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January 09, 2006
Cute: AP Notes Economy Will Cool Off, Without Ever Having Noted It Was Hot In The First PlaceThis article doesn't really report anything you didn't know or isn't conventional wisdom. Yes, economists think the economy will cool off into a 3+% GDP range of growth. Yes, the housing market will almost surely cool off, especially now that everyone is sure it will. Etc., etc., etc. But it's interesting that the MSM is setting up its next big story -- 2006: The End of the Bush Boom -- without ever having acknowledged there was a boom in the first place. Think about it: after the MSM has been telling us the economy is horrible for five years, now, when a strong economy is going to moderate and become merely okay, they're all ready to start telling us how we've fallen from our previous highs. Without ever really informing the public about those highs in the first place. It's brilliant, really. They will only note the strength of the past three years' economy in retrospect in order to tell people that now they're doing worse than they were before. Bush therefore never gets any political benefit from the strong economy -- when it was strong, they said it was weak, and when it moderates into consistent but not strong growth, they'll say it's weaker than it had been. Nice. Well played, MSM. Very well played. Paul Krugman, meanwhile, notes the growth in GDP while seizing upon one statistic -- median household income growth -- to claim the economy is "joyless." Q&O has thoughts on that over at TCS. Krugman may be setting himself up for the same strategy. He can now say, "I did acknowledge strong economic growth," in the quarter in which it was expected to start declining, and then begin whining how we've fallen from those lofty heights, which he never really noted were all that lofty. posted by Ace at 11:48 AM
CommentsPaul Krugman is "joyless." Him and his ilk are all joyless. They are the biggest bunch of pills ever. Posted by: shawn on January 9, 2006 11:51 AM
Used to be one measure of economic growth, albeit imperfect, was the DJIA. If that's what you use with Bush, there was no boom, at all. If you use wages as a measure, under Bush there was no boom, at all. Jobs created? No boom. Nothing to compare with what happened month after month under Clinton. So what are you measuring, and what are you neglecting, to assert a boom? Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 12:28 PM
Ace, I can't believe you actually passed up the chance to use the sarcastic slow clap! Ya know - "Nice. Well played, MSM. Very well played." Clap. Clap. Clap. Posted by: Enas Yorl on January 9, 2006 12:37 PM
This word boom that you keep using... I do not think it means what you think it means. Posted by: Madfish Willie on January 9, 2006 12:38 PM
Nothing to compare with what happened month after month under Clinton. You fucking idiot, perhaps you've heard of a little thing called 9/11? Made all the papers. Posted by: zetetic on January 9, 2006 12:56 PM
The record sustained deficit spending and tax cuts are like nitro to the economy, and they are unsustainable. So... for the past few years, the unsustainable economic stimulators have been used full bore -- and still, with households maxed out on debt, + real wages stagnating, + real job growth stagnant, there is a limit to how much the economy can really grow. So ... in the long run the deficit spending will be reined in, taxes will have to go up, and the economy will suffer. And that's the good news. --------- Maybe Madfish Willie can tell us what the boom means to him. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 12:58 PM
zetetic, Maybe there are good reasons there was no boom. (I never said otherwise.) That doesn't mean that there WAS a boom. There was no boom. Get it? You can blame it on 9-11, fine. But what is the basis for claiming there WAS a boom? Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 01:02 PM
Maybe Madfish Willie can tell us what the boom means to him It means that my local housing market (also our commercial contruction market) is going gangbusters and we can't build enough high dollar custom gunite swimming pools to satisfy the market's thirst. (I'm a pool builder by the way) New cars flying off the lots, major shopping malls being built, several PGA golf resorts underway, new road construction everywhere, widening the interstate highways and interchanges, property values skyrocketing, etc etc All this in a perceived "minor league" city -- that hosts the World Champion Spurs -- so I would say that our economy at least is booming! Posted by: Madfish Willie on January 9, 2006 01:22 PM
Almost forgot... major companies relocating to our city ie Toyota manufacturing plant, Washington Mutual (?), not to mention we are the world headquaters for SBC > AT&T Posted by: Madfish Willie on January 9, 2006 01:24 PM
How's your business doing Tubby? Posted by: on January 9, 2006 01:34 PM
How's your business doing Tubby? I can't keep up with it! Some of us are doing fine. But what numbers do you point to if you want to make the case for a boom? Plural of anecdote isn't data etc. Bankruptcies are up, for example. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 01:41 PM
"Bankruptcies are up, for example" I call BS. The reason that bankruptcies are up is because of people rushing to get their bankruptcies in under the old rules that were more favorable to those declaring bankruptcy. This is like saying that an AIDS hospice must be built on a site with massive radon infiltration....."because everyone who moves in there ends up dying". tubby, I thought you were better than that. Come correct or don't come at all. Posted by: Russ from Winterset on January 9, 2006 01:46 PM
Far be it from me to contradict an ex-moonbat who's finally succumbed to the evil Rovian mind rays and realized that tax cuts are like nitro to the economy (whose highest purpose is to make money for people who own stock). But the Dow is up 50% since its low in October, 2002. If that's not a boom, it'll serve to tide us over until a boom comes along. Posted by: Paul Zrimsek on January 9, 2006 02:15 PM
tubino, Just out of curiosity, what is it that you believe Clinton did that led to a boom? What policy exactly? His tax increases? The dot-com boom that left so many retirees better off? Or maybe deficit reduction (for which, of course, you will give equal credit to the republican congress I'm sure)? In fact, what policy did Clinton champion and get passed that will be remembered in 1 year, let alone today? (Welfare reform? Only that was something he repeatedly vetored until the republican congress finally forced it down his throat). You may have liked Clinton a lot. And you may be liberal and like liberal policiticians, but I don't see what exactly you think it is that Clinton actually ever did as President. (certainly, it wasn't anything to do with national security - if you even assert that you cannot be taken seriously.) Posted by: Vanilla Thunder on January 9, 2006 02:18 PM
AP the Anarchist Press what a bunch of dweebs Posted by: spurwing plover on January 9, 2006 03:11 PM
I call BS. The reason that bankruptcies are up is because of people rushing to get their bankruptcies in under the old rules that were more favorable to those declaring bankruptcy. That is certainly true for the last couple months before the deadline, maybe more. Unfortunately, the trend even prior to the changes in law was that bankruptcies were UP. I thought about putting in the caveats, but hey, life is short. VT, Clinton *did* do some good things for national security. Turns out the bombing in Iraq is credited with wiping out last of WMD-making capabilities, for example, and he met with FBI & CIA heads TOGETHER to discuss threats, something Bush should have done immediately with the Aug 5 2001 PDB. I guess his vacation was more important. But economically, Clinton put the US in very good shape with the deficit, which gave a huge boost to investor confidence. If a repub prez and Congress can't keep their snouts out of the earmark trough, it's not Bill's fault. With the escalating deficits, Bush is handing our kids' future to China et al. in the form of massive debts per person. Do the math sometime. The polls show that the US was viewed much more favorably abroad under Clinton. The "brand" America was in great shape. The same polls show a tremendous downturn. BTW, I never said tax cuts alone were nitro. Borrowing 400 BILLION to infuse in the economy plus tax cuts = nitro. But because of the KINDS of allocations made by the admin, that borrowing has not led to long-term growth, so you just get the shortterm push without job growth etc. Too bad we already shot the wad. The pedal has been to the metal for years now. One terrorist attack in the next year, and the admin has used all its nitro to help recover... And then we're fucked, buddy. Short-term borrowing can make a lot of sense. Unsustainable borrowing & tax cuts at the top as economic policy without a plan for longterm growth is great for the top percentile, lousy for the rest. You're living the best test case you'll ever see. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 04:44 PM
Took 4.5 years for the Dow to get back to pre-9-11 levels. Wow. That's some boom. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 05:15 PM
Encyc. Britannica aka Red Youth Communist Brigade: Economic growth continued during Clinton's second term, eventually setting a record for the nation's longest peacetime economic expansion. After enormous budget deficits throughout the 1980s and early 1990s—including a $290 billion deficit in 1992—by 1998 the Clinton administration oversaw the first balanced budget and budget surpluses since 1969. The vibrant economy produced a tripling in the value of the stock market, historically high levels of home ownership, and the lowest unemployment rate in nearly 30 years. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 05:20 PM
Here's your f'kng BUSH BOOM. Every recession in modern U.S. history has been preceded by a phenomenon called "bond yield inversion", in which the interest rates on short-term bonds becomes higher than that on long-term bonds. And, conversely, 94% of all bond yield inversions have been followed by either a severe economic slowdown or a recession. Bond yield inversion is considered the best early predictor of future economic troubles. Guess what? In December, the U.S. entered a bond yield inversion. More at link above. Posted by: Bush Boom on January 9, 2006 05:23 PM
Tubino's big bellowing point, then, is that the boom was preceded by a recession? I believe we all knew that already. Posted by: Paul Zrimsek on January 9, 2006 06:31 PM
"Took 4.5 years for the Dow to get back to pre-9-11 levels. Wow. That's some boom." Of course, its real value now, not bubble adjusted. Tob Posted by: toby928 on January 9, 2006 08:56 PM
" the Clinton administration oversaw the first balanced budget and budget surpluses since 1969." I like that line, it seems to say something yet doesn't really tell us anything. They could just have well said that the Republican Congress oversaw the first balanced budget etc? I like to think that the Republican Congress passed the first balanced buget since 1969 even though Clinton said it couldn't be done. No lie, look it up ;-) Tob Posted by: toby928 on January 9, 2006 09:02 PM
Take th C out of CBS and the P out of PBS and what do you think you,ll get? Posted by: spurwing plover on January 10, 2006 03:07 PM
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People say that the bearded man in the video of Fartwell molesting a hooker looks like Democrat Arizona Senator Rueben Gallego, said to be Swalwell's "best friend" and known to take vacations with him.
@KFILE 21m So the campaign is collapsing due to the truth of the sexual harassment allegations. That hissing sound you hear is the air going out of the Swalwell campaign. UPDATE: No it wasn't, it was just Swalwell one-cheek-sneaking out a fart on camera Eric Swalwell more like Eric Farewell amirite thanks to weft-cut loop.
This is the dumbest AI bullslop I've seen in a while: the CIA can use "quantum magnetometry" to track an individual man's heartbeat from twelve miles away
I wouldn't click on it, it's not interesting, it's just stupid clickslop. I just want to share my annoyance with you.
Oil prices plunge on bizarre realization that Eric Swalwell may actually be straight. A rapey molester, allegedly, but a straight one.
Classic Rock Mystery Click
This is super-obscure and I only barely remember it. Given that, I'll give you the hint that it's by the Red Rocker. And I guess you think you've got it made Oh, but then, you never were afraid Of anything that you've left behind Oh, but it's alright with me now 'Cause I'll get back up somehow And with a little luck, yes, I'm bound to win Now twenty people will tell me it's not obscure, it was huge in their hometown and played at their prom. That's how it usually goes. When I linked Donnie Iris's "Love is Like a Rock," everyone said they knew that one and that his other song (which I didn't know at all) Ah Leah! was huge in their area.
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thanks to stevey You know we "joke" about the GOPe just "conserving" leftist things? I couldn't hate this queen of the cuck-chair more if it paid seven figures and came with a corner office.
In more marketing for Project Hail Mary, scientists say they've found the biosigns indicating life growing on an alien planet. It's not proof, just signatures of chemicals that are produced by biological metabolism, and it could be nothing, but scientists think it's a strong sign that this planet is inhabited by something.
In a paper published in the Astrophysical Journal Letters, a team of scientists announced the detection of dimethyl sulfide (along with a similar detection of dimethyl disulfide) in the atmosphere of an exoplanet called K2-18b. This is actually the second detection of dimethyl sulfide made on this planet, following a tentative detection in 2023. He means they tried to prove the signal was caused by things other than dimethyl sulfide but they could not.
Artemis moon shot a go, scheduled for 6:24 Eastern time tonight
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