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November 02, 2004

Final Poll Round Up: Ahead in 7, Tied in 2, Behind in 2

But President is above crucial 50% mark in only a single poll

I don't know how much that last tid-bit matters. You don't really need to be above 50%; you need to be above around 49%.

The Washington Times digests the final polls.

I'm going to say it right now: I'm worried. Very worried. I think that Bush is actually a little behind at the moment, and I think he's going to have to have an awfully good day to win this thing.

Not to be a defeatist-- hey, it's Voting Day. Not much left to do (except vote, of course-- have you voted?) But I've got to be honest-- I've been quietly predicting a Bush loss for a week.

(Well, as those who routinely call me a big fat defeatist wussy might argue, I've been predicting that via subtext for a month.)

Bush needs almost all his potential voters to actually pull the lever for him. If the Patriotic Majority does so, he will win. If a lot of his voters decide, as they did in 2000, that maybe voting isn't so important, he'll almost certainly lose.


posted by Ace at 12:08 PM
Comments



I know how you feel Ace. I haven't slept in a month myself. But I still feel Bush will win, no matter how thin the margin. It all comes down to Ohio. Whomever wins Ohio, wins the game!

Posted by: Greg Schreiber on November 2, 2004 12:14 PM

I voted bright and early. The trouble being, I'm in California. The relevance of casting my ballot for Bush is in some doubt, here.

Still, I voted. And soon this will be over and I can breathe again.

Posted by: Dianna on November 2, 2004 12:21 PM

I think the guys that were under 50 who lost were at like 39 and 40 it was substantially down. 50 is some stupid ass benchmark.
I think the most stupid of all the questions is the Right direction Wrong Direction question. I can think things are going in the wrong direction and still vote Bush. If I think they are going wrong because of gay marriage and embryonic stem cell research and the price of tea in China that is not necessarily an indicator of voting out and incumbent.

Posted by: Jennifer on November 2, 2004 12:23 PM

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Posted by: landscape painting on March 5, 2005 05:40 AM
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