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October 14, 2004
Polls Understate Republican Turnout?I hate having to pin my hopes on the idea, but KerrySpot has the evidence. posted by Ace at 12:41 PM
CommentsProblem is, 2002 and 2003 were off-year elections, when only highly-motivated and dedicated voters turned out in numbers. These situations have traditionally favored Republicans. There was no presidential race, no massive registration drives, no fuckin' P-Diddy "Vote or Die!" bullshit.... Posted by: Cynical Nation on October 14, 2004 12:54 PM
Have you really lost your nerve? This is piteous to watch. Posted by: someone on October 14, 2004 01:36 PM
Clearly, this is anecdotal but I worked the post-debate Bush appearance last night at Bank One Ballpark in Phoenix. It was an absolute madhouse. The line went along for blocks, nobody expected the turn-out on that scale. Anyway, I was very encouraged by it. Posted by: Golden Boy on October 14, 2004 01:40 PM
I wanted to do a post on this issue, but didn't even have this many facts, yet. Great link. IMO the media and the polls have yet to adjust to a post 9/11 electorate. Not just Republicans, but perhaps moderate and conservative democrats have been more engaged sinjce 9/11. Just look at the TV numbers for last night's debate. Amazing, especially with two playoff games going on. If you look at Howard's win in Australia, you see the same things. Polls and media say close, election isn't. Could be they are working off old voter model patterns based on several elections; few of which have taken place after 9/11, Afghanistan and Iraq. Posted by: Dan on October 14, 2004 02:38 PM
Not like I've been saying this for months or anything.... Posted by: The Black Republican on October 14, 2004 04:05 PM
The media and the polls have been swinging everything in favor of Kerry. I no longer even bother to look at the polls. We'll find out what people REALLY think on election day, and I predict it will be Australia all over again. Posted by: Elisa on October 14, 2004 04:33 PM
Australia, or 2002, or the recall (only dedicated voters turned up for -that-!? -- uh, no)... Posted by: someone on October 14, 2004 05:37 PM
One thing to remember about all these telephone 'polls'. *NONE* of them take into account the 'cellular phone only' voter. I wonder what the demographics are on that bunch??? Posted by: Dave on October 15, 2004 10:40 AM
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| The Deplorable Gourmet A Horde-sourced Cookbook [All profits go to charity] Top Headlines
"She's a two face"
I think she's just a one-face who sometimes gets more flattering lighting, but you be the judge
Flashback: A clearly drunk Kamala insists that her supporters remain "joyful warriors" and not let anyone "take your joy from you." Once again, she is drunkenly IN-SIST-ENT in saying the same meaningless thing over and over again.
Compilations of election night liberal tears:
Soon-to-be-shuttered MSNBC. ABC, with that dirty debate-rigger David Muir. The ladyboys of The Bulwark, who quit early because their little hearts couldn't take it
Blackie Lawless of W.A.S.P. stops show to give a speech in defense of free speech, and in praise of Trump
In my Trump parody, one of his two assistants was Blackie Lawless. Now did I use my time machine to predict that Blackie Lawless would become a born-again Christian and conservative and Trump voter? I'll never tell! Eric Daugherty
If you heard about ambulances leaving Mar-a-Lago, don't sweat it, they're just vehicles that are a standard part of JD Vance's motorcade
Star Trek "Unification" short film seems to be hitting people in the feels
Thanks to Anna Puma. Personally, I don't really get it. It's just a lot of fan service and images created by AI deepfaking Shatner and Nimoy. But people seem to like it.
"The Tears of CBS:" Norah O'Donnell and other CBS communist propaganda ministers have the sads on election night
Incredibly, during the night, and probably for the first time ever, Norah O'Donnell admits, starting around 4:00, that maybe Biden shouldn't have cancelled all of the Trump executive orders "that really locked down the border." Seriously -- has anyone on CBS ever even allowed that possibility, except after it was clear Trump had won?
CONCERNING: Ana Kasparian afflicted by some kind of seizure as she repeats the left's attacks on her that she's "just a secret right-winger"
ShellBanger Afuera!
Keith Olbermann's declaring Bathtub Fatwas again. (So it's a day that ends in -y.)
Keith Olbermann Thanks to anonosaurus wrecks
What they took from us:
I had a big Mac last week. I was stunned at how thin the burgers were. Never seen them that thin. We are a fallen people. I think every lima bean recipe should have a suggestion, best served with a toddler's bitter tears... Written by Ben Meiselas: Recent Comments
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