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May 11, 2005
"If they fail in Iraq, Osama and his whole crew are finished"One of the climactic moments in The Dark Knight Returns -- Frank (Sin City) Miller's brilliant graphic novel about an aged Batman coming back out of retirment -- was his triumph over a particularly loathsome and large "mutant" gang member. The gang leader was quicker, more nimble, and more innately vicious than the old crimefighter, and beat the hell out of Batman at their first encounter. Realizing he can't beat the quick and vicious thug on the thug's own terms, Batman baits him into fighting in a sludge-pit at a quarry. The gang leader soon finds himself to be as slowed by the sludge as Batman is slowed by advanced age, no longer having any sort of advantage over the much-older man. And then Batman starts using all the dirty little in-fighting tricks he's learned over a long career of kicking ass and taking names. As he starts to break his young opponent's bones and tear his tendons, he explains, "This only looks like a mud-pit. It's an operating table. And I'm the surgeon." Iraq is beginning to look like an operating table, too: The war in Iraq is increasingly looking more like a showdown with Osama bin Laden's al Qaeda followers than a battle primarily against Saddam Hussein loyalists. Five years from now the debate will be whether Bush and his "neocon madmen" actually planned this flypaper/mudpit strategy or if they merely blundered into it. It seems immaterial either way-- the basic strategy of the Bush Administration was to actively fight these bastards, rather than waiting for Americans to be butchered. Luck, as they say, is the result of good planning. Or good instincts. And an epilogue to the Batman story: The "mutant" gang, made up of vicious nihilists who had simply chosen violence and mayhem as a means of filling their hopeless lives with meaning, disbands after their leader is humiliated in the mud-pit. And, in fact, many of them, still looking for a "strong horse" leader, side with the new strong horse in town, Batman himself, joining his new "gang" of Guardian Angels-like protectors of the city. Nihilistic Mutant Thugs Update: Terrorists kill 50 more civilians in bombings. Do any of these maniacs believe they can actually win anything by these inhumane and counterproductive tactics? I don't think they give it much thought. They are killing just out of rage, not to achieve any political purpose. Perhaps the media is right to shun calling them "terrorists." Yasser Arafat was a terrorist. At least there was a rational (although evil) scheme to his murderings. These aren't insurgents. And they aren't even terrorists. They're not even organized criminals, who at least kill for money, and only when necessary. They're simply homicidal maniacs who've decided to join a club. posted by Ace at 09:54 AM
Comments"... And I'm the surgeon." Posted by: Phinn on May 11, 2005 09:59 AM
Thanks for that. Posted by: ace on May 11, 2005 10:08 AM
If only the sequel to Dark Knight Returns hadn't sucked so badly... Posted by: Lapsed Leftist on May 11, 2005 10:08 AM
I hope it proves true that our troop's engagement in Iraq will finish off al Qaeda- though I believe we'll also need to step up our objectives in northern Pakistan, including "urging" the government to shut down or reform religious schools that call for the destruction of the West. Posted by: MyCountry on May 11, 2005 10:10 AM
Yeah, but Bruce tries to "go it alone" without allies. Mistake! Everybody needs allies. Batman has his Robin, the Lone Ranger his Tonto, Holmes his Waton, and Bush the Second may profit from their example. i'm envisioning Tony Blair in short green pants, sleeveless green tunic and a cute yellow cape ... Posted by: Pouncer on May 11, 2005 10:22 AM
"Five years from now the debate will be whether Bush and his "neocon madmen" actually planned this flypaper/mudpit strategy or if they merely blundered into it." I submit into evidence Bush's much derided statement: "Bring them on". While the left wet their panties about how stupid and macho Bush was being, my military friends were applauding the idea of drawing the fanatics to Bhagdad rather than Boston. Posted by: Max Power on May 11, 2005 10:38 AM
Luck, as they say, is the result of good planning. Truer words were never spoken. I've long suspected Iraq was the focal pointof a "honeypot" doctrine, making U.S. forces there a focal point dropped smack dab in the middle of the enemy, daring them to a fight. We used it on a tactical level with the use of firebases in Vietnam (look at the casuality estimates for Khe Sanh (205 KIA, 443 WIA, 2 MIA for the Americans, 15,000+ killed or wounded NVA), and seem to be using Iraq as our strategic firebase in the Middle East. Surrounded by Saudi, Syrian, and Iranian terrorists, and more than able to destroy all of them once engaged, our military is exactly where they need to be to cause the most damage. Posted by: Confederate Yankee on May 11, 2005 10:40 AM
As they say -- "Fortune favors the bold." Posted by: TallDave on May 11, 2005 10:41 AM
You forget, Ace, that we're dealing with religious pathology here. These lunatics aren't worried about rewards for murder in this life, but in the next. Now, their handlers may be more concerned with temporal matters like kicking the U.S. out of Iraq, or making lots of money smuggling opium. But the hapless foot soldiers in Al Qaeda's thrall are more than happy to exchange their lives for the innocent. I'm okay with that-- America's defeated their kind before (can you say Okinawa?), and we'll defeat them again. Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on May 11, 2005 10:43 AM
Hold out bait to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him. -- Sun Tsu Posted by: Phinn on May 11, 2005 10:56 AM
It's worth remembering what Osama's strategy was: to provoke the US into a violent response, so we would bomb innocent Muslims, inflaming the Islamic world against us and driving them into Osama's camp. So who's bombing innocent Muslims lately? Posted by: Bob Hawkins on May 11, 2005 10:57 AM
I'm so proud of our military, thrilled with their success. Posted by: lauraw on May 11, 2005 11:08 AM
What Dave at GR said. The way I see it, the committed al Qaedist doesn't have any strategy that makes rational sense. They're basically engaged in a form of magical thinking, that: 1. I can prove my devoutness by killing lots of infidels in an impressive way. And if their latest attack *doesn't* impress God? Well, then, there's only one conclusion to be drawn - we're not batshit-insanely devout enough! (Another telling example is the fact that a lot of al Qaedists apparently were quite confident that the destruction of the World Trade Center would actually destroy World Trade. As if destroying the symbol equates with destroying the reality.) Posted by: David C on May 11, 2005 11:18 AM
Welcome news! And let's remember to give credit where credit is due and blame where blame is due. Credit the administration and most of all, our military, blame, who else? I wonder how Liberals will manage to claim they were really for the war, before or after they were against it? Posted by: shit from shinola on May 11, 2005 11:24 AM
No doubt that the Islamists rely on fanaticism, but the supply of suicidal fanatics, I believe, is quite limited and what few there are are motivated by money more then religion. Case in point would be the sharp reduction in suicide bombings in Israel once 'funding' (Saddam primarily but also Arafat) was sharply reduced. What will be interesting is once the 'insurgency' fails, what do Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Iran do next? Posted by: BrewFan on May 11, 2005 11:47 AM
balls nasty Posted by: tachyonshuggy on May 11, 2005 11:48 AM
I hope the sky is black with A-10's. Posted by: spongeworthy on May 11, 2005 11:55 AM
Chicken leg. Posted by: Megan on May 11, 2005 12:11 PM
Ace don't shiv Posted by: Megan on May 11, 2005 12:12 PM
The logic of al-Qaeda bombing Iraqi civilians and police by the score is to make them think "Maybe if the Americans weren't here, the Wahabis would leave us alone" and then prompt a popular opposition to the American occupation. You can only hope Iraqis are made of sterner stuff than say, the Spanish. Or Gulf states that both ally themselves with Washington but pay protection money to al-Qaeda (Qatar, Saudi Arabia) Posted by: Moonbat_One on May 11, 2005 02:09 PM
It's good that our tip of the spear is better than the radical Muslim's tip of the spear, but the larger war is about ideas, not IEDs. We defeated Soviet communism not by weaponry, but by the superiority of our economic model and their deficiency of ideas. Radical Islam will be defeated only when the larger construct of Islam rejects terrorism as a worthy vehicle to advance the cause. The larger problem on the Horizon is China. Which has fashioned a new version of Communism far more successfull than the Soviet model - a model with new ideas that is rapidly advancing the prosperity of the citizenry, their educational attainments and cleaning clock on the American economic model. Posted by: Cedarford on May 11, 2005 02:44 PM
Dark Knight was my absolute favorite. God I wish they had made a movie out of it while Charleton Heston was still, you know, Charleton Heston. PS - Phinn, you fuckin' ROCK man! Frank Miller and Sun Tzsu in the same thread. I love this place! Posted by: Dacotti on May 11, 2005 03:32 PM
I dunno about that "limited supply of crazies" thing. I mean, there's still *plenty* of places on this planet where you grow up in shit, live in shit, and die in shit, not to put too fine a point on it. If somebody comes to you and says, "Kill yourself and your family gets as much money as you could ever make in 10 years" there's probably literally millions of people who can be convinced by that. And, there's probably a fair few of those for whom the 10-years-wage amount is in the low thousands of dollars. We might have obliged the majority of people willing to die for Allah, but people willing to die to give their families a good life will probably always be around. Am I wrong? Now, that's not to say that we have to solve world hunger to get rid of the terrorist threat, but as long as large parts of the world don't like us, and are poor, I think we still stand to have problems. Posted by: James on May 11, 2005 04:09 PM
If you want some facts regarding China, go here. This "model with new ideas that is rapidly advancing the prosperity of the citizenry" has an unemployment rate of 20%, 10% in the urban areas. Some people really need to do some fact checking before they comment. Posted by: BrewFan on May 11, 2005 04:42 PM
Thanks, Dacotti. Ace's site is one of the few places where my areas of "expertise" are appreciated. James: that's not to say that we have to solve world hunger to get rid of the terrorist threat, but as long as large parts of the world don't like us, and are poor, I think we still stand to have problems. You are putting the cart before the horse. The violence and oppressive governments that produce terrorists also contribute to the poverty you describe. While it may be true that poverty contributes to crime, you can't ignore the fact that crime also contributes to poverty. There is nothing more conducive to long-lasting, intractable poverty than having either a government (or a citizenry) that is committed to achieving its ends through force and acts of terror. If you first eliminate the oppressive governments and crack down on the violence , then the peaceful, beneficial business-people can enter and the free market can operate. Only the free market can alleviate the grinding poverty that you describe. Posted by: Phinn on May 11, 2005 05:07 PM
Some writer right after 9/11 wrote that Islam had just gone super-nova. There was this huge bright flash, a tremendous amount of damage, and then nothing would be left of it, but a burnt cinder. Oh and wasn't that Dark Night Returns the one with the girl Robin? Posted by: Iblis on May 11, 2005 05:36 PM
We defeated Soviet communism not by weaponry, but by the superiority of our economic model and their deficiency of ideas. Posted by: on May 11, 2005 06:57 PM
I don't think they give it much thought. They are killing just out of rage, not to achieve any political purpose. the political purpose is headlines. and they have willing media cheerleaders here in the states. As vietnam taught us, guerilla wars aren't won on the battlefield anymore, they're won on public opinion. If they can kill 50 iraqis and 3 americans a day, they get their 15 minutes a day, every day pounding the US public till, they hope, we finally get tired of it and political pressure pushes our leaders to plan a coitus interruptus. That's when they win. Posted by: moflicky on May 11, 2005 07:23 PM
We defeated Soviet communism not by weaponry, but by the superiority of our economic model and their deficiency of ideas. I have this notion, totally unprovable, that our defeat of the Soviet Union was not prinicipally political, economic, or military (although all these made a difference). It was largely cultural. If you travel to enough places, you cannot help but be struck by the cultural hegemony of the United States when it comes to matters such as fashion and music. I'm thinking the USSR was not brought down by nuclear weapon deployments in Europe, free market economics, or the siren song of democracy. It was brought down by Madonna and blue jeans. The larger problem on the Horizon is China. Which has fashioned a new version of Communism far more successfull than the Soviet model - a model with new ideas that is rapidly advancing the prosperity of the citizenry, their educational attainments and cleaning clock on the American economic model. Oh please. China does not have any new ideas. They have a capitalist economy masquerading as a communist state . The Chinese have always been intensely entrepreneurial -- so now the Red Army operates like any American company to fund itself. China has the same thing India and other nations have -- cheap labor. The only slightly new thing is that these countries are offering cheap knowledge workers, not just cheap manual labor. People in India are doing American tax returns. So in a globalized economy, business is migrating to the cheap labor pool. What else is new? These things even out in the long run. The cost of tech workers in Bangalore is rising rapidly, and American businesses are starting to look elsewhere for cheap labor to staff the IT Helpdesk. We ultimately benefit from this by being able to buy cheaper goods and services. Sure, we lose some jobs in the process. But it has been a looong time since America was the source of cheap labor, and cheap labor will (I fervently hope) never again be the source of America's competitive advantage. Our real competitive advantage comes from creativity. It's the singular feature of our peculiar society. Only America is capable of producing Bill Gates, the internet, Howard Stern, stealth aircraft, and Eminem. That's our real competitive advantage. We rock.
Posted by: Michael on May 11, 2005 07:33 PM
I don't think they give it much thought. They are killing just out of rage, not to achieve any political purpose. Posted by: Gordon on May 12, 2005 09:37 AM
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