| Intermarkets' Privacy Policy Support
Donate to Ace of Spades HQ! Contact
Ace:aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com Buck: buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com CBD: cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com joe mannix: mannix2024 at proton.me MisHum: petmorons at gee mail.com J.J. Sefton: sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com Recent Entries
The Morning Report — 12/4/25
Daily Tech News 4 December 2025 Wednesday Overnight Open Thread - December 3, 2025 [Shopping Rex] Dog Luge Cafe Methodist Pastor Has Had Enough of Jesus-This and Jesus-That, So He Makes His Homily About the Only Thing That Really Matters, His Trans Identity Of Course: Biden Created a Special Exemption So That "Low-Level" Taliban Officials Could Migrate to the US A Man Brutalized a Woman and Put Her In the Hospital. In a Private Conversation, She Called Her Attacker a "Faggot." She Was Arrested. Trump's Ag Secretary: States Will Either Open Their Books So We Can Detect SNAP Fraud, Or We're Cutting Them Off Lefties Continue To Live in Denial, But Gas Prices Are Now Under $2/Gallon in Some Parts of the Country Incredible: Up to Forty Percent of the Students at Supposedly-Elite Universities Claim to Be, and Are Acknowledged by the School to be, "Disabled" Absent Friends
Jay Guevara 2025
Jim Sunk New Dawn 2025 Jewells45 2025 Bandersnatch 2024 GnuBreed 2024 Captain Hate 2023 moon_over_vermont 2023 westminsterdogshow 2023 Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022 Dave In Texas 2022 Jesse in D.C. 2022 OregonMuse 2022 redc1c4 2021 Tami 2021 Chavez the Hugo 2020 Ibguy 2020 Rickl 2019 Joffen 2014 AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published.
Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups
TBD |
« Tip Thread |
Main
| And So This is Christmas (Politically Speaking) »
November 02, 2004
Bad News from Larry Sabato: No Incumbent Has Ever Won After Being Tied in the Polls Before Election DayBut then, with the Red Sox sweeping the World Series, this may be the year of making history. Sabato comes up with a final EV tally of 269-269-- a tie, and an election ultimately to be settled in the House of Representatives. But he seems to think Bush will be lucky to manage that. On the other hand, if Bush holds Ohio and Florida, he says it won't even be close. posted by Ace at 04:08 AM
CommentsHe's not tied. He's ahead. The Gallup 'allocation' is total made up BS, hardly something to base this on... Posted by: someone on November 2, 2004 04:10 AM
My prediction here with a little explanation. It's 4:15 A.M. where I am and I haven't been to bed yet. I'm so excited to cast my vote for Bush that I couldn't sleep. I'm gonna be the first in my district to vote this morning. I can taste it. Posted by: Kerry Is Unelectable on November 2, 2004 05:20 AM
Same here. Too nervous to sleep. When my poll opens in an hour and a half, I'll be standing there waiting for them. Posted by: Rob on November 2, 2004 05:39 AM
Funny how we've been hearing how "tied" it is the past few weeks even when Bush is leading out side the MoE. Couldn't be part of the overal "script" could it? It ain't tied folks. There is the same weekend dip of Bush's numbers we see every flipping weekend (go to RealClearPolitics and check the graph.) I'm sure there is also some "rule" that the guy that hasn't led for 3 months when the incumbent has an aproval rating at 50% is toast, but we'll never see that reported. That being said, by hook or crook get every Bush voter in your Rolodex to the polls today Posted by: Paul B. on November 2, 2004 06:50 AM
***Bad News from Larry Sabato: No Incumbent Has Ever Won After Being Tied in the Polls Before Election Day*** Good News From Kent: Since We're Demonstrably and Concretely N-O-T ... T-I-E-D (SEE --> http://www.realclearpolitics.com/)-- that shouldn't prove too insurmountable an obstacle to victory, then. :) Posted by: Kent on November 2, 2004 06:58 AM
Just got back from voting. I was FIRST but by the time I had deposited my punch card ballot in the box there were about thirty people in line. Is it normal to have some kind of morning rush on Votin' Day or what? Does anyone know? Posted by: Kerry Is Unelectable on November 2, 2004 07:31 AM
Yeah, no one has ever invaded frickin' Afghanistan before either. I put about as much faith in this one as the whole redskins/ home game crap. Posted by: See Dubya on November 2, 2004 07:41 AM
Glad to see I'm not the only sleepless one. Posted by: Joe R. the Unabrewer on November 2, 2004 07:58 AM
KIU, you hit all the people voting before work. Posted by: Rob on November 2, 2004 08:00 AM
So - what time of day do you guys think the lines will be the shortest??? I don't want to wait until the hubby gets home ... I think it's important to vote early - and I've got five kids. I've waited in line with three of my kids (last time) and that was bad enough ... with 5 it might be a nightmare. Of course, it might just confuse other voters ... which in my district, would be a good thing. My own form of voter intimidation. Posted by: Carin on November 2, 2004 08:25 AM
Carin: It's hard to tell, but I think 10, 11, or 2 would all be good times. Maybe try 10 or 11, and come back at 2 if that doesn't work. Most voters have to work 8 hours or more on Tuesdays, so the polls should be most crowded before 9, after 5, and around lunch-time, with maybe a clump of teachers between 3 and 4. You can avoid all those people by voting between 9 and 11:30 or 1:30 and 3. Of course, there will still be plenty of retired people, stay-at-home moms, 2nd- and 3rd-shift workers, and unemployed, so don't expect zero lines. I'm unemployed myself, and will head for the polls shortly. I hope they're not packed with people who thought they could vote before work and are now going to be late for work because of the crowds. The last few elections I was teaching college or part-time high school and was able to vote in the early afternoon in 5 minutes or less. This year will probably be different, since there are reports of massive turnout. Hope this helps. Posted by: Dr. Weevil on November 2, 2004 09:01 AM
Carin: At least in Baltimore County, 9:50 turned out to be an excellent time. There were lots of voters, including some with strollers, but lots of machines, too, and it took all of 9 minutes including the round trip from and to my car. Posted by: Dr. Weevil on November 2, 2004 10:37 AM
I think it's important to vote early I agree. Which is why I availed myself of Oregon's early voting system and cast my ballot a week ago, then called yesterday to make freaking sure it had been received. There was not damned way my vote wasn't going to be counted. Posted by: Brian B on November 2, 2004 10:50 AM
Post a comment
| The Deplorable Gourmet A Horde-sourced Cookbook [All profits go to charity] Top Headlines
Canada Euthanized a Record 16.4K People Last Year
Aktion T4, now with Poutine! [CBD]
Trump's DOT Drops the Hammer: Thousands of CDL Trainers Shut Down
This is how it is done. [CBD]
Minneapolis mayor Jacob Frey vows to Somali criminals that he will not cooperate with ICE, then begins speaking in Somali
Gee I wonder why Walz allowed Somali pirates to steal 1 billion in American dollars... could it possibly be that criminal illegal aliens are voting in elections and the Democrats know it and play to that illegal constituency?
Incumbent Senator John Cornyn (RINO - TX) betrayed his party and his country by voting in favor Biden's Afghan resettlement bill in 2021. Cornyn voted to bring in the Afghan who shot two National Guard soldiers on US soil. A vote for Cornyn is an endorsement of importing unvetted, radicalized murderers. [Buck]
Georgia moves to drop the corrupt Fulton county prosecution of Trump for "election rigging" or whatever bullshit the adulteress Fani Willis claimed
This may be the last we hear of Big Fani and Darrius "Sweetdick" Honeycum, Esq.
Escaped "SlenderMan Stabber" picked up with her "transgender" friend
We're increasingly loose with the word "transgender" aren't we?
California City Bans Pickleball Over Noise Complaints
It's about time! [CBD]
'A Monumental Betrayal': Indiana Republicans Fold Like a Cheap Suit, Defy Trump on Redistricting
GOPe business as usual in the Hoosier State. [CBD]
Live voting in the House to end the shutdown.
I don't know if this is a preliminary procedural vote or what.
I can't tell you the rules of three-dimensional chess but I can tell you the rules of hexagonal chess
Yes it's real This is too nerdy, even for this blog.
Our Favorite British Couple Exploring True America Experiences Flora-Bama And Sees A Side Of The Deep South Rarely Seen. [dri]
Oh no! Hamas' de facto press agent at the UN complains that she can't use her credit cards or rent a card now that she's been sanctioned as a terrorist operative
Why does this keep happening to members of the "political organization" (per Tucker Carlson) of Hamas?!?! Recent Comments
NR Pax:
"[i]DearLord in Heaven, I need to get drunk, and it ..."
fd: "Joy Reid should go to Somalia to get a feel of the ..." Martini Farmer: "Yonder Horde ..." I used to have a different nic[/s][/b][/i][/u]: "Good morning horde! ..." fd: ""After all, who will speak for the poor drug traff ..." NaCly Dog: "Plants love it That is the window dressing. Th ..." [/i][/b]SpeakingOf: "Been there. Done that. https://tinyurl.com/59n ..." NR Pax: "Morning, all! ..." San Franpsycho: "No tricks. My brain is still absorbing in it's fir ..." r hennigantx: " JJS ..." r hennigantx: "Thirsty Thursday ..." NaCly Dog: "bluebell Your editing back story and our first ..." Bloggers in Arms
RI Red's Blog! Behind The Black CutJibNewsletter The Pipeline Second City Cop Talk Of The Town with Steve Noxon Belmont Club Chicago Boyz Cold Fury Da Goddess Daily Pundit Dawn Eden Day by Day (Cartoon) EduWonk Enter Stage Right The Epoch Times Grim's Hall Victor Davis Hanson Hugh Hewitt IMAO Instapundit JihadWatch Kausfiles Lileks/The Bleat Memeorandum (Metablog) Outside the Beltway Patterico's Pontifications The People's Cube Powerline RedState Reliapundit Viking Pundit WizBang Some Humorous Asides
Kaboom!
Thanksgivingmanship: How to Deal With Your Spoiled Stupid Leftist Adultbrat Relatives Who Have Spent Three Months Reading Slate and Vox Learning How to Deal With You You're Fired! Donald Trump Grills the 2004 Democrat Candidates and Operatives on Their Election Loss Bizarrely I had a perfect Donald Trump voice going in 2004 and then literally never used it again, even when he was running for president. A Eulogy In Advance for Former Lincoln Project Associate and Noted Twitter Pestilence Tom Nichols Special Guest Blogger Rich "Psycho" Giamboni: If You Touch My Sandwich One More Time, I Will Fvcking Kill You Special Guest Blogger Rich "Psycho" Giamboni: I Must Eat Jim Acosta Special Guest Blogger Tom Friedman: We Need to Talk About What My Egyptian Cab Driver Told Me About Globalization Shortly Before He Began to Murder Me Special Guest Blogger Bernard Henri-Levy: I rise in defense of my very good friend Dominique Strauss-Kahn Note: Later events actually proved Dominique Strauss-Kahn completely innocent. The piece is still funny though -- if you pretend, for five minutes, that he was guilty. The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility The Dowd-O-Matic! The Donkey ("The Raven" parody) Archives
|