Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!



Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups






















« Special Guest Columnist: Moqtada al-Sadr | Main | It Gets Worse: Edwards' Wife Suggest That Lynn Cheney Has the Problem »
October 14, 2004

Polls Understate Republican Turnout?

I hate having to pin my hopes on the idea, but KerrySpot has the evidence.


posted by Ace at 12:41 PM
Comments



Problem is, 2002 and 2003 were off-year elections, when only highly-motivated and dedicated voters turned out in numbers. These situations have traditionally favored Republicans. There was no presidential race, no massive registration drives, no fuckin' P-Diddy "Vote or Die!" bullshit....

Posted by: Cynical Nation on October 14, 2004 12:54 PM

Have you really lost your nerve? This is piteous to watch.

Posted by: someone on October 14, 2004 01:36 PM

Clearly, this is anecdotal but I worked the post-debate Bush appearance last night at Bank One Ballpark in Phoenix. It was an absolute madhouse. The line went along for blocks, nobody expected the turn-out on that scale. Anyway, I was very encouraged by it.

Posted by: Golden Boy on October 14, 2004 01:40 PM

I wanted to do a post on this issue, but didn't even have this many facts, yet. Great link. IMO the media and the polls have yet to adjust to a post 9/11 electorate. Not just Republicans, but perhaps moderate and conservative democrats have been more engaged sinjce 9/11. Just look at the TV numbers for last night's debate. Amazing, especially with two playoff games going on. If you look at Howard's win in Australia, you see the same things. Polls and media say close, election isn't. Could be they are working off old voter model patterns based on several elections; few of which have taken place after 9/11, Afghanistan and Iraq.

Posted by: Dan on October 14, 2004 02:38 PM

Not like I've been saying this for months or anything....

Posted by: The Black Republican on October 14, 2004 04:05 PM

The media and the polls have been swinging everything in favor of Kerry. I no longer even bother to look at the polls. We'll find out what people REALLY think on election day, and I predict it will be Australia all over again.

Posted by: Elisa on October 14, 2004 04:33 PM

Australia, or 2002, or the recall (only dedicated voters turned up for -that-!? -- uh, no)...

Posted by: someone on October 14, 2004 05:37 PM

One thing to remember about all these telephone 'polls'.

*NONE* of them take into account the 'cellular phone only' voter.

I wonder what the demographics are on that bunch???

Posted by: Dave on October 15, 2004 10:40 AM
Post a comment
Name:


Email Address:


URL:


Comments:


Remember info?








Now Available!
The Deplorable Gourmet
A Horde-sourced Cookbook
[All profits go to charity]
Top Headlines
"She's a two face"
I think she's just a one-face who sometimes gets more flattering lighting, but you be the judge
Flashback: A clearly drunk Kamala insists that her supporters remain "joyful warriors" and not let anyone "take your joy from you." Once again, she is drunkenly IN-SIST-ENT in saying the same meaningless thing over and over again.
Blackie Lawless of W.A.S.P. stops show to give a speech in defense of free speech, and in praise of Trump
In my Trump parody, one of his two assistants was Blackie Lawless. Now did I use my time machine to predict that Blackie Lawless would become a born-again Christian and conservative and Trump voter? I'll never tell!
CJN podcast 1400 copy.jpg
Sefton and CBD ramble about Trump and his plan to smash the deep state, Israel hunkering down until Trump is in office, why the West is pushing war in Eastern Europe, How screwed NYC is, and more!
Eric Daugherty
@EricLDaugh

BREAKING: New poll finds high optimism for America when Donald Trump assumes office in 2025
How likely that the U.S. will head in a better direction in 2025?

Very/somewhat likely: 58% (+20)
Not very/not at all likely: 38%

The new majority.

Echelon Insights
If you heard about ambulances leaving Mar-a-Lago, don't sweat it, they're just vehicles that are a standard part of JD Vance's motorcade
Star Trek "Unification" short film seems to be hitting people in the feels
Thanks to Anna Puma. Personally, I don't really get it. It's just a lot of fan service and images created by AI deepfaking Shatner and Nimoy. But people seem to like it.
"The Tears of CBS:" Norah O'Donnell and other CBS communist propaganda ministers have the sads on election night
Incredibly, during the night, and probably for the first time ever, Norah O'Donnell admits, starting around 4:00, that maybe Biden shouldn't have cancelled all of the Trump executive orders "that really locked down the border." Seriously -- has anyone on CBS ever even allowed that possibility, except after it was clear Trump had won?
CONCERNING: Ana Kasparian afflicted by some kind of seizure as she repeats the left's attacks on her that she's "just a secret right-winger"
ShellBanger
@Bangershell11

ARGENTINA SOARS: JP Morgan Revises Forecast, Predicting 8.5% Annual GDP Growth

Afuera!
Keith Olbermann's declaring Bathtub Fatwas again. (So it's a day that ends in -y.)
Keith Olbermann
@KeithOlbermann

To political reporters, commentators, liberals, moderates: After this fawning, humiliating, network-destroying surrender, if you go on @Morning_Joe you have endorsed and bought into #VichyMSNBC Keith Olbermann
@KeithOlbermann

BREAKING NEWS: I TOLD YOU SO
@joenbc and @morningmika - Trump collaborators
Not a word Mr. and Mrs. Vichy Quisling say can ever be trusted again - not that those words ever should have been trusted. They are confidence tricksters - and grifters

Thanks to anonosaurus wrecks
What they took from us:
I had a big Mac last week. I was stunned at how thin the burgers were. Never seen them that thin. We are a fallen people.

Posted by: Pudinhead
I think every lima bean recipe should have a suggestion, best served with a toddler's bitter tears...

Posted by: Joe Kidd
CJN podcast 1400 copy.jpg
CBD and Sefton discuss President Trump's cabinet picks, including the all-important "Bikini Measure." And the continuing pogroms in Europe, driven by uncontrolled and massive Muslim immigration, and aided by Europe's traditional Jew-Hate.
Written by Ben Meiselas:

"Chuck Todd wrote the most idiotic thing I've read today, and it perfectly encapsulates the problem with corporate media. It's also a confession. He wrote, "These confirmation hearings may just save cable TV for the short term."

You see, people like Chuck Todd and their corporate benefactors are losing relevance. Americans are sick and tired of their lazy reporting, blatant lies, "both sides" equivocations, and outright cheerleading for fascism. By ignoring the most obvious lessons of history, corporate media rooted for chaos, drama, torment, crime, and hardship, believing idiocracy and fascism would be good for ratings.

Well, here it is, Chuck Todd. And no one cares about you or your network. In fact, we hold you responsible for forcing this circus upon us.

If Senate confirmation hearings take place at all, we, the people, are not watching them on your network, Chuck."

(Found on DU, if you hadn't guessed.)

Posted by: Duncanthrax
Recent Comments
barbarausa: "Happy Thanksgiving, Ace and all CoBs, and thank YO ..."

Old Blue: "I've summoned the otters ..."

Old Blue: "NOOD Turkey ..."

banana Dream [/b][/i]: "Happy thanksgiving to you too. I'm thankful f ..."

ghost of hallelujah: "I'm thankful the god-forsaken parade is over. Damn ..."

Commissar of Plenty and Lysenkoism in Solidarity with the Struggle : "Jaguar selling a large flat rock? Bring your ow ..."

CaliGirl: "137 I bought a small deep fryer for my Xmas presen ..."

jim (in Kalifornia): "183 You want to bang a hot chick on a kitchen coun ..."

ghost of hallelujah: "Fist ..."

Old Blue: "Happy Thanksgiving Ace! ..."

AZ deplorable moron : "We're putting them to work. They're decorating. ..."

Jim[/i][/b][/s][/u]: "Washington Nearsider. There is a book in your s ..."

Bloggers in Arms
Some Humorous Asides
Archives
Contact
Ace:
aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com
CBD:
cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com
Buck:
buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com
joe mannix:
mannix2024 at proton.me
MisHum:
petmorons at gee mail.com
J.J. Sefton:
sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com