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« Chirac "Demands" Release of Kidnapped Frenchmen | Main | Bush Now Ahead in WI in Third Poll-- The Big One, Gallup »
August 30, 2004

McCain for Cheney?

So says the rumor mill, according to William Kristol, according to Soxblog, according to Instapundit.

A month ago I would have dismissed this as hooey. But at this point I don't rule anything out.

I guess one thing we know about Bush is that he is determined to 1) not be Clinton and especially to 2) not be his dad.

Well, his dad stuck with an unpopular Vice President and lost, right?

If you read this site on Bloglines, you might have noticed a deleted post that went missing from this site but showed up on Bloglines. I deleted the post because I thought it was silly (that's what I renamed it in draft form). But heck, maybe it wasn't:

Dick Cheney Outs Out-Daughter Before Dropping Out?

Cheney's heartfelt break from Bush on gay "marriage"-- the ultimate "Leaving for Family Reasons" pretext before a veep swap?

See, right before the Vice Presidential address, Dick Cheney announces he's departing, and John McCain/Rudy Guiliani/Tom Ridge/Gary Busey joins the ticket.

Bush loves suprises, right?

Now, I've always shot down these silly speculations. But this one is different. I thought of it.

See? Completely different.

...

(Back to today.)

One more bit of evidence: Karl Rove is promising that Bush will be "bold" at the convention. Why is he heightening expectations? Especially because, let's face it, there seems to be very definite limits to how bold he can possibly be, policy-wise. His foreign policy is bold, but we already know that; he certainly can't announce he'll be even bolder (i.e., the airstrikes on NK and Iran begin in five minutes). And it's not "bold" to promise "more of the same."

Domestic-policy-wise, Republicans have a limited ability to be "bold," since the very foundation of the Republican party is (generally) against additional spending or government programs. Sure, Bush could be "bold" by cancelling or cutting back programs, but that's not the sort of thing you do to reach out to mushy moderates. There's just no money available in the budget, so what on earth could he be "bold" about? John Forbes Kerry is "boldly" promising to bankrupt the country by pouring $1 billion of money we don't have into insuring the uninsured; surely Bush won't (can't) match him dollar-for-dollar in terms of such boldness.

So why is Karl Rove increasing expectations when he really ought to be managing them?

I don't know. Maybe he's just trying to attract viewers (especially conservative viewers), and he figures that it's more important to get people to watch than to actual deliver on his promise of "boldness."

Or maybe he's planning a truly "bold" stroke that won't cost the American taxpayer a dime (at least not directly).

Democratic Rumor? But of course this could all be a Democrat-driven rumor, designed to increase expectations and thereby lead, inevitably, to disappointment.

Democrats know full well how disappointing it is, in political terms, to not land McCain as a vice presidential candidate, having failed to do so themselves.

Update-- Jhaaaannnnnn! Aaron Burr predicts the Democratic response, should John McCain join the Bush ticket.

John Soonian McCain?


posted by Ace at 02:20 PM
Comments



Gary Busey, huh?

I dunno 'bout that. I mean, John Stamos...sure, I could see that. Busey? C'mon.

Posted by: mikeski on August 30, 2004 02:40 PM

Stamos? He just showed a huge dose of questionable judgement by filing for divorce, from that babe Rebecca! We can do beter, he can't.

This is a very intriguing rumor. I am slightly uneasy about McCain, but if that is what it takes to keep this President in there, and us on course to finish the GWOT, then fine by me.

The bold move Rove is promising could be Bush finally taking off the gloves and letting the LLLs have it; maybe their is some soon to be unclassified material that he will share which puts all of the lefts lies in perspective. Nah, that is to much to hope for, and could cause a domestic war, for real. But, there are things Bush can say in answer to his critics that the whole country needs to hear in an unfiltered format. Unfiltered at until he finishes speaking, that is.

Posted by: Richard @ TBR on August 30, 2004 03:33 PM

Ugh, I wrote "t-h-e-i-r", when I meant t-h-e-r-e; I hate reading that mistake, hate more that I made it.

Posted by: Richard @ TBR on August 30, 2004 03:35 PM

I guess one thing we know about Bush is that he is determined to 1) not be Clinton and especially to 2) not be his dad.

That's two things.

Posted by: Joe R. on August 30, 2004 04:07 PM

Ummmm... I was being "ironic."

(Not really. But since everyone claims to have been being "ironic" when caught in an embarassment, I thought I'd give it shot myself.)

Posted by: ace on August 30, 2004 04:10 PM

Ace--

While certainly not *unthinkable*, I doubt he'll switch.

One, he's already pretty invested in the guy. Unlike most pols, loyalty seems to be really important to Dubya, and he'd take a big hit if Cheney left (even if Cheney left for "his" own reasons-- the media would still portray it as a shove out the door).

Second, the inspiration you allude to-- the gay marriage thing-- would hurt Bush if Cheney left. The media would pick up on that and aruge "See, Bush is so conservative, even Cheney couldn't stand it any more."

Finally-- and most important-- why? Cheney is unpopular with *Democrats*, not Republicans. In fact, given how Bush has either ignored the conservative base-- or been accused by the media of ignoring the conservative base so many times that it's now an "accepted truth"-- given that situation, dumping Cheney now for someone like McCain or Guiliani (people who will never publicly say a kind word about the religious right) will only insult that wing of the party, and insinuate they are dispensable.

Trust me-- for Bush to *not* be his father, he has to recognize the core of his party with some healthy admiration. I'm not talking about the stuff that Andrew Sullivan fears-- gay-baiting, Christian sharia and all that crap. I'm talking simple respect. I'm a "big tent" Republican who likes the fact that at the end of the day the Rudy and Ralphs can all agree to disagree as long as Bush wins-- not because he's a Republican, but because he's the best hope for successfully fighting the war we're in today (as opposed to the war we were in 30 years ago).

Cheers,
Dave
Arlington, Virginia

Posted by: Dave on August 30, 2004 04:41 PM
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