Can't agree with this analysis.Kerry is finished because he is Kerry and because his Party is bankrupt.What is important about the latest polls (well actually ALL the polls in August)is not Bush's rating;it is Kerry's rating which had been on a long slow slide since the DNC and now just fell off the cliff last week.
If Bush loses this election it will be a sign that the end is near as 'historical reality'is clearly pointing to a blowout in preparation for the world conflict with Islam.This is not a NORMAL election.This is an historical turning point election and should not be viewed through the norman prism.

MSM self-destructing and losing credibility each and every day.
Hollywood gone off the cliff already and showing how shallow it really is.
Michael Moore considered a profit by the LLL when any normal person just sees a FAT,GRUBBY,DISHEVELLED,IGNORANT,propagandist.
Zell Miller telling it like it is for MANY MANY MANY fed up people.And as a bonus he managed to take on the media as well.Remember he was supposed to be too HOT,but yesterday GWB was playing him up as a man who would campaign with him, to BIG appluse in Pennsylvania.
United(anti-terror)Republican Party.See Zogby comments.
Divided and fearful Democratic Party.Watch and listen to ANY of their spokespeople.
Bush ---- decent man.This is allowed even by his opponents.
Kerry---- waste of space.This is allowed even by his supporters.
I don't think these are biased points.They may be one-sided but not biased.
Titanic is exactly the analogy as you have pointed out previously.Once you hit the iceberg,there simply is no turning back.Its just a matter of time.Any terrorist attack simply makes the damage to Kerry worse.Most decent people have had enough and it shows.

Ace, don't you dare question Teresa's patriotism.

I question your patriotism.

I question EVERYONE'S patriotism.
New data from Rasmussen below--- All GOOD NEWS.

http://tinyurl.com/66n2b

Dougf,

Good stuff, but since Kerry's onetime lead was soft and easily lost, what gives you confidence that Bush's lead is solid and permanent?

That was sort of rhetorical, by the way. You don't need to prove your hunch.

Ace--

Have you been paying attention to your site visits and views? Perhaps I'm reading Sitemeter wrong, but it looks like you're positively on fucking FIRE lately.

Or just look at the numbers of comment postings-- double digits on nearly every post during the past few days.

In my informal polling, you're responsible for a massive energizing of the Republican/conservative/shitkicker base, and doing more than your part for a safer, more hopeful America.

Congrats!

Your number #1 fan (like Kathy Bates, only sexier),
Dave
Arlington, Virginia

Have you been paying attention to your site visits and views? Perhaps I'm reading Sitemeter wrong, but it looks like you're positively on fucking FIRE lately.

I look at that thing more that I'm comfortable admitting. It's not so much that I'm getting more traffic (although I am; I got a couple of big linkers, like Instapundit), but that I re-did my template so that SiteMeter is on my archive pages. I was actually getting a lot more hits than sitemeter was recording; now they're being recorded.

Or just look at the numbers of comment postings-- double digits on nearly every post during the past few days.

That's cool too.

In my informal polling, you're responsible for a massive energizing of the Republican/conservative/shitkicker base, and doing more than your part for a safer, more hopeful America.

Hah. I choose to pretend you're halfway serious.

I'm doing all this for the freaking Bush Administration, and not a one of them invited me to any cool convention parties.

And I assure you my schedule was open.

I lay down this marker: If someone in the Bush administration doesn't show me a little love, I too might begin feeling "heart-ache" about Abu Ghraib and gay marriage.

Hey, no one wants me to go all Sullivan.

I'se just sayin' it's time for the Bushies to give me some props.

Just a little somethin'-somethin'. That's all I'm axing for.

I work for the Pentagon. . . is that close enough to count as the Bush Administration?

Yeah, probably not. Although I'm certain that a Kerry Admin would make my job look very different than it does now, we are, after all officially apolitical.

And, besides, all our parties suck since Tailhook ruined the fun for everybody.

Ace, I'll do my best to find a Bush appointee to send you the love you so richly deserve-- I'm important. I know people. I drive a Dodge Stratus.

Cheers,
Dave
Arlington, Virginia

P.S. Too bad about the Sitemeter thing. Like that poorly designed Newsweek poll, it's just The Man lying with his "statistics" again. But it should help out big in your future, so continued good luck!

Ace,

'Preciate the voice of restraint and realism, but come on, you don't sound that convinced of your own pessimism. Consider these polls as less a bounce than a recovery to the correct level. Awhile ago, before the invasion and during all of the talk of street-to-street fighting in Bagdad, I was chatting with some European coworkers who were certain that Bush would be trounced come the next election, and I pointed out that if the Saddam crumbled quickly (he did) and the economy began to uptick (it has - more cowbell), Bush would win easily. Once the Democratic primary came down to Dean/Kerry, I felt even more comfortable. The RNC was run without any pandering to the left, and frankly generated huge momentum. Even the aforementioned Europeans were greatly impressed, although despondant (ha ha). And there is no reason why Bush won't let up. In fact, let me now make the comparison between the upcoming election and the pre-invasion jitters - and we know how that one turned out.

The histronics coming from the left's bloggers and pundits? Smell's like victoy...

'Preciate the voice of restraint and realism, but come on, you don't sound that convinced of your own pessimism.

I don't think I'm pessismistic. I'm more optimistic now than I've been in six months.

But he's not up by 11. He's up by four or five, and he could easily lose that lead. He will definitely lose some or most of it within three weeks.

Things could break his way. But things could break against him.

I take strong opposition to the comment that people cant take another month of casualties in Iraq. Maybe the left cant, but those supporting the war can, because the implications of success there has ripples effects on all 1 billion muslims and on our safety for future generations.

Like Zell, I stand with securing our safety in the future.

The whole Iraq situation is a Rorschach test: It's a crucial part of the war on terror to us; it's a useless diversion to others. Saddam sponsored, aided, funded, harbored terrorists. And had links to Al Qaeda, including offering safe haven to Bin Laden. HE was a threat, and moreover, this state sponsor of terrorism had a $10 billion corruption-based slush fund to support our enemies, undermine our policies, support terrorists, and pursue banned weapons.

The War on Terror is World War IV (viz Podheretz article) and that the liberation of Iraq is a key part of our effort to win that war.
This idea that we would 'fold' due to casualties is absurd if put in that context. Are we really saying we must win World War IV, but not if there are too many casualties???

Liberating Iraq