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November 02, 2004
Bad News from Larry Sabato: No Incumbent Has Ever Won After Being Tied in the Polls Before Election DayBut then, with the Red Sox sweeping the World Series, this may be the year of making history. Sabato comes up with a final EV tally of 269-269-- a tie, and an election ultimately to be settled in the House of Representatives. But he seems to think Bush will be lucky to manage that. On the other hand, if Bush holds Ohio and Florida, he says it won't even be close. posted by Ace at 04:08 AM
CommentsHe's not tied. He's ahead. The Gallup 'allocation' is total made up BS, hardly something to base this on... Posted by: someone on November 2, 2004 04:10 AM
My prediction here with a little explanation. It's 4:15 A.M. where I am and I haven't been to bed yet. I'm so excited to cast my vote for Bush that I couldn't sleep. I'm gonna be the first in my district to vote this morning. I can taste it. Posted by: Kerry Is Unelectable on November 2, 2004 05:20 AM
Same here. Too nervous to sleep. When my poll opens in an hour and a half, I'll be standing there waiting for them. Posted by: Rob on November 2, 2004 05:39 AM
Funny how we've been hearing how "tied" it is the past few weeks even when Bush is leading out side the MoE. Couldn't be part of the overal "script" could it? It ain't tied folks. There is the same weekend dip of Bush's numbers we see every flipping weekend (go to RealClearPolitics and check the graph.) I'm sure there is also some "rule" that the guy that hasn't led for 3 months when the incumbent has an aproval rating at 50% is toast, but we'll never see that reported. That being said, by hook or crook get every Bush voter in your Rolodex to the polls today Posted by: Paul B. on November 2, 2004 06:50 AM
***Bad News from Larry Sabato: No Incumbent Has Ever Won After Being Tied in the Polls Before Election Day*** Good News From Kent: Since We're Demonstrably and Concretely N-O-T ... T-I-E-D (SEE --> http://www.realclearpolitics.com/)-- that shouldn't prove too insurmountable an obstacle to victory, then. :) Posted by: Kent on November 2, 2004 06:58 AM
Just got back from voting. I was FIRST but by the time I had deposited my punch card ballot in the box there were about thirty people in line. Is it normal to have some kind of morning rush on Votin' Day or what? Does anyone know? Posted by: Kerry Is Unelectable on November 2, 2004 07:31 AM
Yeah, no one has ever invaded frickin' Afghanistan before either. I put about as much faith in this one as the whole redskins/ home game crap. Posted by: See Dubya on November 2, 2004 07:41 AM
Glad to see I'm not the only sleepless one. Posted by: Joe R. the Unabrewer on November 2, 2004 07:58 AM
KIU, you hit all the people voting before work. Posted by: Rob on November 2, 2004 08:00 AM
So - what time of day do you guys think the lines will be the shortest??? I don't want to wait until the hubby gets home ... I think it's important to vote early - and I've got five kids. I've waited in line with three of my kids (last time) and that was bad enough ... with 5 it might be a nightmare. Of course, it might just confuse other voters ... which in my district, would be a good thing. My own form of voter intimidation. Posted by: Carin on November 2, 2004 08:25 AM
Carin: It's hard to tell, but I think 10, 11, or 2 would all be good times. Maybe try 10 or 11, and come back at 2 if that doesn't work. Most voters have to work 8 hours or more on Tuesdays, so the polls should be most crowded before 9, after 5, and around lunch-time, with maybe a clump of teachers between 3 and 4. You can avoid all those people by voting between 9 and 11:30 or 1:30 and 3. Of course, there will still be plenty of retired people, stay-at-home moms, 2nd- and 3rd-shift workers, and unemployed, so don't expect zero lines. I'm unemployed myself, and will head for the polls shortly. I hope they're not packed with people who thought they could vote before work and are now going to be late for work because of the crowds. The last few elections I was teaching college or part-time high school and was able to vote in the early afternoon in 5 minutes or less. This year will probably be different, since there are reports of massive turnout. Hope this helps. Posted by: Dr. Weevil on November 2, 2004 09:01 AM
Carin: At least in Baltimore County, 9:50 turned out to be an excellent time. There were lots of voters, including some with strollers, but lots of machines, too, and it took all of 9 minutes including the round trip from and to my car. Posted by: Dr. Weevil on November 2, 2004 10:37 AM
I think it's important to vote early I agree. Which is why I availed myself of Oregon's early voting system and cast my ballot a week ago, then called yesterday to make freaking sure it had been received. There was not damned way my vote wasn't going to be counted. Posted by: Brian B on November 2, 2004 10:50 AM
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Stephen Miller: The courts are attempting to unconstitutionally enshrine open borders into law by imposing an "infinite process" on deportations.
They're too cowardly to admit what they're doing and just say, "We don't like the way they people voted and who they voted for, so we're deposing the president through a judicial coup." Instead, they're just making it so that we can have a nominal law that allows the deportations of foreign criminals and gang members, but we're also going to impose "due process" requirements that will guarantee all illegals a lifetime residency in the US.
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click: The Last Days of Yacht Rock Edition
Introduce me to that big blonde She's got a touch of Tuesday Weld She's wearing Ambush and a French twist She's got us wild and she can tell 80% yacht, 20% rock.
George Clooney now looks like Bela Lugosi from Ed Wood
In this "interview," Jake Tapper claims that Clooney writing an op-ed at the instigation of Barack Obama was "brave," and Clooney returns the favor by telling Jake Tapper that "journalists" are brave and irreplaceable. It's the world's least enticing gay porn.
Prepare for a shock: Former (?) Handgun Control, Inc. spokesman Jake Tapper lies about the background of his hard-left political agitator guest, presenting him as merely an "FSU student" and allowing him to claim Republicans have blood on their hands for the recent school shooting
However, D'Onofrio isn't some dispassionate observer. He's not just some random FSU student. It doesn't sound like he was anywhere in the neighborhood of the shooting, either. He was brought on primarily to talk about the politics, but was presented as an FSU student to try and leverage sympathy for his position.
The Pope has died. [Weirddave]
The price of eggs has dropped from an average of $8/dozen to $3.13/dozen but Democrats are claiming Easter eggs prices are up. I guess all of the non- or anti-Christian "fact" checkers in the media are taking the day off, for some reason.
Trump offers Easter wishes
Happy Easter! BTW, I read that this is the first time in years the White House website has offered an Easter prayer. Every other religion and fake religion got promoted by Biden, but not Christianity. Oh, and NPR's Easter story is that "Trump seeks corporate sponsors for Easter egg roll." Obviously every president does this, but this communist propaganda organization only points it out now, after having denied the Biden's family influence-farming operations for a decade.
An idiot congressman tries to get us into a shooting war with Russia! Brian Fitzpatrick represents Pennsylvania... very, very poorly. [CBD]
Trump commented on the Biden Presidency: "Worst administration in our country's history. Jimmy Carter died a happy man. You know why? Because he wasn't the worst president, Joe Biden was."
Murderer in FSU shooting identified; he is the son of a sheriff's deputy who had access to his mother's guns
Bill Melugin
Biden's FBI Ordered TN Highway Patrol to Release 'Maryland Man' Recently Deported to El Salvador After He Was Detained in 2022 Traffic Stop on Suspicion of Human Trafficking
Sounds like this guy is in exactly the correct place: out of America and in an El Salvador prison! Thank you President Trump! [CBD] ![]()
Trump admin hits Letitia James with criminal referral to DOJ over alleged mortgage fraud She thought a permanent Democrat government would protect her! [CBD]
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