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« "A Whiff of Fascism in the Air" -- Teacher Kicks Student for Expressing Political Beliefs | Main | Shock: Andrew Sullivan Endorses Kerry For President »
October 26, 2004

Indispensible Piece on the Polls

Among the big points, in close elections, national polls don't mean anything, only state polls do (I don't know if I quite buy that; I guess it depends on what is meant by "close"), and another confirmation that it simply isn't true that undecided voters break for the challenger.

Update: Secure Liberty offers an interesting (and optimistic) take on the election.

I can't believe it's a week away.


posted by Ace at 01:35 PM
Comments



Sullivan just endorsed Kerry.

Posted by: bob on October 26, 2004 01:49 PM

got it a minute ago. Been working on it.

Posted by: ace on October 26, 2004 01:52 PM

Ace, more important than the polls we see are the internal polls that the campaigns don't release to the public. These are incredibly more detailed and expensive than those we see.
While we don't see the polls, we do see the results. The Bush campaign is spending two thirds of the last week in states Gore won. The Kerry Campaign is spending more than two thirds of it's time in states Gore won.
Anyone with campaign experience knows that we don't campaign very much in areas we have locked in. Nor do we spend time in places we can't win.
What this tells me is the Kerry camp is in serious trouble. A big rally in Philly? Philly? Why, in the last full week in the campaign, is Kerry trying to lock in a Donk stronghold?

Posted by: Peter on October 26, 2004 03:49 PM

Sullivan endorses Kerry, and the entire world says, "Who gives a rat's ass?"

Posted by: zetetic on October 26, 2004 04:35 PM
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