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January 09, 2006
Cute: AP Notes Economy Will Cool Off, Without Ever Having Noted It Was Hot In The First PlaceThis article doesn't really report anything you didn't know or isn't conventional wisdom. Yes, economists think the economy will cool off into a 3+% GDP range of growth. Yes, the housing market will almost surely cool off, especially now that everyone is sure it will. Etc., etc., etc. But it's interesting that the MSM is setting up its next big story -- 2006: The End of the Bush Boom -- without ever having acknowledged there was a boom in the first place. Think about it: after the MSM has been telling us the economy is horrible for five years, now, when a strong economy is going to moderate and become merely okay, they're all ready to start telling us how we've fallen from our previous highs. Without ever really informing the public about those highs in the first place. It's brilliant, really. They will only note the strength of the past three years' economy in retrospect in order to tell people that now they're doing worse than they were before. Bush therefore never gets any political benefit from the strong economy -- when it was strong, they said it was weak, and when it moderates into consistent but not strong growth, they'll say it's weaker than it had been. Nice. Well played, MSM. Very well played. Paul Krugman, meanwhile, notes the growth in GDP while seizing upon one statistic -- median household income growth -- to claim the economy is "joyless." Q&O has thoughts on that over at TCS. Krugman may be setting himself up for the same strategy. He can now say, "I did acknowledge strong economic growth," in the quarter in which it was expected to start declining, and then begin whining how we've fallen from those lofty heights, which he never really noted were all that lofty. posted by Ace at 11:48 AM
CommentsPaul Krugman is "joyless." Him and his ilk are all joyless. They are the biggest bunch of pills ever. Posted by: shawn on January 9, 2006 11:51 AM
Used to be one measure of economic growth, albeit imperfect, was the DJIA. If that's what you use with Bush, there was no boom, at all. If you use wages as a measure, under Bush there was no boom, at all. Jobs created? No boom. Nothing to compare with what happened month after month under Clinton. So what are you measuring, and what are you neglecting, to assert a boom? Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 12:28 PM
Ace, I can't believe you actually passed up the chance to use the sarcastic slow clap! Ya know - "Nice. Well played, MSM. Very well played." Clap. Clap. Clap. Posted by: Enas Yorl on January 9, 2006 12:37 PM
This word boom that you keep using... I do not think it means what you think it means. Posted by: Madfish Willie on January 9, 2006 12:38 PM
Nothing to compare with what happened month after month under Clinton. You fucking idiot, perhaps you've heard of a little thing called 9/11? Made all the papers. Posted by: zetetic on January 9, 2006 12:56 PM
The record sustained deficit spending and tax cuts are like nitro to the economy, and they are unsustainable. So... for the past few years, the unsustainable economic stimulators have been used full bore -- and still, with households maxed out on debt, + real wages stagnating, + real job growth stagnant, there is a limit to how much the economy can really grow. So ... in the long run the deficit spending will be reined in, taxes will have to go up, and the economy will suffer. And that's the good news. --------- Maybe Madfish Willie can tell us what the boom means to him. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 12:58 PM
zetetic, Maybe there are good reasons there was no boom. (I never said otherwise.) That doesn't mean that there WAS a boom. There was no boom. Get it? You can blame it on 9-11, fine. But what is the basis for claiming there WAS a boom? Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 01:02 PM
Maybe Madfish Willie can tell us what the boom means to him It means that my local housing market (also our commercial contruction market) is going gangbusters and we can't build enough high dollar custom gunite swimming pools to satisfy the market's thirst. (I'm a pool builder by the way) New cars flying off the lots, major shopping malls being built, several PGA golf resorts underway, new road construction everywhere, widening the interstate highways and interchanges, property values skyrocketing, etc etc All this in a perceived "minor league" city -- that hosts the World Champion Spurs -- so I would say that our economy at least is booming! Posted by: Madfish Willie on January 9, 2006 01:22 PM
Almost forgot... major companies relocating to our city ie Toyota manufacturing plant, Washington Mutual (?), not to mention we are the world headquaters for SBC > AT&T Posted by: Madfish Willie on January 9, 2006 01:24 PM
How's your business doing Tubby? Posted by: on January 9, 2006 01:34 PM
How's your business doing Tubby? I can't keep up with it! Some of us are doing fine. But what numbers do you point to if you want to make the case for a boom? Plural of anecdote isn't data etc. Bankruptcies are up, for example. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 01:41 PM
"Bankruptcies are up, for example" I call BS. The reason that bankruptcies are up is because of people rushing to get their bankruptcies in under the old rules that were more favorable to those declaring bankruptcy. This is like saying that an AIDS hospice must be built on a site with massive radon infiltration....."because everyone who moves in there ends up dying". tubby, I thought you were better than that. Come correct or don't come at all. Posted by: Russ from Winterset on January 9, 2006 01:46 PM
Far be it from me to contradict an ex-moonbat who's finally succumbed to the evil Rovian mind rays and realized that tax cuts are like nitro to the economy (whose highest purpose is to make money for people who own stock). But the Dow is up 50% since its low in October, 2002. If that's not a boom, it'll serve to tide us over until a boom comes along. Posted by: Paul Zrimsek on January 9, 2006 02:15 PM
tubino, Just out of curiosity, what is it that you believe Clinton did that led to a boom? What policy exactly? His tax increases? The dot-com boom that left so many retirees better off? Or maybe deficit reduction (for which, of course, you will give equal credit to the republican congress I'm sure)? In fact, what policy did Clinton champion and get passed that will be remembered in 1 year, let alone today? (Welfare reform? Only that was something he repeatedly vetored until the republican congress finally forced it down his throat). You may have liked Clinton a lot. And you may be liberal and like liberal policiticians, but I don't see what exactly you think it is that Clinton actually ever did as President. (certainly, it wasn't anything to do with national security - if you even assert that you cannot be taken seriously.) Posted by: Vanilla Thunder on January 9, 2006 02:18 PM
AP the Anarchist Press what a bunch of dweebs Posted by: spurwing plover on January 9, 2006 03:11 PM
I call BS. The reason that bankruptcies are up is because of people rushing to get their bankruptcies in under the old rules that were more favorable to those declaring bankruptcy. That is certainly true for the last couple months before the deadline, maybe more. Unfortunately, the trend even prior to the changes in law was that bankruptcies were UP. I thought about putting in the caveats, but hey, life is short. VT, Clinton *did* do some good things for national security. Turns out the bombing in Iraq is credited with wiping out last of WMD-making capabilities, for example, and he met with FBI & CIA heads TOGETHER to discuss threats, something Bush should have done immediately with the Aug 5 2001 PDB. I guess his vacation was more important. But economically, Clinton put the US in very good shape with the deficit, which gave a huge boost to investor confidence. If a repub prez and Congress can't keep their snouts out of the earmark trough, it's not Bill's fault. With the escalating deficits, Bush is handing our kids' future to China et al. in the form of massive debts per person. Do the math sometime. The polls show that the US was viewed much more favorably abroad under Clinton. The "brand" America was in great shape. The same polls show a tremendous downturn. BTW, I never said tax cuts alone were nitro. Borrowing 400 BILLION to infuse in the economy plus tax cuts = nitro. But because of the KINDS of allocations made by the admin, that borrowing has not led to long-term growth, so you just get the shortterm push without job growth etc. Too bad we already shot the wad. The pedal has been to the metal for years now. One terrorist attack in the next year, and the admin has used all its nitro to help recover... And then we're fucked, buddy. Short-term borrowing can make a lot of sense. Unsustainable borrowing & tax cuts at the top as economic policy without a plan for longterm growth is great for the top percentile, lousy for the rest. You're living the best test case you'll ever see. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 04:44 PM
Took 4.5 years for the Dow to get back to pre-9-11 levels. Wow. That's some boom. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 05:15 PM
Encyc. Britannica aka Red Youth Communist Brigade: Economic growth continued during Clinton's second term, eventually setting a record for the nation's longest peacetime economic expansion. After enormous budget deficits throughout the 1980s and early 1990s—including a $290 billion deficit in 1992—by 1998 the Clinton administration oversaw the first balanced budget and budget surpluses since 1969. The vibrant economy produced a tripling in the value of the stock market, historically high levels of home ownership, and the lowest unemployment rate in nearly 30 years. Posted by: tubino on January 9, 2006 05:20 PM
Here's your f'kng BUSH BOOM. Every recession in modern U.S. history has been preceded by a phenomenon called "bond yield inversion", in which the interest rates on short-term bonds becomes higher than that on long-term bonds. And, conversely, 94% of all bond yield inversions have been followed by either a severe economic slowdown or a recession. Bond yield inversion is considered the best early predictor of future economic troubles. Guess what? In December, the U.S. entered a bond yield inversion. More at link above. Posted by: Bush Boom on January 9, 2006 05:23 PM
Tubino's big bellowing point, then, is that the boom was preceded by a recession? I believe we all knew that already. Posted by: Paul Zrimsek on January 9, 2006 06:31 PM
"Took 4.5 years for the Dow to get back to pre-9-11 levels. Wow. That's some boom." Of course, its real value now, not bubble adjusted. Tob Posted by: toby928 on January 9, 2006 08:56 PM
" the Clinton administration oversaw the first balanced budget and budget surpluses since 1969." I like that line, it seems to say something yet doesn't really tell us anything. They could just have well said that the Republican Congress oversaw the first balanced budget etc? I like to think that the Republican Congress passed the first balanced buget since 1969 even though Clinton said it couldn't be done. No lie, look it up ;-) Tob Posted by: toby928 on January 9, 2006 09:02 PM
Take th C out of CBS and the P out of PBS and what do you think you,ll get? Posted by: spurwing plover on January 10, 2006 03:07 PM
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| The Deplorable Gourmet A Horde-sourced Cookbook [All profits go to charity] Top Headlines
"It's f**king f**ked."
-- reportedly a genuine comment offered by a "senior Labour source" Correction: I wrote that Labour is losing 88% (now 87%) of the seats it is "defending." I think that's wrong. The right way to say it is the seats they are contesting -- that is, they don't necessarily already hold these seats, but they have put up a candidate to run for the seat. It's still very bad but not as bad as losing 87% of the seats they already held. Basil the Great
"The end of the two party system in the UK" as first the Fake Conservatives and now Labour chooses political suicide rather than simply STOPPING THE INVASION
Incidentally, the only reason this didn't already happen in the US is because of the Very Bad Orange Man (who is right on 85% of all policy calls and extremely, existentially right on 15% of them)
No political party that is NOT also a doomsday religious cult would EVER choose a cataclysmic loss -- and possible extinction as a party -- to support a toxically unpopular favoritism of NON-CITIZEN ILLEGAL MIGRANTS over actual citizen voters.
Only a cult does this.
Now they've lost 84%.
Annunziata Rees-Mogg Update: They've now lost 88% of the seats they're defending. As I mentioned earlier, I think I heard that London will not bail them out, as many of those Labour seats will probably flip to "Muslim Independent" or Green. Detroit's 5am vote will not save them.
Yup, Labour is losing 80% of its seats...
The British Patriot Wow, up to 1700-2100 seats. It's not incredible that this is happening. It's incredible that the Davos crowd is so absolutely determined to privilege Muslim "migrants" over the actual native population who elects them, no matter how loudly the natives scream that they want to be prioritized, that they will gladly self-extinguish as a party rather than simply representing the interests of their own voters. Astonishing. Remember, when they call other people "cultists" -- they are the ones so imprisoned in their social reinforcement and discipline bubbles that they will choose political death rather than dare upset the Karen Enforcement Officers of their cult. Update: Now they've lost 83% of the seats they were defending. (((Dan Hodges))) Nick Lowles
STARMERGEDDON: In early returns, Reform gains 135 seats, Labour loses 90, the Fake Conservatives lose 36 (and I didn't even know they could fall any further), the Lib Dems lose 4, and the Greens gain 6. Note that the only other party gaining seats is the Greens and they're only gaining a handful of seats.
Update: Reform now up 145, Labour down 98. Labour projected to lose Wales -- where they've ruled for 27 years. Fulton County Georgia just discovered 400 boxes of ballots for Labour Update: REF +156, LAB -107, CON -45 Brutal: In four out of five council seats where Labour is defending, they've lost. 80%. I'm sure it's not this simple, but Reform is straight taking Labour's and the "Conservatives'" seats. They've lost almost exactly what Reform gained. If understand this right (and warning, I probably don't), all of London's council seats are up for election, and Labour might lose hugely there, as their old voters abandon them for Reform, Muslim Indenpendents, and the Greens. REF +190, LAB -134, CON -56.
Updates on the Labour collapse in council elections -- which wags are calling #Starmergeddon -- from Beege Welborne. There are about 5000 seats up for grabs, Labour is expected to lose 1,800, Reform will probably gain 1,580, up from... zero. So this would be more than that.
People claim that while Labour has adopted the Sharia Agenda to appeal to the million Muslims it allowed to migrate to the country, those voters are ditching Labour to vote for the Muslim Independent Party or the Greens. Delicious. This shadenfreude is going straight to my thighs. Oh, and if Starmer loses about as badly as expected, Labour will toss him out of a window Braveheart style and replace him. He will announce he is resigning to spend more time with his Gay Ukrainian Male Prostitutes.
Media bias and senationalism are as old as, well, the media:
![]() That was written by Denny O'Neill and illustrated by, get this, Frank Miller. Editor to the Stars Jim Shooter was in charge at the time. I always thought the gag was original to the comic book, but in fact the "Threat or Menace" headline was a satirical joke about media bias and sensationalism for a long while. The Harvard Lampoon used it in a parody of Life magazine: "Flying Saucers: Threat or Menace?"
Hamas is Humiliating Trump's 'Board of Peace'
[Hat Tip: TC] [CBD]
Ted Turner Dies At 87 [CBD]
Democrat Congresswoman Sara Jacobs cites Me-Again Kelly, Cavernous Nostrils, Alex Jones and Tuq'r Qarlson as proof that concerns about Trump's mental health are "bipartisan"
As Bonchie from Red State says: Know the op when you see it.
Leftists who have been drawing Frankendistricts for decades are suddenly upset about Republican line-drawing
Socialist usurper Obama cut commercials urging Virginians to vote for the bizarre "lobster" gerrymander -- but now says gerrymanders are so racist you guys Obama is complaining about the new Louisiana map -- but here's the thing, the new map has much more compact and rational borders than the old racial gerrymander map Pete Bootyjudge is whining too. But here's the Illinois gerrymander he supports.
Big Bonus! Under the new Florida congressional map, Debbie Wasserman Schultz will probably lose her seat
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