Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!


Contact
Ace:
aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com
Buck:
buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com
CBD:
cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com
joe mannix:
mannix2024 at proton.me
MisHum:
petmorons at gee mail.com
J.J. Sefton:
sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com


Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Captain Whitebread 2026
Jon Ekdahl 2026
Jay Guevara 2025
Jim Sunk New Dawn 2025
Jewells45 2025
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups

Texas MoMe 2026: 10/16/2026-10/17/2026 Corsicana,TX
Contact Ben Had for info





















« Video: Ward Churhill Pushes Reporter in Anger Over Plagiarized Art | Main | Geek Alert: Lots of Leaked Star Wars 3 Pics »
February 26, 2005

Four Elections in a Row, the Bureau of Economic Analysis Has Mis-Projected the Rate of Growth... Always In the Democrats' Favor

In '92, '96, 2000, and 2004, the BEA has overprojected the rate of GDP growth for the last quarter before the election when a Democrat was the incumbent, and underprojected the rate of growth when a Republican was the incumbent.

Granted, this is a tiny sample size. It's difficult to get animated about what could very well be a normal run of chance.

Still, it is interesting. I'm not ready to cry "Conspiracy!," but if one suspects, as I do, that the majority of bureaucrats working in Washington are Democrats (often of a liberal stripe), then one does begin to wonder, just a bit, if a partisan pessimism creeps into their analyses when a Republican is in office, and a partisan optimism helps goose the numbers when a Democrat is in office.

One of the mis-projections is trivial; just one tenth of one percent. But two others are substantial-- a half a percent, and one time (in 1992, amidst claims that George Bush the Elder had put the economy into the toilet for the foreseeable future), .7%.

Probably nothing to get excited about... still, it's an interesting little historical nugget dug up by a blogger, and it represents original reportage of a sort. So I'm happy to link it.


posted by Ace at 10:13 PM
Comments



Hey! Wanna see some leaked Star Wars episode 3 pics? They look real. The first site i found these on has been shut down but i found another one.

Posted by: amish nefherder on February 26, 2005 10:41 PM

Heya, one thing to keep in mind is that the overprojections were in times of what was widely percieved as "on hire" while the undershots, were during times of "stagnant economies". This isn't necessarily because of the projections, but rather by folks like Greenspan and the market as a whole. That's why I suspect that this is just an artifact. On the other hand, I'll keep an eye on it, in the event it might turn into a bit of extra cash on day trading.

Posted by: Bravo Romeo Delta on February 27, 2005 12:11 AM

Dammit, I banged that drum during the whole '92 campaign. Bush's whole re-election team should have been shot, or at least banned from ever working an election again. They thoroughly fucked up the situation.

Blogs would have helped Bush back then; the only person on his side was Rush Limbaugh at the time. It also would have helped if he'd shown the kind of balls he had when he called Michael Moore a goat shrimper, or whatever it was Bush called Moore last year.

Posted by: Joe R. the Unabrewer on February 27, 2005 10:51 AM

Small sample, but odds so far are 15:1 against it happening by chance.

2^4 = 16 possible outcomes, and only one favors Democrats every time.

Posted by: TallDave on February 27, 2005 04:55 PM

hello! super work performed. top page, further so!

online casinos: casino vegas red

Posted by: online casinos: casino vegas red on March 24, 2005 02:08 PM
Posted by: on June 6, 2005 09:12 PM
Post a comment
Name:


Email Address:


URL:


Comments:


Remember info?








Now Available!
The Deplorable Gourmet
A Horde-sourced Cookbook
[All profits go to charity]
Top Headlines
Update to Gavin Newsom Under Investigation story: This investigation was begun under Senor Dementia:
Adam Housley
@adamhousley

As I have reported several times and now acknowledged by the Governor of California... Gavin and his wife are under federal investigation... what he failed to tell you... This began during the Biden Admin. Kind of a big detail.
Teen Driver Tayvin Galanakis Wins Jury Trial Against Officers Who Charged Him With DUI Even After He Blew 0.0 on A Breathalyzer And Passed Sobriety Tests. One Officer Accounted For 72% of All DUI Arrests For That PD [dri]
Days before the woman was stabbed in the neck by a taxpayer-supported Cultural Enrichment Officer, in the same general area, another taxpayer-supported Cultural Enrichment Officer attacked a boy and bloodied his head with a brick.
What is the UK Regime's plan for protecting the citizens from the savage criminals they've foisted on the populace? They offer NONE. They do, however, have a plan for protecting the savage criminals from the citizens: The citizens must STAY CALM and not get angry and not share videos of citizens being attacked by savage criminals.
The public keeps saying "protect us from the foreign savages you have imported against our wishes and over our objections" and the UK branch of The Regime keeps proposing plans to protect the foreign savages from the public. Soclose to what the public is demanding, just, you know, the complete opposite.
Just a thought: Maybe you wouldn't have to worry about the public attacking the savage criminals if you actually introduced a plan to protect the public from the savage criminals. Maybe they wouldn't feel as if it was necessary for them to protect the public through self-help.
Courtney Subramiam, one of the "journalists" who "previewed" her questions for the decrepit and demented Biden so that he could "answer" it with a pre-scripted response, rewarded by promotion to president of the White House Press Corps
Bonchie
@bonchieredstate

hahahahaha

This is the lady who gave her question to Biden beforehand, and he had it written verbatim in his notes with her picture.

You know what's really terrible? There are Daily Signal reporters in the press room. That's the Real Scandal Here!
You might think that movie critics by nature are effeminate and bitchy, but, did you know that grass is green and red peppers are red?
CJN podcast 1400 copy.jpg
Podcast: Sefton and CBD bounce around from Maine and its pet Nazi, to the cracks in the Democrat messaging, to the failure of California and its effect on the 2028 election, sea drones rescuing Apache crews, and more!
Seattle mayor shrugs off millionaire-tax concerns as 44% of business leaders consider leaving
It happens in all the blue states, but WA and Seattle will be different! [CBD]
Mary Margaret Olohan
@MaryMargOlohan

NEW: Five FBI employees were fired today over the infamous Richmond Catholic memo on "radical traditionalist Catholics," FBI source confirms to @realDailyWire.
Oof. Reviewers do not like Scary Movie 6. The criticism I keep hearing is that the movie mistakes a reference for an actual joke. The movie (they say) keeps Key Jangling a reference to another movie (or some other pop culture ephemera) and you expect there to be a joke but nope, the Key Jangle was the joke. Other reviewers say that the promise that "no lines will be uncrossed" is a fake-out, and that the movie is bland and inoffensively corporate.
Whoops! I posted about Dan Goldman losing the NY congressional primary. He might do that, but it won't be tonight -- the primary isn't held until June 23.
One race to keep an eye on: the Levi's heir nepo baby and egregious "Designated Liar" Dan Goldman -- one of the Democrats from a safe district Democrats send out to spread their most indefensible lies -- may actually lose his lower Manhattan/Brooklyn set due to, get this, antisemitism in the Democrat primary electorate.
Antisemitism? In the anti-Nazi Democrat Party? Sounds crazy, I know, but apparently the anti-Nazi Party wants to eliminate Jews.
Henry Rosoff
@HenryRosoff

🚨EXCLUSIVE POLL:

Brad Lander is 34-pts ahead of Congressman Dan Goldman with #NY10 Democratic Primary voters. @ZohranKMamdani is backing the former Comptroller.

@bradlander: 57%

@danielsgoldman: 23%



Poll by @PIX11News & @EmersonPolling.

MORE: http://pix11.com

Oh my Totenkopf Tattoo, that is a DRUBBING!
I'm usually very anti-antisemitism but if the Communist Antisemite Jihadists can pull this one off, Go Communist Antisemite Jihadists, Go!
Recent Comments
CNN Breaking News: "CNN has just learned that huge gas related explosi ..."

heya: ""131 Iran v New Zealand starts now. Posted by: Pi ..."

Itinerant Alley Butcher: "Iran v New Zealand starts now. Posted by: Piper a ..."

four seasons : " JackStraw, I am intrigued about how you cook ..."

tcn in AK: "Oven roasting a bottom round roast. Butter the out ..."

JackStraw : ">>The Maillard Reaction(browning) is essential for ..."

davidt: "The Maillard Reaction(browning) is essential for t ..."

tcn in AK: "218 Gotta have gravy for the taters. Posted by ..."

Alberta Oil Peon: "Well, spaghetti sauce made, pasta is on the boil. ..."

Wolfus Aurelius, Dreaming of Elsewhere [/i] [/b] [/s]: "I might head off to bed early tonight. This morni ..."

JackStraw : ">>Zip it, Straw. Why are you attacking me? I'm ..."

Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others _: "Rub it with oil, little slits for garlic cloves, m ..."

Bloggers in Arms
Some Humorous Asides
Archives