 4 years of such hateful diatribes directed at my president. We will know who wins on Tuesday. I predict we will know for sure either before or after the polls close in Utah. Posted by: kdeweb on October 30, 2004 01:17 PM
I'd be more inclined to believe that "this is really just a statistical tie" stuff if the numbers weren't so consistently in favor of Bush, albeit in the "tie" margin. Posted by: Russell Wardlow on October 30, 2004 01:34 PM
kdweb: your president? I always thought we was owned by a couple of over guys.
Posted by: Sam Miller on October 30, 2004 01:40 PM
There was some great analysis of how to combine the polls and do some meta-analysis but it was really complicated with lots of math and stuff. Long story short: if the polls say pretty much the same thing the margin of error trends toward zero. Then add in the anti-Bush bias and presto--comin' home to pappa. But don't tell Eleanor Clift about the Newsweek poll. That vein on her neck *will* explode if you do. And that's not cowbell worthy. Posted by: Birkel on October 30, 2004 01:44 PM
Well, Sam, the reason you thought that is because some moron on DU said so and you believed it. By the way, the dollar sign goes before the number, not after it. Posted by: zetetic on October 30, 2004 01:47 PM
How could this possibly be a Kimless moment? Traditions mean something, man! Posted by: blaster on October 30, 2004 01:51 PM
screw all these polls! just vote! Posted by: atomic_amish on October 30, 2004 01:51 PM
Newsweak could not believe how high Bush is polling so they did an arbitrary knockdown of Bush’s numbers. Bush will win by 11 points. Posted by: on October 30, 2004 01:58 PM
Sweeeeet! Posted by: Scout on October 30, 2004 02:20 PM
Stay on Target! Posted by: Iblis on October 30, 2004 02:31 PM
Iowa Electronic Market and Tradesports can show the sentiment amongst two types of gamblers, those investing in stock and those who enjoy a good wager. Not sure how reliable those sectors are when applied to the US voting set. Posted by: Tod Resnick on October 30, 2004 03:52 PM
I'm simultaneously loving and hating this. Loving that the polls are so consistently showing a trend towards Bush owning Tuesday night. Hating the feeling that perhaps such growing confidence in a Bush victory might lead to complacency and people staying home because they think it's in the bag. 2000 was only a 527 vote difference after all. Agggh. This waiting for Tuesday is excruciating. Posted by: Rob on October 30, 2004 05:35 PM
Thanks to early voting laws in Florida, I voted back on October 21st. I'm feeling a little like I've taken an addiction-suppression drug. I still need the fix, but it sure takes the edge off. Posted by: The Black Republican on October 30, 2004 08:20 PM
I agree with Rob & atomic_amish. Don't trust the polls, and don't let them cause complacency. With all the left has tried to pull the last 4 years and especially this one, I wouldn't put it past them to float false slightly pro-Bush polls to inspire demos and create complacency in Bush supporters. We don't just need to win ... we need to win by enough to overcome the "dead" vote, (Rember the polls don't include dead people, and other voter fraud that tends to swing left.) and as much as possible, neuter the attempts to contest close races Posted by: Chuck on October 31, 2004 06:10 AM
BTW Ace, thanks very much for the link! Posted by: Gordon on October 31, 2004 03:34 PM
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| The Deplorable Gourmet A Horde-sourced Cookbook [All profits go to charity] Top Headlines
I Love AI: Biden and Obama talk on the phone. Fake? You be the judge... [dri] (Fbomb warning)
Gun Control Will End Mass Murder Massacres. 35 dead, 43 wounded, as a driver intentionally plows through crowd at sports center in a southern Chinese city [dri]
Trump outlines his day one executive orders, including the outlawing of feminists' asymmetrical bowl-cut hairdos and bangs
Thanks to soothsayer
Ryan Long: Will being a woman be illegal under Trump?
Hilarious stuff, give it time.
Midnight's Edge: Woke "Muh Diversity/Muh LGBT" leftist feminist Grace Randolf actually wonders if she's been in a leftwing bubble all along, and realizes that maybe the "Republican bubble" is larger than the leftwing one
She also realizes that social media and the legacy media have "misled" her. Republicans aren't in a bubble. We all know what the left is thinking and saying because corrupt social media companies constantly push the Marxist propaganda media on us. It's the left that is sheltered and protected in curated spaces from ever hearing a dissenting point of view. Many of us might like to be in a bubble, but the Marxist propaganda media's domination, along with the Google/Microsoft determination that everyone's feeds must be stuffed full of the Marxist propaganda media ops, means we can't bubble up even if we'd want to.
A passionate speech at a city council meeting
It's one of those joke ones.
Weaponized government targeting Trump supporters cleaning up from Hurricane Milton. This is from The Daily Wire: “FEMA Official Ordered Relief Workers To Skip Houses With Trump Signs” [Buck]
Bounding Into Comics Article here This sissy has always been a tantrum-throwing manbaby. He's spiraling downwards. Good.
FEMA Official Ordered Relief Workers To Skip Houses With Trump Signs [Hat Tip: ShainS] [CBD]
Riley Gaines video here Alex Thompson Today's Democrats in Disarray Drama is all about Nancy Pelosi attempting to lay the blame on others -- Joe waited too long to drop out, and Kamala was a bad candidate who Joe shouldn't have anointed -- and a lot of Democrats aren't having it, and insisting she's to blame. I don't care who's right, I'm just rooting for brutality
I'm in a real fucking Thermidorian Reaction kind of mood, guys
Darren GrimesIf the "elites" aren't worried right now, they're even more stupid than I thought they were
How did Kamala Harris raise a billion dollars and wind up $20 million in debt? People are starting to look through her filings. You know the "Call Her Daddy" Blowjob and Prostate Milking Podcast Kamala Harris went on? She spent $100,000 just to build the set she would appear on for one hour.
She wanted to Appear Presidential on the Analingus Show
So, I don't believe this, but Rogan claims that Elon Musk has some app that told him that Trump won "four hours before the results." I mean, he did have a GOTV campaign, and of course he would then be getting data about how many voters turned out in different areas, so I think that's probably it. I don't think he has some kind of Artificial Super-Intelligence Precognition app.
Or... does he?!?!
Justine Basedman update: "I am decompressing after four years of walking on eggshells" and feeling forced to lie about my agreement with "permitted opinions"
Justine Bateman She links "Extraordinary Public Delusions and the Madness of Crowds." I am neither one extreme or the other, but am one of the millions of people who believe in common sense, and that everyone should be free to live their lives however they want, unless that freedom interferes with someone else's freedom to live their own life. That's it. 10/fin I hope she's ready for what's coming -- but no one ever is. They are so hateful and so coordinated and calculated in their hatred that it is overwhelming even to strong people. Ethan Van Sciver confesses to having a lot of thoughts about suicide when the cancel mob destroyed his career. He says that his cancellation actually killed him, or killed the man who lived before, and he came back from the dead as an immortal vampire without any heart or feelings left. That's how searing a cancellation can be. Hopefully, this the the beginning of a mass movement to cancel the cancelers and excise them from public life.
Pretty straightforward from here:
Protect Kamala Harris Recent Comments
ShainS -- The Evil Child-Murdering, -Raping, and -Mutilating Left Elected Trump #47 [/b][/i][/s][/u]:
"Clooney!
BWAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!
Posted by: Diogene ..."
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Behind The Black CutJibNewsletter The Pipeline Second City Cop Talk Of The Town with Steve Noxon Belmont Club Chicago Boyz Cold Fury Da Goddess Daily Pundit Dawn Eden Day by Day (Cartoon) EduWonk Enter Stage Right The Epoch Times Grim's Hall Victor Davis Hanson Hugh Hewitt IMAO Instapundit JihadWatch Kausfiles Lileks/The Bleat Memeorandum (Metablog) Outside the Beltway Patterico's Pontifications The People's Cube Powerline RedState Reliapundit Viking Pundit WizBang Some Humorous Asides
Kaboom!
Thanksgivingmanship: How to Deal With Your Spoiled Stupid Leftist Adultbrat Relatives Who Have Spent Three Months Reading Slate and Vox Learning How to Deal With You You're Fired! Donald Trump Grills the 2004 Democrat Candidates and Operatives on Their Election Loss Bizarrely I had a perfect Donald Trump voice going in 2004 and then literally never used it again, even when he was running for president. A Eulogy In Advance for Former Lincoln Project Associate and Noted Twitter Pestilence Tom Nichols Special Guest Blogger Rich "Psycho" Giamboni: If You Touch My Sandwich One More Time, I Will Fvcking Kill You Special Guest Blogger Rich "Psycho" Giamboni: I Must Eat Jim Acosta Special Guest Blogger Tom Friedman: We Need to Talk About What My Egyptian Cab Driver Told Me About Globalization Shortly Before He Began to Murder Me Special Guest Blogger Bernard Henri-Levy: I rise in defense of my very good friend Dominique Strauss-Kahn Note: Later events actually proved Dominique Strauss-Kahn completely innocent. The piece is still funny though -- if you pretend, for five minutes, that he was guilty. The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility The Dowd-O-Matic! The Donkey ("The Raven" parody) Archives
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