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January 26, 2005
Bad Day In Iraq. [Dave at Garfield Ridge]31 Marines dead after their CH-53 helicopter crashed. Also, four Marines were killed in combat, as well as an Army soldier in a separate attack. While the cause of the helo crash is unknown, a dead American is still a dead American. And sadly, as we approach this weekend's elections, the prospects for violence increase. Over at Garfield Ridge, I express my concern over the Bush Administration's apparent lack of a "Plan B" in case the Iraqi elections fail. You won't find a stronger supporter of the war than I, but it seems to me like we're riding on "wishful thinking" fumes right now. If there's one thing I've learned in my time in the Pentagon, it's that "optimism is not a strategy." Pray for our men and women-- pray for their victory, and pray for their safe return. posted by Ace at 11:46 AM
CommentsI'm sure they have a Plan B, but they're not discussing it. I don't see the benefit of discussing a plan at this time either. This loss of life is heartbreaking. Posted by: Chris Grant on January 26, 2005 11:54 AM
Chris-- I would like to think they have a Plan B, but I'm not as confident as you are. And the problem with never discussing options ahead of time is that you look like you're making it up as you go after the shite hits the fan. For instance, just think of how much political hay the Democrats made with statements like "the Pentagon was unprepared for the insurgency!" and "The SECDEF is responsible for armoring every Humvee!" One can easily imagine the cacophony of criticism next week if, say, most of the election Sunday has to be called off due to violence. Every Dem will be on Hardball playing a genius in hindsight. And while lives are more important than politics, the only way this war is going to be fought to victory is if the President can manage the politics-- either by gaining support for the war, or neutralizing criticism of it. My fingers are crossed for this weekend. But I fear that if things get *really* bad (I'm already resigned to a lot of violence, so my definiton of "really bad" is a very bad day), the Administration has done very little in the way of specifics to prepare the American people for what's next. All they've said in public so far is "It'll be hard, there'll be bloodshed, go Iraqi National Guard!" That may not be enough to insulate them from criticism. Then again, I'm also a realist-- the Dems are going to complain no matter what. All that's left is finding out which horrible images from Baghdad complement their complaints on CNNMSNBCCBSABCNBC. -- Dave at Garfield Ridge Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on January 26, 2005 12:23 PM
Our track record in Iraq so far has been mixed, there just is no denying it. Though I share Dave's worry, I expect that somehow the force of events set already in motion will be unstoppable by even the worst terrorists attacks. I am far more fearful of our own press attacks upon the war. Last night on Front Line a brother of three dead suicide bombers went down the Liberal littany and mentioned the "no WMDs" mantra as one of the reasons for terrorism. Our Liberal Press is the most powerful weapon terrorists have against us as they turn Moslems and everyone else in the world against us just to get Bush. Now THIS is a truly frightening scenario. Posted by: 72VIRGINS on January 26, 2005 12:25 PM
I, for one, would prefer not to see any discussion of plans or options in public, because it only provides valuable information to our enemies. By all means, however, have informed oversight through the appropriate Congressional committees, with severe punishment for leakers. That is, after all, how a republican form of government is supposed to work. Posted by: HT on January 26, 2005 01:12 PM
Dave, you served at the Pentagon, though I'm not sure in what capacity. What would you suggest the president say to offset current and post-election criticism (that is purely strategic in how the war will be run)? I'm interested in your take on this as a former Pentagon person. Posted by: Chris Grant on January 26, 2005 01:16 PM
Erm, Dave I'd like to hear your impressions on the thought that AQ is (going forward) going to have more of a focus in Europe (than the US) as we've "hardened" access to the country, and have better counter-terrorism systems in place compared to the EU weenies. If that is in fact a tactic they're employing, it will be interesting to see what tactics they employ in Iraq. They weren't able to get shit off the ground in Afghanistan, and that was RUN by a bunch of hardline islamists. Iraq, obviously, is a different story, but shit, if security isn't tight there election day, it isn't tight anywhere. Posted by: fat kid on January 26, 2005 01:46 PM
Nice to see that Ace may be gone but his spirit of defeatism goes on. Posted by: someone on January 26, 2005 02:36 PM
Why would anyone, based on the administration's track record, expect that they have a "plan B" for anything? They appear to adhere to Will Smith's injunction that Plan B would only distract from Plan A. Plus, in the Faith Based Policymaking of this administration, having a Plan B would really be an insult to faith in divine providence. I expect that the elections themselves will go as well as expected; several polling places will be car bombed, the bulk of the Sunni Triangle will not participate, the Shi'as will take control and negotiate with the Kurds, the administration will declare it all good and move on. Posted by: vonKreedon on January 26, 2005 03:18 PM
Chris, Fat Kid-- If you wouldn't mind waiting, I'll write a bit more on the subject over on my site, .after I get home from work As for Ace's spirit of defeatism-- Good Lord, I'm not *predicting* failure. I'm just talking about what would happen next *if* we fail-- or more accurately, if the election failed to improve the situation (which, it must be remembered, is ultimately a failure on the part of the Iraqis, not America. . . although we certainly share some responsibility). Cheers, Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on January 26, 2005 03:34 PM
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What? Skeleton of the most famous Musketeer, D'Artagnan, possibly discovered in Dutch church closet.
Dumas picked four names of real musketeers out of a history book, D'Artagnan, Athos, Aramis, and Porthos. So there was an actual D'Artagnan, though he made most of the story up. (Or, you know, all of it.)* Charles de Batz de Castelmore, known as d'Artagnan, the famous musketeer of Kings Louis XIII and Louis XIV, spent his life in the service of the French crown. A lot of Dumas's stories are based on bits of real history. The plot of the >Three Musketeers, about trying to recover lost diamonds from the queen's necklace, was cribbed from the then-almost-contemporaneous Affair of the Queen's Necklace. And the Man in the Iron Mask is based on real accounts of a prisoner forced to wear a mask (though I think it was a velvet mask). * Oh, I should mention, Dumas says all this, about finding the names in an old book, in the prologue to his novel. But authors lie a lot. They frequently present fictions as based on historic fact. The twist is, he was actually telling the truth here. At least about these four musketeers having actually existed and served under Louis XIV. Fun fact: You know the beginning of A Fistful of Dollars where the local gunslingers make fun of Clint Eastwood's donkey and Eastwood demands they apologize to the donkey? That's lifted from The Three Musketeers. Rochefort mocks D'Artagnan's old, brokedown farm horse and D'Artagnan is incensed.
A commenter asked which should be read first, The Hobbit of LOTR?
Easy, no question -- read The Hobbit first. It's actually the start of the story and comes first chronologically. It sets up some major characters and major pieces in play in LOTR. Also, the Hobbit is Beginner-Friendly, which LOTR isn't. The Hobbit really is a delightful book, and a fast read. It's chatty, it's casual, it's exciting, and it's funny. In that dry cheeky British humor way. I love that the narrator is constantly making little asides and commentary, like he's just sitting next to you telling you this story as it occurs to him. LOTR is a very long story. Fifteen hundred pages or so. The Hobbit is relatively short and very punchy and easy to read. If you don't like The Hobbit, you can skip out on LOTR. If you do like it, you'll be primed to read LOTR. Oh, I should say: The Hobbit is written as if it's for children, but one of those smart children's stories that are also for adults. Don't worry, there's also real fighting and violence and horror in it, too. LOTR is written for adults. (It's said that Tolkien wrote both for his children, but LOTR was written 17 years later, when his children were adults.) Some might not like The Hobbit due to its sometimes frivolous tone. Me, I love it. I find it constantly amusing. Both are really good but there is a starkly different tone to both. LOTR is epic, grand, and serious, about a world war, The Hobbit is light and breezy, and about a heist. Though a heist that culminates in a war for the spoils.
The Hobbit Challenge: Read two more chapters. I didn't have much time. Bilbo got the ring.
I noticed a continuity problem. Maybe. Now, as of the time of The Hobbit, it was unknown that this magic ring was in fact a Ring of Power, and it was doubly unknown that it was the Ring of Power, the Master Ring that controlled the others. But the narrator -- who we will learn in LOTR was none of than Bilbo himself, who wrote the book as "There and Back Again" -- says this about Gollum's ring: "But who knows how Gollum had come by that present [the Ring], ages ago in the old days when such rings were still at large in the world? Perhaps even the Master who ruled them could not have said." In another passage, the ring is identified as a "ring of power." I don't know, I always thought there was a distinction between mere magic rings and the Rings of Power created by Sauron. But this suggests that Bilbo knew this was a ring of power created by Sauron. Now I don't remember when Bilbo wrote the Hobbit. In the movie, he shows Frodo the book in Rivendell, and I guess he wrote it after he left the Shire. I guess he might have added in the part about the ring being a ring of power created by "the Master" after Gandalf appraised him of his research into the ring. I never noticed this before. I know Tolkien re-wrote this chapter while he was writing LOTR to make the ring important from the start. And also to make Gollum more sinister and evil, and also to remove the part where Gollum actually offers Bilbo the ring as a "present" -- Bilbo had already found it on his own, but Gollum was wiling to give it away, which obviously is not something the rewritten Gollum would ever do. But I had no memory of the ring being suggested to be The Ring so early in the tale.
Finish the job, Mr. President!
Melanie Phillips lays out the case for the total destruction of the Iranian government and armed forces. [CBD]
Oh, I forgot to mention this quote from Pete Hegseth, reported by Roger Kimball: "We are sharing the ocean with the Iranian Navy. We're giving them the bottom half."
Batman fires The Batman
Batman is disgusted by the Joachim Phoenix version of Joker Batman tries to fire Superman Batman is still workshopping his Bat-Voice
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click: Red Leather Suit and Sweatband Edition
And I was here to please I'm even on knees Makin' love to whoever I please I gotta do it my way Or no way at all
Tomorrow is March 25th, "Tolkien Reading Day," because March 25th is the day when the Ring is destroyed in the book. I think I'm going to start the Hobbit tomorrow and read all four books this time.
The only bad part of the trilogy are the Frodo/Sam chapters in The Two Towers. They're repetitive, slow, and mostly about the weather and terrain. But most everything else is good. Weirdly, the Frodo-Sam chapters in Return of the King are exciting and action-packed and among the best in the trilogy. (Though the chapters with everyone else in Return of the King get pretty slow again. Mostly people talking about marching towards war, and then marching towards war.)
Sec. Army recognizes ODU Army ROTC cadets for their bravery and sacrifice in private ceremony
[Hat Tip: Diogenes] [CBD]
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click
One day I'm gonna write a poem in a letter One day I'm gonna get that faculty together Remember that everybody has to wait in line Oh, [Song Title], look out world, oh, you know I've got mine
US decimation of Iran's ICBM forces is due to Space Force's instant detection of launches -- and the launchers' hiding places -- and rapid counter-attack via missiles
AI is doing a lot of the work in analyzing images to find the exact hiding place of the launchers. Counter-strikes are now coming in four hours after a launch, whereas previously it might have taken days for humans to go over the imagery and data.
Robert Mueller, Former Special Counsel Who Probed Trump, Dies
“robert mueller just died,” trump wrote in a truth social post on march 21. “good, i’m glad he’s dead. he can no longer hurt innocent people! president donald j. trump.”
Canadian School Designates Cafeteria And Lunchroom As "No Food Zones" For Ramadan
Canada and the UK are neck and neck in the race to become the first western country to fall to Islam [CBD] Recent Comments
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