It's not a secret that weekend polling has consistently created a Kerry bump that smooths out as the week begins anew. Why should it be different now?

Also well-acknowledged is that tracking polls are less verifiable than "regular" polls, due to smaller sample sizes and wholesale lack of internals.

Of more interest is a fact like Kerry pulling his ads from NM and effectively conceding that blue state.

Keep abreast of the latest words at Nationalreview.com 's KerrySpot, Corner, and Battlegrounders, as well as the fascinating HorseRaceBlog (jaycost.blogspot.com).

Normal people were celebrating Halloween yesterday, especially Bush voting married family people and Non-New York liberals. Normal people also hang up on telemarketers and pollsters.

The best news is that Kerry is only leading by 8 points in Florida's early voting. Old people have been standing in line since 5:30 am, bused in by democrats from their nursing homes, the Republicans haven't even voted yet, and Kerry only has 51%! (I want to know where the other 6% went in that poll - I mean, these people don't remember who they voted for?)

Deep breaths, dude. It's going to be a long couple of days.

Bush will win this thing. No worries here.

Ace: Man... you know I love you like the mother I never had...

... but, seriously. You keep wigging out like this, every time Zogby or some other partisan Dem-pocketed polling shill shoots a meaningful glance our way... and: I'm gonna make you tart up like the lead singer for Ratt and yodel "Body Talk" while wriggling on my lap like an amphetamined cobra, okay... ?

We're ahead in Ohio, and pulling further away from the margin of error daily. Florida is defensible, and Kerry (meanwhile) is only just now discovering -- too late -- that PA, NJ and Hawaii are all trouble spots, rather than safe bets.

*Unclench*, for the luvva mike. You could probably crack walnuts with that sphincter, right about now. :)

Tranquillo, amigo. With few exceptions (2000 being one. :( )Republican candidates tend to under-poll, until the "one that counts."

For example, 1996: http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=119

and http://www.ncpp.org/1936-2000.htm

Reagan/Carter was "too close to call." Har!

I don't believe a majority of voters wish to tatoo "Surrender Monkey" on their foreheads, so I look for a Bush win.

Cordially...