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October 10, 2004
Going Into the Fourth Quarter with a Four-Point LeadDon't accuse me of breaking open the champagne. I'm not. I don't even like champagne. Everyone knows what the polls say and what I'm going to say is freaking obvious, but I'm going to say it anyway, because it's pleasing to say. Even after the very best debate performance John Kerry could have hoped for, and the worst performance from Bush he could have wished for, the man still seems to be behind by 3 or 4 points. This new ABCNews polls says 4. Whatever it is from 1 to 4 points -- Bush has a persistent, thusfar unerodable advantage over Kerry, and he can't seem to lose that advantage, even when he very nearly tries to. posted by Ace at 04:25 PM
CommentsI am looking at things exactly as you.The thing that ASTOUNDS me though is how the drones out there think that Kerry won that debate on Friday.He came across to me as a condescending,morally suspect,pandering,un-centered,POLITICIAN. Posted by: dougf on October 10, 2004 04:58 PM
I pray what you say is true. But frankly, this election looks a lot closer than I thought it would be a month ago. What I find shocking is the open campaigning of the MSM. CBS, now ABC with their Halprien memo. And they have NO shame. Brokaw and Jennings coming to the defense of Rather's use of forged documents. ABC, aparently saying today(10/10) that the Halprien memo is just fine with them. JUST WHAT IS GOING ON? Swiftboat charges remain from last summer, no one seems to take an interest. UN food for oil is an open scandal, I don't see the MSM even appearing interested. Kerry's 19 year record in the Senate is an unmentionable. The only person being held to his past is Bush, and that's being done with forged memos (fake but true?). The New York Times, Wash Post, and other liberal papers are clearly in the tank. WHERE'S their shame? Is the liberal media/university/cultural establishment THAT corrupt. I guess the answer is YES. But where does this leave us? Posted by: kjo on October 10, 2004 05:05 PM
'Is the liberal media/university/cultural establishment THAT corrupt. I guess the answer is YES. But where does this leave us?'---kjo With the majority of the people who despite what the media spins,just know'in their gut',when a man is a dangerous poseur at a time when REAL steadfastness is required. Posted by: on October 10, 2004 05:44 PM
I hold to the theory that you should add five points or so to the Republican's poll numbers to get an accurate reading. Conservative candidates tend to be undercounted for some reason. The recent Howard election in Australia for instance; it was said to be a hair-thin lead for Howard but ended with a blowout. Posted by: Brian on October 10, 2004 05:59 PM
I think also that Kerry has run a bad campaign and made endless boo-boos. The comments about 'I only see 3 people here' who would make over 200K, giving nuclear fuel to Iran, saying Saddam was and wasn't a danger in the same debate, essentially saying Bush/Cheney were cowards regarding the war despite his defence of Clinton, and his own record, the 'I don't fall down' comments, the 'I've never heard of Botox' comment which if made made Bush would be evidence of his stupidity. I have to ask myself if I am biased, and try to think of individual statements that Bush has made which are at the same level of being not just political talk where the truth is skewed, but just outright stupid, elitist or offensive. Maybe the dems are just testing the loyalty of their base by putting the worst candidate out there and watching while the left squirms as they defend and vote for him. Posted by: DelphiGuy on October 10, 2004 06:09 PM
While the current polls are good news, we need to redouble the efforts. It seems to be true the Republican votes are often undercounted in polls. However, traditionally the Democrats do a better job of getting out the vote, even if that means the dead vote in Chicago. This year the Republican Party is doing a better job of the GOTV effort in the last 72 hours. You can help by signing up with your local Republican Party or with RNC in Washington. People with professional licenses are being put to special use. As an attorney I will be traveling from my home in Indiana to Ohio to deal with issues relating to voter access and voter fraud. Indiana currently shows the president up by 70% 30% so I am not needed here. Why the huge edge inb Indiana? The Democrat running for governor (Joe Kernan) is a former Viet Nam POW. He passed on the DNC convention finding that he needed to stay home for some reason. We are trying like the dickens to get him to say something about John Kerry. So far he has been quieter than the Sphinx. But then the key to the solution of one of Sherlock Holmes famous stories was the dog that did not bark. Posted by: Allan Yackey on October 10, 2004 06:15 PM
Kerry/Edwards are the "champaign" ticket - both are frauds and shams, and if elected will inflict great pain on the US and our allies. No champaign for me - I won't drink their koolaid. Posted by: Frank_Reality on October 10, 2004 06:21 PM
Oh shoot - brain fart champaign,well is spelled champagne. BTW If you drink something, go for a nice sparkling wine - we don't want to aid the French, do we? Posted by: Frank_Reality on October 10, 2004 06:25 PM
Further to the comment by kjo above (and this is something many others have noted): when you consider the glaring bias, and indeed the blatant campaigning, of the MSM in favour of the Dems (or more properly, against Bush) over the last four years, the astonishment is not that Kerry has managed to apparently keep pace, but rather that Bush is even in the race. With the pummelling he has taken from the media, he should have been so low in public approval at Christmas that he should have been considered a dead duck with the Repubs needing a new candidate. The fact that he is not only surviving but actually leading is testament to his own virtues, to the determination of at least half the US electorate to see the war through to victory, and finally to the accelerating loss of influence of the MSM. And that latter item is of massive benefit to all of us. Posted by: Doug on October 10, 2004 06:47 PM
Popular vote polls are not where it is at. Battleground States, folks... Battleground State polls. That's where this will be decided. It appears Bush is starting to rebound there, too. But, this is the key. My concern is that the Dems are already laying the groundwork in these states to stage another 2000 fiasco, because the results will not be what they want. Posted by: Gary Lewis on October 10, 2004 07:01 PM
Leon Klinghoffer discovered what a nuisance it is to be a wheelchair bound American who is pushed off a cruise ship by a terrorist who discovered he was Jewish. The twelve American diplomats and hundreds of others murdered and injured in the Kenya embassay bombing must have found the whole thing ...well, downright irritating. The six dead and thousand injured in the 1993 WTC bombing must have been annoyed no end by the whole thing. Viewed in this Kerry-esque perspective, it is easy to see why he voted against intervention when Saddam invaded Kuwait at the time of the first gulf war: having a genocidal dictator taking over a neighbouring state with vast oil wealth, emerging empowered, emboldened and enriched, and in a better position than ever to work on his WMD programs - well that was a bother, but not worth getting all worked up over. Ditto Saddam's assembling a decade letter a coalition of the bribed to escape from the sanctions regime and renew his chemical weapons project. And as for Iran, with its insane and anti-semitic leadership getting the bomb - hokey smokes, after Kerry supplies them with peaceful nuclear technology and they go and make a bomb anyway - just like North Korea - you can count on Kerry getting a bit tetchy, but not enough to act rashly. Kerry the Pooh: "another mass murder by terrorists. Oh bother. Let's have a smackerel of honey and take a nice nap." Kery the Pooh, Kerry the Pooh.... Docpro. Posted by: docpro on October 10, 2004 07:52 PM
I love the part where Kerry answered the question that, in its formation, equated abortion to murder. I thought the distinguished senator was going to burst into flames on the spot. As for Hillary, right after the debate, I'm on to her. She's not going anywhere. And if she thinks she's going to originate the first ever "Deichstag" at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave, she's crazy. Wait a minute, she IS crazy. Posted by: kbeam on October 10, 2004 09:32 PM
I'm thinking it may be another "post-election" election. If it isn't a landslide, watch the lawyers pounce on certain states. Maine and Colorado may have their electoral vote allocations taken up in lawsuits. Lots of charges on both sides of voter fraud, disenfranchising stupid people who can't vote properly, questions on new electronic voting machines. The Loi-yahs on both sides stand ready.... And, Ruminations on the Ruminant (The Hildebeast) My, the lady is doing well, tactically. One of the few leading Dems not to poison her 2008 chances by being wrong about what she says about Iraq 4 years from now. Keeping her mouth shut - avoiding other Teddy Kennedy type liberal "flames". Not out busting her copiously spread butt campaigning for Kerry, but pulled the Clintonistas back in to give some help to Kerry. So if Kerry wins, he must be most grateful to the leading Dem fundraiser and bailer-out. Perhaps with a SCOTUS seat, with Bubba taking over her Senate Seat. If Kerry loses, the Dems are grateful for all she did and she gets to run in 2008 with a REAL co-president. Posted by: Cedarford on October 10, 2004 10:35 PM
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Democrat propagandist Anderson Cooper shed any pretense of being a journalist and just attacked Stevens for flip-flopping, as she had earlier (begrudgingly) endorsed Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed. Stevens kept explaining why she had changed her position, but the Objection Journalist Who Supports Women just kept interrupting and talking over her and re-asking the same question-- why did you change your mind -- with a tone that suggested maybe it was just because of her menses.
Some Invisible Man costumes (which I hope aren't just AI):
An invisible man with a missing body (I assume the real person is *behind* the costume; A kid in the same kind of costume, put together by his mom; another invisible man; and another great Invisible Man costume, my favorite.
Email confirmed as once used by the Muskily Heterosexual James Talarico found in leak of emails of Fling.com sex dating site:
An email address that James Talarico's attorneys confirmed belonged to and was at one time used by the Texas Democratic U.S. Senate candidate appears in a database search result associated with the adult dating website Fling.com's 2011 data breach. A Fling.com account was created with Talarico's email address just before Talarico began teaching sixth graders. "Well I can't believe the trans-child-obsessed Confirmed Bachelor James Talarico is into group fetish shit," said noted void phantom Doctor Nullity, The Man Who Never Existed I'm not the guy who noted this, I saw it on X (Razib Khan maybe), but The Bulwark could be "audience capture". It might have started as the Frum / 90s-Kristol / NRO classic Eisenhower Republicanism. But nobody was reading the Bulwark except leftists.
Some researchers think the enigmatic and unreadable cipher of the Voynich Manuscript has resisted decipherment because the pages were bound in the wrong order, and putting them in the right order might allow them to finally break the code
But as of now: No Joy It occurs to me that a key step in breaking the Zodiac 340 cipher was putting the three parts of it in the correct order.
Flashback: "trans man" Lawyer freaks out after a judge denies "his" motion. He's ultimately arrested. "He" makes so much drama he was just recruited to develop a new CW show.
I'm just wondering if this flighty high-calorie pyrsyn is also in the news today for other reasons.... Update: No, it's not. Zee/Zem says they's name is like "Rob Hopkins" or something. Story here, courtesy of The Blade
Buck Throckmorton on The Continuing Crisis (American Spectator) podcast discusses prediction markets.
[CBD]
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click
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John Kass retires
He's great. He'll be missed.
Supreme Court to hear arguments on 160-year-ban on home distilleries
It's about time they took on an important case! [CBD] We call on France to exercise restraint when dispersing the freedom fighters on the streets of Paris. These brave warriors for justice must receive immediate humanitarian aid, and their safety must be guaranteed in accordance with international law. Failure to comply will leave us no choice but to bring a case before the ICJ, in close cooperation with that renowned champion of human rights, Afghanistan.-- Israel War Room [CBD]
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click: Garrett's Sus iPod Edition
Everybody wants you Everybody wants your love I'd just like to make you mine, all mine Just imagine he's singing that to a dude. BTW I thought this was a completely different band from Garrett's Sus iPod, the Bay City Rollers. Recent Comments
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