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August 19, 2005
Frowny-face Diplomacy"Iran has continued to produce centrifuges, which are used in the uranium enrichment process, in contravention of a November 2004 agreement with the U.K., France and Germany to suspend all such activities, the exiled opposition National Council for Resistance in Iran said." I've read this article 16 times, and it seems to imply that Iran is violating the terms of some agreement with the Europeans. Like, Europe says, "Don't do this." And then Iran says, "Cross my heart and hope to die, I totally promise not to do that." I am going to read it again, because that just can't be right. posted by LauraW. at 10:20 AM
CommentsWhat are the Euroweenies gonna do now? Use harsh language? Posted by: Iblis on August 19, 2005 10:25 AM
There needs to be a dialogue about the failed dialgogue. Posted by: The Warden on August 19, 2005 10:26 AM
I thought Euros were gonna take care of this. Posted by: don surber on August 19, 2005 10:27 AM
I just finished reading it again. I ...I just don't understand. Are there no fiercely arched eyebrows in all of Europe that are equal to this task? Is there no waiter in all of France rude enough to cow this rogue regime?? Posted by: lauraw on August 19, 2005 10:35 AM
Um, I don't think promises made to infidels are considered valid by either Allah or his hordes of virgins. Not when you're dealing with idiots, anyway. Posted by: Len on August 19, 2005 10:39 AM
Run away with me, you witty little minx. I care not if you are 300 lbs and syphlitic. Just make me laugh, every day, won't you? Posted by: spongeworthy on August 19, 2005 10:41 AM
Use harsh language? They shall cast a jandiced eye in Iran's direction, heap disdain upon them, and dismiss them in a very derogatory and demeaning way. Then blame Bush. 'Cause they're so superior and all. Posted by: Phinn on August 19, 2005 10:43 AM
Centrifuges. Bah! They are insignificant. The one buried in the backyard of a Iraqi Scientist meant nothing just as the centrifuges in Iran should mean nothing. Posted by: Dman on August 19, 2005 10:46 AM
They do make nice planters. Posted by: lauraw on August 19, 2005 10:50 AM
LauraW, once again, though the subject is dead serious, you really really bring the funny. Posted by: Rocketeer on August 19, 2005 11:00 AM
Oh no! Don't bring out a point-ed stick! Posted by: Sue Dohnim on August 19, 2005 11:00 AM
This stuff always reminds me of an old Robin Williams routine, from the days when the bobbies didn't carry guns: "What do they do when they're in hot pursuit? I guess they yell, 'Stop, thief! Or else I shall have no choice but to yell Stop! again.'" Posted by: utron on August 19, 2005 11:03 AM
From the article: Holy shit, look out or we're going to do some referral which might possibly lead sometime in the not-so-near future sanctions! Quake in your turbans, ayatollahs and mullahs! Feel the WRATH OF OUR REFERRALS! Posted by: on August 19, 2005 11:05 AM
That last anonymous post was me. Posted by: Sue Dohnim on August 19, 2005 11:06 AM
Yikes. D’you suppose the UN could step in as an “Enforcer” to help facilitate Iran’s agreement? Like with (I hesitate to even suggest something like this, but ...) a toughly WORDED resolution? Posted by: Nordicgirl on August 19, 2005 11:07 AM
If you don't knock it off, we may be forced to... suggest that you're not very nice people! Not very nice at all!
Posted by: James on August 19, 2005 11:09 AM
The referals may lead to sanctions in a few years, coincidentally at the same time Kofi Annan's legal bills start piling up, and that in turn will lead to Oil for Food 2. At the UN that's called Win-Win. Posted by: Iblis on August 19, 2005 11:10 AM
This article makes a pretty good case that the U.S. will do more harm cracking the whip and I think I agree. Posted by: spongeworthy on August 19, 2005 11:15 AM
Don't forget France's secret weapon - the secrets of Machiavelli. Posted by: Geoff on August 19, 2005 11:17 AM
Look, you just haven't given the diplomatic process enough time. You never give the process enough time. In fact, there's no such thing as giving the process enough time. That's the thing with diplomatic processes: you can't say they've failed until somebody nukes Strasbourg or Boise. Posted by: S. Weasel on August 19, 2005 11:17 AM
Killer Bunnies. Ones wif long, sharp teef. That's Europe's "Plan B". Posted by: Gromulin on August 19, 2005 11:19 AM
Spongeworthy, the author of that article makes several assumptions in order to push his idea of letting Iran crumble under its own weight: Assumption #1: The timetable for Iran's production of nuclear weapons is significantly longer than the timetable of its collapse. Assumption #2: Sanctions would hurt Iran enough to significantly slow its progress towards nuclear capability and speed its collapse via Marxist-style proletarian revolution. Assumption #3: The populace of Iran would be powerful enough and motivated enough to carry out a revolution once their suffering increases past a tipping point. I don't agree that any of these assumptions are true. It's my opinion that popular uprisings in the style of Marx are the exception rather than the rule, especially in the Middle East. We simply can't risk the possibility of the mullahs getting their hands on nuclear weapons. The author of that article you linked has no understanding of fanaticism whatsoever. Posted by: Sue Dohnim on August 19, 2005 11:54 AM
Spongeworthy, The author teaches philosophy at the University of Arizona. He thinks simply ignoring Iran will inevitably lead the masses there to revolution. Based on the wisdom of Karl Marx. And no need to worry about the development of nukes, it'll take them a decade to get there. So we just sit around and hope the revolution develops faster than the nukes do? Sponge, you are killing me with words, tender lies. She canna' tek no moorrrgh Cap'n. Posted by: on August 19, 2005 11:55 AM
Sue beat me. Posted by: lauraw on August 19, 2005 11:57 AM
I'm with Sue. I also am pretty sure for similar reasons that there is no deep popular support amongst Iranians for overt American military action against Iran to stop the regimes nuclear ambitions and/or get rid of the regime. We have no good options here; any solution predicated on the strength of popular sentiment against the Iranian regime is a non-starter. Personally, I am curious to see how many times the Euroweenies will try the same talking tactic. You must admit, it is kind of darkly amusing. Posted by: Carl in N.H. on August 19, 2005 12:03 PM
I may need someone with den Bestean perspicacity to 'splain this to me - but I'm less concerned with Iran making a bomb that can turn a large part of a city into a parking lot than I am with Iran's ability to produce enough radioactive 'dirt' to include with a bomb which would make a large part of a city uninhabitable. So, running their running centrifuges at all is of concern, I think. Posted by: BumperStickerist on August 19, 2005 12:40 PM
Wow, sanctions are up next. They just skipped right over "sharp tongue lashing"! Posted by: Steve on August 19, 2005 12:53 PM
I doubt if any of us here have a perfect handle on the level of dissatisfaction with the mullahs. And I am pretty sure the guy is right about how those who might otherwise be friendly to the U.S. would get their back up if we start rattling sabres. I didn't realize, though, that the guy was a hippie of some kind and should have been dismissed out of hand. Now that I know this, bombing the living piss out of the place is sounding much better. Posted by: spongeworthy on August 19, 2005 01:13 PM
lauraw wrote: Thanks Laura, but more isn't always better. ... ... ... Or at least that's what I tell Mr. Dohnim. Posted by: Sue Dohnim on August 19, 2005 01:31 PM
Sponge, The writer is far to optimistic regarding the masses rising up. North Korea is a hell hole. The masses are starving and wretched. There is no indication that revolution is at the doorstep. Simply hoping against hope that the students and intellectuals rise up against the mullahs is a nice fantasy. But, there are very real consequences of letting Iran get stronger. btw, the author asserts that we can just bomb the nuke facilities. That may not be possible. They are buried far, far underground. None of our conventional bombs will touch them. Bush knows this. He wanted to develop a "mini" nuke. Precisely for the purpose of destroying hardened, buried WMD facilities. The Libs got wind of this and caused an uproar. "How dare he ever consider using a nuke, for any purpose". So, it was scuttled. Now, we have no way to definitely destroy these facilities. Posted by: TheShadow on August 19, 2005 01:34 PM
Come on Spongeworthy. You can tell just absolutely everything about somebody from their occupation. Really, now, who teaches Philosophy? We can't let people like that discuss foreign policy. Posted by: lauraw on August 19, 2005 02:03 PM
I had a long response but the site ate it. NK's a poor comparison. Otherwise I agree, TS. He's probably never traded a bond either, lauraw. Or been interrupted 12 times while writing a 3-sentence post, the hippie douche. Not only will I disregard him, I'll kick the ass of anybody who looks like him, which is no doubt long hair and flabby. Beware, flabby NY area hippies. Only four calls during this post. Slow Friday. Posted by: spongeworthy on August 19, 2005 02:09 PM
Shadow - I read a book about revolution as a concept a while ago. One fundamental take out of it was that (successful) revolutions never occur in ultra repressed countries (i.e. DPRK). A revolutionary movement requires a level of freedom of action that isn't possible in the worst of the repressive regimes. The other relevent, was that most successful revolutions do NOT leave the "outgoing" leadership alive to stage a comback. Posted by: tony on August 19, 2005 02:21 PM
The choice we are faced with is: either we stop this nuclear program of we learn to live with the Islamic Bomb. And it really is neauseating that Europe finds nothing but excuses for their inaction and kicks us every chance they get so they can toady up to Islam's oil, while at the same time sceretly hoping we'll pull the fat out of the fire for them before its too late. Oh well, Gabriel Byrne awaits those of us who have crossed the line too many times, and I'm sure that many of these people will be visiting him someday. Posted by: 72 Lutefisks on August 19, 2005 02:24 PM
Hans, Hans, Hans! We've been frew this a dozen times. I don't have any weapons of mass destwuction, OK Hans? Then let me look around, so I can ease the UN's collective mind. I'm sorry, but the UN must be firm with you. Let me in, or else. Or else what? Or else we will be very angry with you... and we will write you a letter, telling you how angry we are. Posted by: Brad on August 19, 2005 02:38 PM
The Euroweenies will not propose any sanction resolutions to the Security Council unless and until they receive secret assurance from China that it will use its Council seat to veto said resolutions (otherwise, the Euroweenies risk further emaculation when they inevitably refuse to enforce them). However, this time they can't count on China because -- due to its own security situation -- China takes a very dim view of Islamo-nukes. So the only thing the Euroweenies can and will do about Iran is nothing, while secretly praying that someone else (US, Israel) does. Posted by: quiggs on August 19, 2005 02:49 PM
One ought to reduce the mullahs to that condition in which they cannot even think of breaking agreements. Arafel Posted by: Arafel on August 19, 2005 04:14 PM
We will send them a strongly worded letter, explaining how unhappy we are with them. Posted by: Hans Blix on August 19, 2005 04:40 PM
"One ought to reduce the mullahs to that condition in which they cannot even think of breaking agreements." Its coming - I promise you. We've just been instructed to deploy the dreaded COMFY CHAIR. Posted by: Monty Python on August 20, 2005 12:24 AM
Not to worry. We didn't sell those bunker buster bombs to Israel just so they could look at them. Israel will never allow the Mullasses to have a nuclear weapon. The Joooos will take care of the Iran Nuclear Problem, IF the euro pussies fail. Posted by: rls on August 20, 2005 10:54 AM
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