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August 26, 2004

Gallup: Bush up 50%-47% Among Likely Voters

Two polls are a trend:

Bush's favorable rating of 54% was his highest since April. By contrast, Kerry's 52% was his lowest since January.

Bush dominated on personal traits such as "honest and trustworthy" and "stands up for what he believes in." But Kerry continued to lead Bush when people were asked who would better handle taxes, education, Medicare and the economy.

The Lead May Not Be Big, and It Might Not be Permanent, But It Is Real Update: How do I know?

I know because the Kerry Camp believes it's real. The "let's debate once a week" ploy was last trotted out when Kerry was an unknown candidate well behind Bush in the polls. We didn't hear anything about weekly debates when Kerry was ahead in the polls, now did we?

The Poverty Figures Aren't Enough To Help You, So Stop Dancing Like a Jackass Update: Poverty climbs 4%; Kerry's retarded celebrations climb 40%.

Update: LAT Poll Shows Push Pulling Ahead in 3 Battlegrounds: Now up in MO, OH, WI.

But...

New FoxPoll shows dead heat, with Kerry up eleven points (49-38) in battlegrounds. (This particular finding has a MOE of +/- 6, though.)

Possible Correction: Clark says I might have misheard; he thinks that this referred to independents in swing states only, which is a little better (but not much). But he's not quite sure either-- this item really did whir by.

More: Edges Kerry in PA among LV's?

Update: Fred Barnes, at the end of the Brit Hume show, mentions that he knows that Kerry thinks he's in trouble because he's asking for weekly debates. Advantage-- Ace of Spades HQ by an hour.


posted by Ace at 04:55 PM
Comments



Forget the polls, go with the vibe. I haven't had the "my guy's gonna win" vibe since 1992 when I voted for Clinton. My guy's gonna win. And he's not Kerry.

Posted by: Ken J, Slow Boat Veteran on August 26, 2004 05:29 PM

But I haven't had that vibe for six months.

I've had bad vibes.

Posted by: ace on August 26, 2004 05:36 PM

Song on my Ipod when I read this post? "Good Vibrations".

Coincidence? Omen? Dumb Luck? You make the call.

Posted by: Senator PhilABuster on August 26, 2004 05:39 PM

Okay Ace, you seem to respond to sci-fi geek analogies so here goes: "Let go, Luke..."

Posted by: Ken J, Slow Boat Veteran on August 26, 2004 06:00 PM

The only reason Kerry leads on issues of the economy, health care, etc. is because of the capital D in parentheses after his name. That's just all the people who've bought into the MSM's meme about D's feel your pain. It's bull shit.

Posted by: Birkel on August 26, 2004 07:42 PM

I'm not sure. I know some people are talking landslide, but I can't agree, I feel more 'close call' which unfortunately, probably also means another nightmare situation like last election. If there is any doubt about a Bush win, the Dems will be at the courts faster than you can say hanging chad. At the very least, they will be looking to throw a black cloud over W's next four years by implying he didn't win.

However, when I look at Kerry, his handling of recent events, and all the fun stuff in store for him over the next 2 months, I can't help sometimes enjoying the thought of a W landslide now and again.

One thing I do know though, I haven't heard the word landslide from the left for a good while now.

Posted by: DelphiGuy on August 27, 2004 01:06 AM

I think Brit said that 11% Kerry lead was among INDEPEDENTS in the battlegound states. It went by fast, so I am not 100% sure.

Posted by: Clark on August 27, 2004 01:32 AM

"let's debate once a week"

As usual, the left has forgotten that most people have jobs to attend to like running the country in war time.

Posted by: DelphiGuy on August 27, 2004 02:13 AM
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-- reportedly a genuine comment offered by a "senior Labour source"
Correction: I wrote that Labour is losing 88% (now 87%) of the seats it is "defending." I think that's wrong. The right way to say it is the seats they are contesting -- that is, they don't necessarily already hold these seats, but they have put up a candidate to run for the seat. It's still very bad but not as bad as losing 87% of the seats they already held.
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🚨ED MILIBAND [a Minister in Starmer's government] SAYS KEIR STARMER WILL RESIGN AS PRIME MINISTER

He has reportedly reassured Labour MP's that Starmer will be resigning following the disastrous results tonight

It's over
"The end of the two party system in the UK" as first the Fake Conservatives and now Labour chooses political suicide rather than simply STOPPING THE INVASION
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No political party that is NOT also a doomsday religious cult would EVER choose a cataclysmic loss -- and possible extinction as a party -- to support a toxically unpopular favoritism of NON-CITIZEN ILLEGAL MIGRANTS over actual citizen voters.

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Now they've lost 84%.
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If this continues Labour loses 2,148 seats tonight.

That is much worse than the worst case predictions I’ve seen.

Cataclysmic

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Yup, Labour is losing 80% of its seats...
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🚨 BREAKING: Labour have lost 80% of all seats contested as of 2:25 AM.<
br> If this continues, Keir Starmer will be out of office next week.

Reform has surged and projected to pick up between 1700-2100 seats.


Wow, up to 1700-2100 seats. It's not incredible that this is happening. It's incredible that the Davos crowd is so absolutely determined to privilege Muslim "migrants" over the actual native population who elects them, no matter how loudly the natives scream that they want to be prioritized, that they will gladly self-extinguish as a party rather than simply representing the interests of their own voters. Astonishing.
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REF +190, LAB -134, CON -56.
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