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October 14, 2004
Polls Understate Republican Turnout?I hate having to pin my hopes on the idea, but KerrySpot has the evidence. posted by Ace at 12:41 PM
CommentsProblem is, 2002 and 2003 were off-year elections, when only highly-motivated and dedicated voters turned out in numbers. These situations have traditionally favored Republicans. There was no presidential race, no massive registration drives, no fuckin' P-Diddy "Vote or Die!" bullshit.... Posted by: Cynical Nation on October 14, 2004 12:54 PM
Have you really lost your nerve? This is piteous to watch. Posted by: someone on October 14, 2004 01:36 PM
Clearly, this is anecdotal but I worked the post-debate Bush appearance last night at Bank One Ballpark in Phoenix. It was an absolute madhouse. The line went along for blocks, nobody expected the turn-out on that scale. Anyway, I was very encouraged by it. Posted by: Golden Boy on October 14, 2004 01:40 PM
I wanted to do a post on this issue, but didn't even have this many facts, yet. Great link. IMO the media and the polls have yet to adjust to a post 9/11 electorate. Not just Republicans, but perhaps moderate and conservative democrats have been more engaged sinjce 9/11. Just look at the TV numbers for last night's debate. Amazing, especially with two playoff games going on. If you look at Howard's win in Australia, you see the same things. Polls and media say close, election isn't. Could be they are working off old voter model patterns based on several elections; few of which have taken place after 9/11, Afghanistan and Iraq. Posted by: Dan on October 14, 2004 02:38 PM
Not like I've been saying this for months or anything.... Posted by: The Black Republican on October 14, 2004 04:05 PM
The media and the polls have been swinging everything in favor of Kerry. I no longer even bother to look at the polls. We'll find out what people REALLY think on election day, and I predict it will be Australia all over again. Posted by: Elisa on October 14, 2004 04:33 PM
Australia, or 2002, or the recall (only dedicated voters turned up for -that-!? -- uh, no)... Posted by: someone on October 14, 2004 05:37 PM
One thing to remember about all these telephone 'polls'. *NONE* of them take into account the 'cellular phone only' voter. I wonder what the demographics are on that bunch??? Posted by: Dave on October 15, 2004 10:40 AM
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Cappy Army: Lebanon, long-cowed by Iran-funded Hezballah terrorists (Iran-backed Syrian agents assassinated their president in 2014), is finally taking action against Hezballah, arresting their operatives and seizing their truckloads of C4
Remember it's just all about Israel, right, Tuq'r?
Jonathan Levine recaps Salon's 31 years of loopy pro-pedophile, pro-terrorist propaganda
More of Salon's mentally-ill cuntiness from Ed Driscoll
Some Invisible Man costumes (which I hope aren't just AI):
An invisible man with a missing body (I assume the real person is *behind* the costume; A kid in the same kind of costume, put together by his mom; another invisible man; and another great Invisible Man costume, my favorite.
Email confirmed as once used by the Muskily Heterosexual James Talarico found in leak of emails of Fling.com sex dating site:
An email address that James Talarico's attorneys confirmed belonged to and was at one time used by the Texas Democratic U.S. Senate candidate appears in a database search result associated with the adult dating website Fling.com's 2011 data breach. A Fling.com account was created with Talarico's email address just before Talarico began teaching sixth graders. "Well I can't believe the trans-child-obsessed Confirmed Bachelor James Talarico is into group fetish shit," said noted void phantom Doctor Nullity, The Man Who Never Existed I'm not the guy who noted this, I saw it on X (Razib Khan maybe), but The Bulwark could be "audience capture". It might have started as the Frum / 90s-Kristol / NRO classic Eisenhower Republicanism. But nobody was reading the Bulwark except leftists.
Some researchers think the enigmatic and unreadable cipher of the Voynich Manuscript has resisted decipherment because the pages were bound in the wrong order, and putting them in the right order might allow them to finally break the code
But as of now: No Joy It occurs to me that a key step in breaking the Zodiac 340 cipher was putting the three parts of it in the correct order.
Flashback: "trans man" Lawyer freaks out after a judge denies "his" motion. He's ultimately arrested. "He" makes so much drama he was just recruited to develop a new CW show.
I'm just wondering if this flighty high-calorie pyrsyn is also in the news today for other reasons.... Update: No, it's not. Zee/Zem says they's name is like "Rob Hopkins" or something. Story here, courtesy of The Blade
Buck Throckmorton on The Continuing Crisis (American Spectator) podcast discusses prediction markets.
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John Kass retires
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Supreme Court to hear arguments on 160-year-ban on home distilleries
It's about time they took on an important case! [CBD] Recent Comments
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