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October 05, 2004
FoxNews Poll: Bush By Three (or Two, W/Nader)And this is interesting: It appears that, at least in this poll, Bush has actually increased his lead over Kerry since the before the debate. My powers of prognostication are pretty weak, I'm realizing. I'll stick to making D&D jokes and Star Wars references. Update: Scan down to the breakdown for question 3. Bush is beating Kerry among Independent LV's 50-39. That's up from a 39-36 split in the last FoxNews poll. Wow. Now, that's such a huge move that I suspect it's mostly wrong-- bad sample, etc. But I don't think it's completely wrong. Some of that movement must be real. Thanks to ConservativePoet. posted by Ace at 03:31 PM
CommentsYou're correct especially if you look at the ABC/Post and Pew polls. Check out how the independent broke in Fox's poll. It's a huge move toward Bush making me think even this poll is weighted toward Democrats. Pew research has discovered that Kerry has lost 10% of the black vote while Bush seems to have picked them up. Posted by: conservativepoet on October 5, 2004 03:53 PM
Ace, have you seen these poll numbers yet? Posted by: Rob on October 5, 2004 04:48 PM
What the fuck? Did I read that correctly? Bush's lead *diminishes* when Nader is included?!? Posted by: Barry N. Johnson on October 5, 2004 05:46 PM
Yeah, Barry, that's pretty goddamned Twilight Zone. Posted by: zetetic on October 5, 2004 06:29 PM
And that my dear colleagues is the typical behavior of Moonbatus Americanus. Posted by: Iblis on October 5, 2004 06:58 PM
All of the polls that showed a big gain for Kerry had shall we say "adjustments" to the ratio of Democrats to Republicans polled. What the Kerry camp should be horrified about is that despite a massive skewing of the sample base, he ONLY gained a fraction of what he should have. This means that he is actually LOOSING support, not gaining it. The polls that have kept their ratios the same have had zero movement. The race is not tightening; far from it. Despite the full court press of the DNC, the Kerry campaign, and the MSM, they have not made a dent in Kerry's support other than the one they created with skewed statistics. Meanwhile, Kerry continues to spend a fortune on ads in Washington state where he should be just hitting fundraisers and has given up in the actual battleground states. Hewitt is dead on in his assessment that Kerry is crumbling. Posted by: Dacotti on October 5, 2004 07:33 PM
All the handwringing after the first debate was totally premature. Bush could have done better, but he didn't bomb. Moreover, Kerry made some real gaffes and Bush did not. The Newsweek and Gallup poll sampled over the weekend, which I have heard tends to oversample Dems. That is why they showed such a shift, not because of Kerry's performance. Posted by: Palooka on October 5, 2004 11:55 PM
Poet, He picked up another 10%? As in he expects 20%? Posted by: Palooka on October 6, 2004 12:00 AM
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Selections from H.P. Lovecraft's Brief Tenure as a Whitman's Sampler Copywriter More at this ineffable link
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click
I haven't forgotten this one. I play it a couple of times a month. But I bet a lot of you forgot it: Athletic (boogie down) Hustle (turn back) Feel pathetic (sugar town) No muscle (soul hack) I'm jumping (you move) No dancer (beside me) I'm thumping (you prove) Don't get no answer
On "Professor" Arday:
He was their living lawn jockey, period. They won't say that 'cause they're sensitive and down with his struggle and all. He was there to appease and flatter their sense of being uplifters of the oppressed. In truth, he served as their living lawn jockey -- no more, no less, and unworthy of even a second thought on their part. Tokenism, pure and simple.-- Krebs v Carnot
Ireland's 'Air Force One' lacks a key safety system for fog -- thanks to country's ban on Israeli products
Ireland's best emigrated 150 years ago. The current Ireland is a sad joke. [CBD]
The Short Unhappy Life of a Russian Soldier: Why recruits die in 20-30 minutes
Interesting video. Some key parts: drones were responsible for 70-80% of all battlefield deaths in mid-2025, and I bet it's higher now. The Russian army is incredibly corrupt. Men get assigned to the most dangerous frontline units, the "Storm" units, unless they pay a superior $2,000 to be assigned to a different unit. Furthermore, there is often no real training for recruits -- commanders pocket the money that would have gone towards fuel and ammo costs incurred during training. Much "training" consists just of taking a single picture of soldiers doing something soldier-y, like fording a river, and publishing that as proof that the training was done. Even when it is done, training is only two weeks long.
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