Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!


Contact
Ace:
aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com
Buck:
buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com
CBD:
cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com
joe mannix:
mannix2024 at proton.me
MisHum:
petmorons at gee mail.com
J.J. Sefton:
sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com


Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Jay Guevara 2025
Jim Sunk New Dawn 2025
Jewells45 2025
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021

Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups

TBD





















« The Lessons of Samarra | Main | Why Didn't I Think of That?: Showtime To Air Drama Series Sympathetic to Islamofascist Terrorists »
October 05, 2004

FoxNews Poll: Bush By Three (or Two, W/Nader)

Not as bad as I had feared.

And this is interesting: It appears that, at least in this poll, Bush has actually increased his lead over Kerry since the before the debate.

My powers of prognostication are pretty weak, I'm realizing. I'll stick to making D&D jokes and Star Wars references.

Update: Scan down to the breakdown for question 3.

Bush is beating Kerry among Independent LV's 50-39.

That's up from a 39-36 split in the last FoxNews poll.

Wow.

Now, that's such a huge move that I suspect it's mostly wrong-- bad sample, etc. But I don't think it's completely wrong. Some of that movement must be real.

Thanks to ConservativePoet.


posted by Ace at 03:31 PM
Comments



You're correct especially if you look at the ABC/Post and Pew polls. Check out how the independent broke in Fox's poll. It's a huge move toward Bush making me think even this poll is weighted toward Democrats. Pew research has discovered that Kerry has lost 10% of the black vote while Bush seems to have picked them up.

Posted by: conservativepoet on October 5, 2004 03:53 PM

Ace, have you seen these poll numbers yet?

Posted by: Rob on October 5, 2004 04:48 PM

What the fuck? Did I read that correctly? Bush's lead *diminishes* when Nader is included?!?

Posted by: Barry N. Johnson on October 5, 2004 05:46 PM

Yeah, Barry, that's pretty goddamned Twilight Zone.

Posted by: zetetic on October 5, 2004 06:29 PM

And that my dear colleagues is the typical behavior of Moonbatus Americanus.

Posted by: Iblis on October 5, 2004 06:58 PM

All of the polls that showed a big gain for Kerry had shall we say "adjustments" to the ratio of Democrats to Republicans polled. What the Kerry camp should be horrified about is that despite a massive skewing of the sample base, he ONLY gained a fraction of what he should have. This means that he is actually LOOSING support, not gaining it. The polls that have kept their ratios the same have had zero movement. The race is not tightening; far from it. Despite the full court press of the DNC, the Kerry campaign, and the MSM, they have not made a dent in Kerry's support other than the one they created with skewed statistics. Meanwhile, Kerry continues to spend a fortune on ads in Washington state where he should be just hitting fundraisers and has given up in the actual battleground states. Hewitt is dead on in his assessment that Kerry is crumbling.

Posted by: Dacotti on October 5, 2004 07:33 PM

All the handwringing after the first debate was totally premature. Bush could have done better, but he didn't bomb. Moreover, Kerry made some real gaffes and Bush did not.

The Newsweek and Gallup poll sampled over the weekend, which I have heard tends to oversample Dems. That is why they showed such a shift, not because of Kerry's performance.

Posted by: Palooka on October 5, 2004 11:55 PM

Poet,

He picked up another 10%? As in he expects 20%?

Posted by: Palooka on October 6, 2004 12:00 AM
Post a comment
Name:


Email Address:


URL:


Comments:


Remember info?








Now Available!
The Deplorable Gourmet
A Horde-sourced Cookbook
[All profits go to charity]
Top Headlines
Funny retro kid costumes, thanks to SMH
Good to see people honoring Lamont the Big Dummy
Four hours of retro Halloween commercials and specials
The first short is the original 1996 appearance of "Sam," the dangerous undead trick-or-treater from Trick r' Treat.
On Wednesday, we'll see the "Beaver Super-Moon." Which sounds hot.
CJN podcast 1400 copy.jpg
Podcast: Historian and Pundit Robert Spencer joins us for a wide-ranging discussion about the Islamists in our midst: Mamdani in NYC, all across Europe, and others.
Full Episode: The Hardy Boys (and Nancy Drew) Meet Dracula
I don't remember this show, except for remembering that Nancy Drew was hot and the opening credits were foreboding and exicting
Schmoll: 53% of New Jersey likely voters say their neighbors are voting for Ciattarelli, while 47% say the cheater/grifter Mikie Sherrill
The "who do you think your neighbors are voting for" question is designed to avoid the Shy Tory problem, wherein conservative people lie to schmollsters because they don't want to go on record with a likely left-winger telling them who they're really voting for. So instead the question is who do you think your neighbors are voting for, so people can talk about who they themselves support without actually having to admit it to a left-wing rando stranger recording their answers on the phone.
TJM Complains about Wreck-It Ralph The very topical premiere of TJM's YouTube Channel.
Interesting football history: How the forward pass was created in response to the nineteen -- 19! -- people killed playing football in 1905 alone
The original rules of football did not allow forward passes. The ball was primarily advanced by running, with blockers forming lines with interlocked arms and just smashing into the similarly-interlocked defensive lines. It was basically Greek hoplite spear formations but with a semi-spherical ball. As calls to ban the sport entirely grew, some looked for ways to de-emphasize mass charges as the primary means of advancing the ball, and some specifically championed allowing a passer to throw the ball forward.
Sydney Sweeney unleashes the silver orbs
Thanks to @PatriarchTree
Fallacies do not cease to be fallacies because they become fashions.
-- G.K. Chesterton
[CBD]
Atari to release former competitor Intellivision with 45 games for $149
I always thought Intellivision was kinda lame (to the extent a cutting edge videogame box can be lame).
Intellivision insists upon itself.
Pitfall was a really good game. I don't know if it was available on Intellivision. Update: It was. But I don't know if it's included in the new unit.
Recent Comments
m: "227 Auto Correct is my FWP. Posted by: All Hail E ..."

one hour sober: "Orcas? Damn, and I thought it was pretty cool tha ..."

All Hail Eris,, coming to you live from the Roller Disco of Discord!: "Auto Correct is my FWP. ..."

Duncanthrax: "When it comes to turning screws, one name stands a ..."

All Hail Eris,, coming to you live from the Roller Disco of Discord!: "😆 Yiss, winches! ..."

m: "*wenches ..."

13times: "York, William Clark’s black servant, was par ..."

All Hail Eris,, coming to you live from the Roller Disco of Discord!: "It isn't made of cheese, there's no women and no b ..."

Commissar of plenty and festive little hats : "WHAT IS TATERS?!? $20, same as in town. ..."

Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others _ : "Musk designed the motors? Posted by: toby928(c) ..."

Commissar of plenty and festive little hats : "I can see them from my bedroom. Russia? ..."

m: "Posted by: Braenyard - some Absent Friends are mor ..."

Bloggers in Arms
Some Humorous Asides
Archives