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« Tom Wolfe on Susan Sontag | Main | Not Good: Kerry By One in Florida »
November 02, 2004

The Final Polls...

Zogby has OH, FL to Bush; CO, NM to Kerry; PA and VIRGINIA tied!

Hoke Malokey predicted that VA would go to Kerry.

Currently a 253-252 deadlock, with only PA and VA showing no preference.

This is worrisome.

But... Rasmussen projects Bush 50.2%, Kerry 48.5%. But that's not enough of a national vote share to guarantee an EC victory.

We don't want a moral victory here. We want a real victory.

RCP Average: Bush +1.5% As Roger Murdoch would say, "Thin. Real thin."


posted by Ace at 02:08 PM
Comments



Ace--

Don't worry about Virginia.

The trends always go left in the AM, because the heavily Democratic sections of NOVA and Richmond vote early to "beat the workplace rush." The rest of the state vote throughout the day.

Hell, I still have to vote, in about an hour.

Virginia will go for Bush.

Cheers,
Dave

Posted by: Dave at Garfield Ridge on November 2, 2004 02:15 PM

K-Lo has Kerry up 1 in Florida.

I'm going out for Maalox.

Posted by: Scout on November 2, 2004 02:17 PM

Oh, man, I don't know if I'm ready for this.

Damn it, damn it, damn it all.

Little quote from Allah (hope he doesn't mind me revealing it): "If Bush loses, it's going to be a blogging Jonestown."

I'm getting ready for the Kool-Aid.

Posted by: ace on November 2, 2004 02:21 PM

I hope the Moon God has some huge photoshops for us either way.

Posted by: someone on November 2, 2004 02:41 PM

I'm not itching to eat some cotton, but I will cover my favorite baseball cap with ketchup and eat it if Kerry wins Virginia. In fact, I will go on record stating that Bush will win Virginia by at least 6%.

Posted by: physics geek on November 2, 2004 02:52 PM

In fact, if Flipper somehow wins I hope Allah can put together one classic, gloating, in-character rant A-double-lizzle style before committing blog hari-kiri.

Posted by: someone on November 2, 2004 02:57 PM

Ramesh Ponnuru says relax... check out his comments in the Corner...

OT- Is it me or is Instapundit and bunch of other big time blogs (present company excepted) down?!

Posted by: JFH on November 2, 2004 02:59 PM

Dave and the others are right. Virginia is Bush country. I voted a bit after 2:00pm and the vote count at my polling place was 2117. I voted in 2000 at about the same time and my ballot was number 670-ish. Last I heard, Henrico County is the second most Republican county in the U.S. aside from Orange County, California, so nearly all those extra votes are for Bush.

Something's gotten the Repubs to come to the polls this year, and it isn't any referendum or Amendment issues, nor is it a tight House race (Cantor will win by a mile). They're either voting for Bush or against Kerry, or both. Whatever it is, they're coming out of the woodwork to vote.

So take a shot and relax. It's gonna be a fun night watching the talking heads explain why it really wasn't all that close, either in VA or anywhere else.

- Chris

Posted by: Chris H on November 2, 2004 03:06 PM

According to NRO, Zogby's Virginia poll was done "on-line", which means it's completely bogus -- not worth the pixels it's imprinted on, and they're free.

Posted by: Dr. Weevil on November 2, 2004 03:16 PM
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