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« Andrew Sullivan Kerry-Endorsement Watch | Main | Fed: Inflation Tame, Hiring Strong »
June 16, 2004

al-Sadr Sends His Decimated Army Back Home

Yes, it has the stink of a political deal.

And yes, by the lights of justice, he should be dead.

But al-Sadr is primarily a threat to the stability of the Iraq government, not us directly. If the Iraqis want to make peace with him, that's chiefly their decision. He's their problem, ultimately, not so much ours. He's only our problem if he actually comes to power. I think it's a smart bet that he won't.


posted by Ace at 02:37 PM
Comments



If it's a deal, it's the kind of deal to make: we get everything he gets nothing.

He may have his skin for now, but that can be taken from him at any time.

Posted by: Nicholas Kronos on June 16, 2004 02:53 PM

It's the same sort of deal they gave the insurgents in Fallujah. Iraqis in nominal charge of the place, lots and lots of dead martyrs, and not much appitite to tangle with the Americans head-on.

Posted by: H. D. Miller on June 16, 2004 05:15 PM

Unfortunately, its not as simple as that. In the Arab world, survival often gets inflated into victory in the minds of the masses. Remember, Saddam actually said (and apparently believed) that he WON the first Gulf War, simply because he survived and stayed in power. We said we would bring Sadr to justice. If we don't, he will be able to say he went head-to-head against the mighty United States and won. True, he probably lost a lot of militia members ("martyrs" as far as they are concerned) - in any case, there are always more where they came from.

This is the kind of deal that can easily come back and haunt us.

Posted by: Alan M. Ray on June 17, 2004 12:22 AM
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