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| Shock: Kerry Admits French and German Troops in Iraq "Unlikely" »
October 06, 2004
Even After Debate, New Jersey Is Still a Toss-UpKerry leads 49-46, inside the MoE (although barely so). Who slapped New Jersey with the Smart Stick? Is there any chance of similarly slapping Michigan? posted by Ace at 01:07 PM
CommentsJim McGreevy. Posted by: someone on October 6, 2004 01:33 PM
Michigan is THE toughest nut...AFL-CIO's strongest state...AFSCME very strong here too...and NEA...and on and on and on... Bush better be ahead by 5-7 points on election day or they're gonna steal it. Posted by: superhawk on October 6, 2004 02:13 PM
As a wolverine, I have to believe that if New Jersey can be that close, there's no reason Michigan can't be either. haven't seen any recent polls, but Rassmussen had it tied on the 30th... Posted by: marc on October 6, 2004 02:23 PM
Analysis (I'm being generous to myself with this description) of Michigan over at my blog; scroll down a bit and leave a comment if you like Otherwise, Instapundit already linked it but everyone should read ejectejecteject.com No offense Ace but it's the best posting I've ever read. EVER. Posted by: Birkel on October 6, 2004 02:34 PM
Bill at ejecteject...excellent rant. Thanks for the tip, Birkel! Articulated the central issues of strategy in the WoT and Iraq in a way the Bushies can't or won't. Give Bill a White House speechwriter's job if there is a 2nd Term. While the Jersey vote is still close, Bush's lead continues to shrink as more post-debate polls come out, from around 7 points down to 1.5 in the past 7 days. Pennsylvania is now shifted from toss-up to leaning Kerry. Ohio and Iowa have moved from leaning Bush to toss-up. Maine is back with Kerry, as is New Mexico. If Bush has Binnie stashed in Crawford, now might be a good time to haul him out. Or finally launch the battle to wipe out the terrorists in Fallujah. Or to take some "energy and articulatiousness" pills to get ready for Friday's Kerry debate. Posted by: Cedarford on October 6, 2004 03:41 PM
Michigan might move towards Bush like NJ did, if they too had a freshly outed gay adulterous governor, who hired his unqualified lover for the top anti-terrorism job in the state at over $100,000 of public funds. Every time NJ voters think of the democrat party, waves of nausea come over them. Posted by: susan on October 7, 2004 03:26 AM
Are you in Michigan Ace? If so shoot me a note, we'll get together for dinner some time. Anyway: Bush is well within striking distance in Michigan. It's not that tough a nut to crack. We had a Republican governor, a very popular one, for 12 years, and when he was term-limited out, the Democrat Granholm replaced him, but in a squeaker election victory against an incredibly weak and inept Republican. That same year, Republicans took every single other statewide office, and kept comfortable majorities in both state houses. No, Michigan is HARDLY unwinnable for Republicans. But the economy's been slower here than in much of the rest of the Union, so it's a tougher slog for him. Posted by: Dean Esmay on October 7, 2004 06:08 AM
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| The Deplorable Gourmet A Horde-sourced Cookbook [All profits go to charity] Top Headlines
Dude trolls a city council meeting about permitting yet another mosque by promising the mosque will destroy America
"All women who are overweight or obese will have to wear burka. 10,000 steps per day, low carb."
Months ago, I reported that the final Zodiac cypher had been cracked and the name of the killer revealed. And the name of the killer turned out to be someone suspected in the unsolved Black Dahlia murder. The general tone of my mention of this was "serious you guys, this is real."
Well, it's not real. It's total bullshit. Sorry about that. I did two things: 1, I bought into something, a conspiracy theory really, because it was new and exciting. And 2, I allowed a self-declared "expert" to snow me over with his "expert" claims about solving ciphers, an alleged expertise I could not challenge because I know practically nothing about codebreaking. I remember being similarly swindled by self-declared "experts" babbling about "chromatic aberrations." (Although I didn't really buy into that, but I found it "interesting" and I wasn't strongly skeptical about it. Hey they said they're "experts," they must know that they're talking about, right?) I screwed up. It won't be the last time, I'm sure.
TJM definitively ranks the films of Andrei Tarkovsky and explains the joys of discovering older movies over anticipating new ones.
Via Archimedes:
Selections from H.P. Lovecraft's Brief Tenure as a Whitman's Sampler Copywriter More at this ineffable link
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click
I haven't forgotten this one. I play it a couple of times a month. But I bet a lot of you forgot it: Athletic (boogie down) Hustle (turn back) Feel pathetic (sugar town) No muscle (soul hack) I'm jumping (you move) No dancer (beside me) I'm thumping (you prove) Don't get no answer
On "Professor" Arday:
He was their living lawn jockey, period. They won't say that 'cause they're sensitive and down with his struggle and all. He was there to appease and flatter their sense of being uplifters of the oppressed. In truth, he served as their living lawn jockey -- no more, no less, and unworthy of even a second thought on their part. Tokenism, pure and simple.-- Krebs v Carnot
Ireland's 'Air Force One' lacks a key safety system for fog -- thanks to country's ban on Israeli products
Ireland's best emigrated 150 years ago. The current Ireland is a sad joke. [CBD]
The Short Unhappy Life of a Russian Soldier: Why recruits die in 20-30 minutes
Interesting video. Some key parts: drones were responsible for 70-80% of all battlefield deaths in mid-2025, and I bet it's higher now. The Russian army is incredibly corrupt. Men get assigned to the most dangerous frontline units, the "Storm" units, unless they pay a superior $2,000 to be assigned to a different unit. Furthermore, there is often no real training for recruits -- commanders pocket the money that would have gone towards fuel and ammo costs incurred during training. Much "training" consists just of taking a single picture of soldiers doing something soldier-y, like fording a river, and publishing that as proof that the training was done. Even when it is done, training is only two weeks long. Recent Comments
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