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« Media Can't Get Enough of Dissenting Republicans; Oddly Indifferent to Dissenting Dems | Main | No Cowbell on Friday? »
September 02, 2004

A Dukakian Fall?

"Fall" means both "autumn" and, well, "fall." I'm crafty like that.

The convention/SwiftVets/getting to know John Forbes Kerry seems to finally show up in Rasmussen's polling.

49-45: This is the first time that Bush has reached the 49% mark in the Tracking Poll since Kerry wrapped up the Democratic nomination on Super Tuesday (March 2). It's also the first time Bush has been up by four points since April 26.

Kerry reached 49% a few times following his convention but neither candidate has yet reached the 50% mark.

As Harvey Keitel said, "Let's not all start sucking each other's dicks just yet, gentlemen." Still, better small and evanscent movement in our direction than against us. Even if this bounce won't last, even getting a bounce is an accomplishment. At least that means that the public is capable of being persuaded, and certain arguments and facts have been/may yet be capable of persuading them.


Not Even Related at All Update: Actually, this is an update to the Paul Krugman Insanity post, but that's buried by now.

MyPetJawa thinks he's got a picture of the Princeton Paranoiac protesting the RNC.



posted by Ace at 02:26 PM
Comments



What do you mean it's not related? Of course it's related! It's all related, man. It's the hidden connections that matter.

Posted by: RS on September 2, 2004 03:42 PM

That is a *huge* drop considering how Rasmussen works. Until proved otherwise, it's still a crap poll that showed Bush winning by 8 in 2000, but four points in a 1/3 sample is huge. Or did I just say that?

I'd estimate yesterday's sample to be something like Bush 53, Kerry 42.

Let's call it the Arnold sample.

Posted by: Nicholas Kronos on September 2, 2004 06:17 PM

I didn't know they showed Bush by 8 in 2000.

But bear in mind, Bush lost around 5 points the weekend before the election (a lot of that due to the non-suspicious-timing DWI story) that most pollsters didn't catch.

Posted by: ace on September 2, 2004 06:28 PM
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