Yeah, duh. Most bloggers seem to spend their days pointing out how wrong these experts are. The inverse relationship between predictions and accuracies is obvious for most liberal "experts" as they are merely giving voice to their dreams. The wronger they are, the more air they get. That way, Chris Matthews can circle jerk with fellow Bush bashers.

Coulter pointed this out in Slander, how CNN threatened to replay a clip of her being wrong about how long the impeachment trial would last. Gee, who won that battle?

I mean, if you are going to offer your credibility up to pose WP as a WMD, then you have to expect to never be right. Even if WP=WMD will get you NYT cred. BTW, does the WP=WMD mean that Iraq had WMDs? So Bush was right all along!

I predicted those results.

My guess is that Tradesports is a far better predictor of political events than the prognostications of puffed-up, self important pundits.

I wish there would have been some way to bet on whether a military draft would be installed during the Bush presidency. I would have laid at least a grand against it, and I'm certain not one lefty would have taken the bet. Even they know how full of shit they are.

He probably has a whole chapter devoted to Paul Krugman and Jim Cramer.

Or Dick Morris - he seems like the classic case of someone who's rewarded more for being entertaining than being right. He's a smart guy, but his bad predictions could fill a small library. The latest I remember (besides Hillary v. Condi) was that Bloomberg v. Ferrer would be down to the wire.

I predict the nation is about to be swept by Kusinich fever!! Has anyone seen Dennis' new bride? She's like six foot two. And he's like, five foot nothing, one hundred and nothing.

Like that scene in Deuce Bigalo. "That's a huge bitch!"

The journal Science had a study on experts several years ago that came to the same conclusion. It focused on experts advising judges on whether a given criminal was likely to commit more crimes if released. Needless to say, they were flipping coins.

The author of the study said that one thing surprised him. He expected that judges actually believed the experts. In fact, he found that judges recognized perfectly well, that the experts were blowing smoke. They went with the expert recommendations because they had nothing better, and it shifted the responsibility off them and on to the "experts."

Reminds me of the bio of Jimmy the Greek I saw on ESPN yesterday. He didn't know shit about football, but he sure could call them.