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« Chewbacca Sings Silent Night | Main | Fun with Froggy! »
December 15, 2005

Juan Cole: Even If A Democratically Elected Iraq Government Requests Us To Withdraw, That's Still a Bad Thing

All this guy wants is a withdrawal. But he wants a withdrawal with defeat. So, even if the Iraqi Government decides, democratically, that a US presence is no longer necessary, it's still a bad thing because it doesn't give us the "L" he so desperately craves.

I'm not sure how else to read this:

The LA Times probably reflects the thinking of a lot of Americans in hoping that these elections are a milestone on the way to withdrawing US troops from Iraq. I cannot imagine why anyone thinks that. The Iraqi "government" is a failed state. Virtually no order it gives has any likelihood of being implemented. It has no army to speak of and cannot control the country. Its parliamentarians are attacked and sometimes killed with impunity. Its oil pipelines are routinely bombed, depriving it of desperately needed income. It faces a powerful guerrilla movement that is wholly uninterested in the results of elections and just wants to overthrow the new order. Elections are unlikely to change any of this.

The only way in which these elections may lead to a US withdrawal is that they will ensconce parliamentarians who want the US out on a short timetable. Virtually all the Sunnis who come in will push for that result (which is why the US Right is silly to be all agog about Fallujans voting), and so with the members of the Sadr Movement, now a key component of the Shiite religious United Iraqi Alliance. That is, these elections lead to a US withdrawal on terms unfavorable to the Bush administration. Nor is there much hope that a parliament that kicked the US out could turn around and restore order in the country.

Is he actually suggesting that we should remain in Iraq against its legitimate government's wishes? He couldn't possibly mean that. We will stay until the job is done and/or the legitimate government of Iraq requests us to. If they no longer want us there, that may be imprudent, but it's not our responsibility to force them into prudence.

You get the feeling, kinda, that this guy is just going to bitch about everything?

Decision '08 has a different take:

We need not have a free Iraq that is in love with America; we only need a country that loves its freedom. That is victory, and it is within reach.

Of course, an Iraq that loves America is the best outcome. But it is hard to love what is, still, a foreign force in your country, even if they're quite necessary and doing great things. It chafes at a person's sense of self. In time, after withdrawal, those feelings will go away, and it will be more Islamically Correct to express gratitude.

A democracy is permitted to make mistakes. I'm sure that Juan Cole would prefer it if the democratic decisions of the Iraqi government were cleared with a body of Big Daddy Philosopher Kings, like, say, a liberal American appellate court, but then, those on the left have never really grasped the whole idea of democracy.

The people decide. Right or wrong. Right in most cases. And if wrong-- they'll get that right, or close enough to right, eventually too.

A lot of goalpost-moving going on here.

Thanks to the Blogometer.


posted by Ace at 06:38 PM
Comments



Ace: That big empty grey bar looks cool, but shouldn't there be words there?

Posted by: DaveP. on December 15, 2005 06:39 PM

The leftwing have backed themselves in a corner. The only way out for them is for us to lose in Iraq. If everything goes pretty well and they seem happy and a Democracy seems to be growing, then all their moaning about this useless war will seem useless in itself.

Sad, isn't it? When America losing or screwing up is what makes the left happy?

Posted by: Rightwingsparkle on December 15, 2005 06:52 PM

I just went to CNN to see the election coverage and the only mention of it is the little box pimpin' Mini Cooper's show and a link to a Time article entitled "Backroom Deals May Decide Iraq Election". Bastids.

Posted by: Joe on December 15, 2005 06:53 PM

Juan Cole a big crybaby? Die of shock.

Posted by: Andrea Harris on December 15, 2005 07:07 PM

What gets my attention now is that the murderers have gone from "terrorists" to "insurgents" to "guerillas", which sounds suspiciously like it's being set up to have a new, Islamic "Che".

Of course the left wants the terrorist murderers to win. They represent oppression, the ultimate leftist dream.

(Oppression doesn't happen in their dream world - only "re-education" by whatever means necessary.)

Posted by: Carlos on December 15, 2005 08:30 PM

His statement could easily be applied to Colombia...is that state a failed state?

Posted by: Aaron on December 15, 2005 08:52 PM

By his standards, I guess the U.S. was a failed government circa 1862.

Posted by: OCBill on December 15, 2005 08:53 PM

Nah, the U.S. didn't fail until the communist tree-hugging frog-kisser Gore couldn't steal the election like his late, great god JFK did in '60.

Posted by: Carlos on December 15, 2005 09:05 PM

Ace wrote: "Of course, an Iraq that loves America is the best outcome."

I'm *really* tempted to drag out my Machiavelli and remind everyone that it is better to be feared than it is to be loved. But I think Juan Cole is a twat just the same, so I'll roll with the lovin', baby.

Stay classy, free Iraq!

Cheers,
Dave at Garfield Ridge

Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on December 15, 2005 09:35 PM

Shouldn't this be called the "Corporal Hudson" strategy? Sitting around whining "GAME OVER MAN! GAME OVER!"

Posted by: Russ from Winterset on December 15, 2005 09:48 PM

This Jaun Cole makes Tom Friedman seem like a real genius.

Friedman, the self-proclaimed Middle East expert, is full of hot air, but at least he makes a little sense.

Posted by: Timmy in the Well on December 15, 2005 10:12 PM

"Iraq is a failure! Failure failure failyure faily faily fail fail! Boo boo hiss growl! Bush!"

Yes, very convincing argument, that.

Posted by: Pixy Misa on December 15, 2005 10:16 PM

Does anybody take this pseudo-academic dumb ass seriously?

Posted by: Mescalero on December 15, 2005 10:21 PM

Does anybody take this pseudo-academic dumb ass seriously?

He is read, disseminated, and quoted as Gospel by the liberal blogs. Despite the numerous times his doom preaching has been undone by subsequent events.

Posted by: geoff on December 15, 2005 10:30 PM

In the pictures I saw of Iraqis going to vote today, I saw so much joy and pride. Men, women and children. Smiles and tears of joy. Freedom and self-determination after decades of horror.

Thank you to all the men and women in our armed forces who made this possible. Thanks also to the Bush administration who had the backbone to stay the course.

Democracy has always been messy even in free societies and there will be hard times ahead for Iraq and the middle east. But a door has been opened in the middle east that will never be closed.

Posted by: JackStraw on December 15, 2005 10:45 PM

Long-time reader, first-time poster.

I've got to second Dave at GR (and disagree with Decision '08).

I think the point is not so much an Iraq that loves its' freedom or America. At risk of sounding like John Derbyshire, it's an Iraq that no longer poses us a threat, either by itself or through support of terrorists. In other words, create the anti-Iran. I happen to think that freedom for Iraq is the best way to secure this aspect of our national interest. But let's make sure we get carts and horses in the right order.

Posted by: Cranky Polonian on December 15, 2005 10:52 PM

"Juan Cole: Even If A Democratically Elected Iraq Government Requests Us To Withdraw, That's Still a Bad Thing"

Of course its a bad thing, Ace.

George Bush made it happen.

Posted by: Scott Free on December 15, 2005 11:56 PM

Is he actually suggesting that we should remain in Iraq against its legitimate government's wishes?

No, he didn't. I don't see how you could have read it that way.

Posted by: Bob Munck on December 16, 2005 12:44 AM

"those on the left have never really grasped the whole idea of democracy"

Oh, I think they've grasped it. They just don't like it much. Too many rednecks involved in the whole thing. It's unseemly.

D@GR: "it is better to be feared than it is to be loved"

I think Michael Scott of "The Office" (US) said it best: "Would I rather be feared or loved? Um, easy. Both. I want people to be afraid of how much they love me. "

Posted by: Steve in Houston on December 16, 2005 12:50 AM

You said: "We will stay until the job is done and/or the legitimate government of Iraq requests us to. If they no longer want us there, that may be imprudent, but it's not our responsibility to force them into prudence."

If we don't think we are there to force them to be prudent, what reason are we using today for being there?

Posted by: Aero on December 16, 2005 10:14 AM

If we don't think we are there to force them to be prudent, what reason are we using today for being there?

Gee, who knows.

Maybe the million people that voted yesterday?

Posted by: Lee Atwater on December 16, 2005 10:17 AM

. . . what reason are we using today for being there?

Oh, I don't know - perhaps to establish a legitimate, representative government in the first place?

Posted by: geoff on December 16, 2005 10:19 AM

...and drain the swamp of Islamic terrorism by providing an alternative to fascist dictatorships and theological medieval nutjobs so in the future we don't have to incenrate the entire place in revenge for the nuking of Miami?

Is that a satisfactory answer, Aero?
Why did I even ask that question? There will never be a satisfactory answer for you.

Posted by: Mikey on December 16, 2005 10:41 AM

If a democratically legitimate Iraqi government asks us to leave, and we need to stay there to provide a base for a later invasion of Iran, Syria, et al., then shouldn't we stay no matter what they say? We didn't give the West Germans a veto over our being in Germany after they started having elections.

Granted, Germany kicking us out would have been suicide for them as long as the Soviets were right next door. And it would be just as stupid for Iraq to tell us to get lost as long as Iran's next door, which will probably be for a long time, much as I might prefer it otherwise.

But if they did, and we thought we needed to stay, we ought to politely decline.

Posted by: Steve Johnson on December 16, 2005 05:22 PM
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