Is this a continuationn of the "movable feast" of filet'o fish that has Dubya surging to an Oliver Willis sized 6 point lead?

I am SO looking forward to the wailing and gnashing of teeth that the far looney left will have to endure on November 2nd. It is going to be sweet after 4 years of such hateful diatribes directed at my president.

We will know who wins on Tuesday. I predict we will know for sure either before or after the polls close in Utah.

I'd be more inclined to believe that "this is really just a statistical tie" stuff if the numbers weren't so consistently in favor of Bush, albeit in the "tie" margin.

kdweb:

your president?

I always thought we was owned by a couple of over guys.
Those don't blog. Those just enjoy 50$+ a barrel for their texas crude that costs 36$ to pump

There was some great analysis of how to combine the polls and do some meta-analysis but it was really complicated with lots of math and stuff. Long story short: if the polls say pretty much the same thing the margin of error trends toward zero. Then add in the anti-Bush bias and presto--comin' home to pappa.

But don't tell Eleanor Clift about the Newsweek poll. That vein on her neck *will* explode if you do. And that's not cowbell worthy.

Well, Sam, the reason you thought that is because some moron on DU said so and you believed it.

By the way, the dollar sign goes before the number, not after it.

How could this possibly be a Kimless moment?

Traditions mean something, man!

screw all these polls! just vote!

Newsweak could not believe how high Bush is polling so they did an arbitrary knockdown of Bush’s numbers. Bush will win by 11 points.

Sweeeeet!

Stay on Target!

Iowa Electronic Market and Tradesports can show the sentiment amongst two types of gamblers, those investing in stock and those who enjoy a good wager. Not sure how reliable those sectors are when applied to the US voting set.
Fair has a track record with a margin-of-error of 2.4%. Move-the-Rock pushes the Fair forecast. Let's see how his forecast works this time.

I'm simultaneously loving and hating this.

Loving that the polls are so consistently showing a trend towards Bush owning Tuesday night.

Hating the feeling that perhaps such growing confidence in a Bush victory might lead to complacency and people staying home because they think it's in the bag. 2000 was only a 527 vote difference after all.

Agggh. This waiting for Tuesday is excruciating.

Thanks to early voting laws in Florida, I voted back on October 21st. I'm feeling a little like I've taken an addiction-suppression drug. I still need the fix, but it sure takes the edge off.

I agree with Rob & atomic_amish. Don't trust the polls, and don't let them cause complacency. With all the left has tried to pull the last 4 years and especially this one, I wouldn't put it past them to float false slightly pro-Bush polls to inspire demos and create complacency in Bush supporters.

We don't just need to win ... we need to win by enough to overcome the "dead" vote, (Rember the polls don't include dead people, and other voter fraud that tends to swing left.) and as much as possible, neuter the attempts to contest close races

BTW Ace, thanks very much for the link!