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October 26, 2004

A Bit o' Optimism

Some of you think I'm being a nervous Nelly. Well, I'm just telling you my gut, which frankly changes week-by-week. If you want to prove me wrong-- vote.

But just to inject a little optimism into the discussion, Hugh Hewitt interviewed the indispensible political analyst Michael Barrone, a man who has a reputation that's more important to him than political pimping. He says that Bush could win 35-36 states.

That's not as big a statement as it may read at first blush; for one thing, a lot of things could happen. I could, for example, be hired on as Paula Zahn's guest-host for election week.

For another, we already know (or at least we hope!) that Bush is going to win a majority of states, but many of those states are pretty small.

Still, sounds kinda good to me.

I'm confused. How can you be both
so insightful and so goshdarn funny at once?
You're like James Spader in Tuff Turf, only
hotter, and without the slightly
Cornelius-from-Planet-of-the-Apes nostrils.

Update: Hugh Hewitt also links an article further exploring John Kerry's continuing insistence on posing as a "real man" and "regular guy" who "really digs this crazy new sport of 'Base-Ball' that's so popular with the masses" and yet who continues incorrectly announcing the scores of Red Sox games.

He reminds me of Dennis Finch from Just Shoot Me, a geeky guy lying to his wife in an effort to appear more manly. When Finch was actually exhibiting his prized Abyssinian at a cat-show, he claimed to have been playing rugby. "It was rough stuff," he said. "Lots of blood. I scored two tabernacles and a walkabout."

Go Sox! Really knock those tabernacles out of the park.

Is There Such a Thing as Too Much Kim Richards: CNN/Gallup/USAT have Bush up by 8, 51-43, in Florida.

Oddly enough, Florida is shaping up to be semi-safe for Bush.

That CNN article is pretty funny. Although the main hed announces their own poll shows Bush beating the crap out of Kerry, a sub-hed is quick -- too quick, one might say -- to announce that other polls show the contest tighter.

Once again, the liberal media seems to be rather begrudging about their own polls when they show the wrong man ahead.

posted by Ace at 01:56 AM

Comments

Hijacking this thread too:

Was it Tuff Turf that opened with the guy riding a bike and singing, boo-bop-a-lee-bop, my baby?

Cause I kinda thought it was but I might be confused because I thought that was Matt Dillon doing that, not James Spader.

But I was all wet about Switek being played by Chris Penn the other day, too, so I'll look to this group of Tuff Turf experts to straighten me out.

Good to hear that from Barone. Hewitt's predictions along this line seemed a little fanciful but this is a nice boost.

Posted by: See Dubya on October 26, 2004 02:16 AM

I actually don't know. I only half-saw parts of it at a party. I had never heard of the movie before. I asked a guy, "Why are you showing this stupid movie?" and he said, "Kim Richards, man." And so I watched her dance around a bit, but what the movie was about, I could not say.

It seemed to involve James Spader on a motorcycle and Kim Richards playing a Madonna-clone called "Frankie" or something.

Posted by: ace on October 26, 2004 02:55 AM

She also was in the sitcom "Nanny and the Professor"

Posted by: ordi on October 26, 2004 03:04 AM

Hewitt: Interesting that comes out in the Scotsman, not an American paper.

Florida: This is Kim Richards in a white sequined push-up bathing suit, blazing away with a .454 Casull, driving a Jaguar with Tawny Kitaen on the hood banging a cowbell good news.

Tuff Turf: I saw it at a friends' house and I think, looking back, he may have been more interested in James Spader or whoever the Boobopaleebop guy was cause he replayed that like eight times.

Posted by: on October 26, 2004 03:23 AM

That was me with the boobopaleebop stuff.

HD Miller called Kerry "Senator von Munchausen" (over at travellingshoes.blogspot.com) for his goofy exaggerations, like "running" the Boston marathon. Here's another one in the Munchausen files.

Posted by: See Dubya on October 26, 2004 03:26 AM

Kim Richards....now there's a blast from the past! She rocked as Tia in "Escape To Witch Mountain" with Ike Eisenman.

Posted by: Da Goddess on October 26, 2004 04:33 AM

Unfortunately, the Kim Richards nude scene in "Tuff Turf" used a body double. When I learned that, a little light went out of my life. Don't forget that everyone's favorite drug user, Robert Downey Jr., was also in that movie.

Posted by: Brass on October 26, 2004 09:53 AM

Tuff Turf?

How on earth did that come up? I have not thought about that film in 10 years!!! Why would I?

I do not feel as alone in the world as I did when I woke up this morning. What a strange, strange reaction to a obscure movie reference.

Thank you, Ace.

Posted by: Tom Vaugahn on October 26, 2004 10:19 AM

Ace, all you need to know about this coming election is where the candidates are campaigning. Yesterday Komrade Kerry and Comrade Clinton were campaigning in Philly, an area that should be so solidly locked in for them that they wouldn't bother.
Yesterday Dubya was campaigning in Iowa, a state that the Gorebot took in '00.
Forget the polls, look where the candidates are campaigning.
Oh, since my wife has a gun...who is Kim Richards?

Posted by: Peter on October 26, 2004 12:48 PM

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Top Headlines

This isn't Christmas Eve fare, and I thought about waiting until the 26th to post it, but supposedly an amateur detective has solved the Zodiac killer mystery. And the horrific Black Dahlia killing. He says it's the same person! I always thought of them as very far apart in time but I think Black Dahlia was mid-fifties (nope, 1947) mid and the Zodiac murders began in 1968 so it's possible it's the same killer.

The killer, if it's the same man, would have been in his 20s when he killed the Black Dahlia and his 40s when he did the Zodiac murders. Possible.

A little caveat: I saw someone snark on Reddit, "The Zodiac case gets solved more often than Wordle." There are a ton of coincidences here, supposedly, like a Zodiac cipher being solved by the name "Elizabeth." Elizabeth Short was the name of the so-called Black Dahlia.

If you don't know about the Black Dahlia, don't look it up. Just accept that it's grisly on the level of Jack the Ripper.

Yes, the named suspect resembles the police sketch of Zodiac.

Here's a podcast with the amateur sleuth who claims he cracked the Zodiac.
Daily Mail article.
Link to get around the LA Times' paywall for their article.

Podcast: The great Trump fleet? The economy is solid, Somalia's corrosive effect on America, Merry Christmas, and more!

The "Donroe Doctrine:" Trump means to end the terrorist-supporting Ghost Fleet of oil tankers used to fund Iran's Qods Force and Hezballah. He might just happen to dethrone Maduro in the process.

Former Republican liberal Ben Sasse announces that he has stage IV metastasized pancreatic cancer: "I'm gonna die"
It's not just a "death sentence," as he says, but a rapidly coming one. I hope he can put his affairs in order and make sure his family is in a good as a position as they can be.

Ernst Lubitsch's filmography definitively ranked, by TJM.

Have an ICEy Christmas!

Brown killer takes the coward's way out. Naturally.
Still not identified, for some reason.
Per Fox 25 Boston, the killer was a non-citizen permanent legal resident
It continues to be strange that the police are so protective of his identity.

Podcast: Will Ukraine be a flashpoint for a Korean conflict, Trump's intemperate Reiner comments, it's the economy stupid! the Monroe/Trump Doctrine, Bondi, Brown, MIT, and more!

Mike Rowe for Secretary of Labor [CBD]

Great bad guy actor Peter Greene dies at 60 [CBD]

Fearful French cancel NYE concert on Champs-Élysées as migrant violence grows
The time is now! France must fight for its culture! [CBD]

Gov. Tim Walz has been diagnosed with a terrible medical condition. [Mis. Hum]

Megyn Kelly finally calls out Candace Owens
Whoops, I meant she bravely attacks Sydney Sweeney for "bending the knee." (Sweeney put out a very empty PR statement saying "I'm against hate." Whoop-de-doo.)
Megyn Kelly claims she doesn't want to call people out on the right when asked about Candace Owens but then has no compunctions at all about calling people out on the right.
As long as they're not Candace Owens. Strangely, she seems blind and deaf to anything Candace Owens says. That's why this woman calls her "Megyn Keller."
She's now asking her pay-pigs in Pakistan how they think she should address the Candace Owens situation, and if they think this is really all about Israel and the Jews.

The World Must Stop Ignoring What Iranians Already Know: The Regime Is on the Brink
Isn't it pretty to think so? [CBD]

Podcast: Pete Hegseth is everything the left hates...and we love! Illinois is the next flashpoint for federal supremacy with regard to our borders, Trump's communication leaves something to be desired, and more!

I have happily forgotten what Milo Yiannopoulos sounds like, but I still enjoyed this impression from from Ami Kozak.

More revelations about the least-sexy broken relationship in media history
I'd wanted to review Parts 2, 3, and 4 of Ryan Lizza's revenge posts about Olivia Nuzzi, but they're all paywalled. I thought about briefly subscribing to get at them, but then I read this in Part 2:

Remember the bamboo from Part 1?

Do I ever! It's all I remember!

Well, bamboo is actually a type of grass, and underground, it's all connected in a sprawling network, just like the parts of this story I never wanted to tell. I wish I hadn't been put in this position, that I didn't have to write about any of this, that I didn't have to subject myself or my loved ones to embarrassment and further loss of privacy.

We're back to the fucking bamboo. Guys, I don't think I can pay for bamboo ruminations.
I think he added that because he was embarrassed about all the bamboo imagery from Part 1. He's justifying his twin obsessions: His ex, and bamboo. Which is not a tree but a kind of grass, he'll have you know.

Olivia Nuzzi's crappy Sex and the City fanfic book isn't selling, says CNN (and CNN seems pretty pleased about that)

On Tuesday, the book arrived in stores. At lunchtime, in the Midtown Manhattan nexus of media and publishing, interest in Nuzzi's story seemed more muted. The Barnes and Noble on Fifth Avenue had seven copies tucked into a "New & Notable" rack next to the escalator, below Malala Yousafzai's "Finding My Way." Not many had sold so far, a store employee said.

A few blocks uptown, at a branch of the local independent chain McNally Jackson Books, a few volumes lay on a table of new and noteworthy nonfiction near the front of the store. No one was lining up to get them, or even browsing. Bookseller Alex Howe told CNN around 3 p.m. that though the store had procured "several dozen" copies, not a single one had yet sold -- a figure he said was surprising, considering how many people in media and publishing work in the area.

"We ordered a lot and so far, people have not been beating down the door," Howe said. "I'm not sure where we're gonna put them because right now, supply is outpacing demand." (A manager at McNally Jackson noted that Howe was speaking only in a personal capacity, not as a representative of the store.)

She trashes Ryan Lizza for his "Revenge Porn" here. Emily Jashinsky says that when the Bulwark's gay grifter Tim Miller asked why she didn't report on the (alleged) use of ketamine by RFKJr., she broke down in tears and asked to end the interview.

Canada Euthanized a Record 16.4K People Last Year
Aktion T4, now with Poutine! [CBD]

Trump's DOT Drops the Hammer: Thousands of CDL Trainers Shut Down
This is how it is done. [CBD]