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Sunday Overnight Open Thread - July 12, 2026 [Doof]
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October 23, 2004
Polls: Bush Up Nationally, Trails in Ohio, But Can Capture Three Gore States for WinOhio remains the key. If Bush holds Ohio and Florida, he wins. It's that simple. If he loses Ohio, he could still win, but he'd have to draw to pick up the straight. Time now shows a 5 point Bush lead. Gone are the heady days of double-digit leads, but a lead is still a lead. 51% Bush, 46% Kerry-- and, unless my math has gotten very bad indeed, it seems to me that no number of "undecideds breaking for the challenger" can beat a man who's getting a majority of the decided vote. Now, I still believe that anyone who wins the popular vote by 4 points or more pretty much must win the electoral college. (Alarming News disagrees, but why should we listen to her? She's merely some sort of campaign official for some important Republican candidate.) But I guess that rule might break down when a particularly important state is heading in a direction contrary to what might be expected. In any other year, if the Republican is ahead by 3 or 4 points, the Republican wins Ohio, easily. But Ohio has been particularly hurt by the recession and slow job creation of much of the recovery. And Ohio just might go to Kerry. This Washington Times reports on Bush's strength in Gore states Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico, and even Minnesota. Bush can afford to lose Ohio-- barely. Just barely. Gotta win Ohio, though. If we lose Ohio, we're in for a very long night, and worse yet, one that probably won't have a happy ending. posted by Ace at 01:40 PM
CommentsBob Taft, the incredibly unpopular Republican governor in Ohio, is the real cause of Bush's dragging numbers in that state. Posted by: Larry Jones on October 23, 2004 02:25 PM
Jersey returns come in early. If Bush wins Jersey, I pop open the champagne immediately. Posted by: Joe R. the Unabrewer on October 23, 2004 02:37 PM
Stop panicking.Ohio is not essential even though I would be surprised if Bush lost it. Posted by: dougf on October 23, 2004 04:05 PM
Listen to Joe - he's a really smart guy. Posted by: The Black Republican on October 23, 2004 06:03 PM
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| The Deplorable Gourmet A Horde-sourced Cookbook [All profits go to charity] Top Headlines
CNBC ranks Tennessee as dead last in its “Worst States to Live” analysis. The specific reason is that cross-dressing men in TN are denied access to children and women’s private spaces. Texas finished 49th. The “worst” states were all red states. [Buck]
Senator Lindsey Graham (R - SC) has died after a "brief and sudden illness." [Buck]
The "Evel Knievel Experience," a museum dedicated to the famous daredevil, opens in (where else) Las Vegas
Well I guess they could have opened it on the Snake Canyon.
In response to someone asking why the video tape doesn't show Tyler Robinson's face (PS, it does, but it's crappy video so it's blurry):
Candace OwensFor such an "open and shut case" they have thus far provided ZERO evidence of anything outside of a criminal government conspiracy, the likes of which hasn't been seen since the JFK assassination.
More "fedslop" that Cavernous Nostrils is too smart to be taken in by:
Blake Neff Fenix Ammunition Post here, showing Tyler Robinson's ammunition, matching this guy's own box. And it is an expanding-tip hollow-point round. Boy these Internet Experts (TM) sure do get a lot of things wrong.
Lost 70s Mystery Click
And a song with another song as an intro, too: Be it sight, sound, smell, or touch There's something Inside that we need so much The sight of a touch, or the scent of a sound Or the strength of an oak with roots deep in the ground The wonder of flowers to be covered and then to burst up Thru tarmac, to the sun again Boy do they look like absolute dorks.
Lost 70s Mystery Click
Doing alright A little jiving on a Saturday night And come what may Gonna dance the day away Jenny was sweet She always smiled for the people she'd meet On trouble and strife She had another way of looking at life
RIP Lord Humungus
[CBD]
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click
It happened one summer, it happened one time It happened forever, for a short time A place for a moment, an end to dream Forever I loved you, forever it seemed One summer never ends, one summer never began It keeps me standing still, it takes all my will
An Update about Grammie Winger:
She is doing poorly...she is in the hospital and is having a tough go of it. She would love to hear from you folks, so anyone who would like to contact her is welcome to her address! Please contact Bluebell at moroncookbook@gmail.com for her contact info. (I expect her local post office to be furious with us!) [CBD] Recent Comments
Weasel:
"Posted by: nurse ratched. at July 12, 2026 09:53 P ..."
nurse ratched. : "Thank you for the thread, weasel. Please give skr ..." Weasel: "My pleasure RMBS. Hav a good week amigo. ..." Weasel: "T -10 minutes until Doof time. ..." RedMindBlueState[/i][/b][/s][/u]: "Thanks for a great Gun Thread, Weasel! ..." [/i][/s][/b][/u]blaster - [b]Fortis Fortuna Adiuvat[/b]: "I have been on PTO for two weeks. I REALLY do ..." Weasel: "Nite Grateful! ..." [/i][/s][/b][/u]blaster - [b]Fortis Fortuna Adiuvat[/b]: "[i]True, all the 8 inch artillery are gone now. A ..." The Grateful - Acta Non Verba: "Best wishes for the MRI, and its results, Whig. ..." Happy: "54 Great pictures today! Love the pet thread. So s ..." Weasel: "Thanks Red. Have a good week! ..." Wenda: "Whig, Good luck with your MRI. Yes, noisy. And n ..." Bloggers in Arms
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Thanksgivingmanship: How to Deal With Your Spoiled Stupid Leftist Adultbrat Relatives Who Have Spent Three Months Reading Slate and Vox Learning How to Deal With You You're Fired! Donald Trump Grills the 2004 Democrat Candidates and Operatives on Their Election Loss Bizarrely I had a perfect Donald Trump voice going in 2004 and then literally never used it again, even when he was running for president. A Eulogy In Advance for Former Lincoln Project Associate and Noted Twitter Pestilence Tom Nichols Special Guest Blogger Rich "Psycho" Giamboni: If You Touch My Sandwich One More Time, I Will Fvcking Kill You Special Guest Blogger Rich "Psycho" Giamboni: I Must Eat Jim Acosta Special Guest Blogger Tom Friedman: We Need to Talk About What My Egyptian Cab Driver Told Me About Globalization Shortly Before He Began to Murder Me Special Guest Blogger Bernard Henri-Levy: I rise in defense of my very good friend Dominique Strauss-Kahn Note: Later events actually proved Dominique Strauss-Kahn completely innocent. The piece is still funny though -- if you pretend, for five minutes, that he was guilty. The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility The Dowd-O-Matic! The Donkey ("The Raven" parody) Archives
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