Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!


Contact
Ace:
aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com
Buck:
buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com
CBD:
cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com
joe mannix:
mannix2024 at proton.me
MisHum:
petmorons at gee mail.com
J.J. Sefton:
sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com


Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Captain Whitebread 2026
Jon Ekdahl 2026
Jay Guevara 2025
Jim Sunk New Dawn 2025
Jewells45 2025
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups





















« The Lessons of Samarra | Main | Why Didn't I Think of That?: Showtime To Air Drama Series Sympathetic to Islamofascist Terrorists »
October 05, 2004

FoxNews Poll: Bush By Three (or Two, W/Nader)

Not as bad as I had feared.

And this is interesting: It appears that, at least in this poll, Bush has actually increased his lead over Kerry since the before the debate.

My powers of prognostication are pretty weak, I'm realizing. I'll stick to making D&D jokes and Star Wars references.

Update: Scan down to the breakdown for question 3.

Bush is beating Kerry among Independent LV's 50-39.

That's up from a 39-36 split in the last FoxNews poll.

Wow.

Now, that's such a huge move that I suspect it's mostly wrong-- bad sample, etc. But I don't think it's completely wrong. Some of that movement must be real.

Thanks to ConservativePoet.


posted by Ace at 03:31 PM
Comments



You're correct especially if you look at the ABC/Post and Pew polls. Check out how the independent broke in Fox's poll. It's a huge move toward Bush making me think even this poll is weighted toward Democrats. Pew research has discovered that Kerry has lost 10% of the black vote while Bush seems to have picked them up.

Posted by: conservativepoet on October 5, 2004 03:53 PM

Ace, have you seen these poll numbers yet?

Posted by: Rob on October 5, 2004 04:48 PM

What the fuck? Did I read that correctly? Bush's lead *diminishes* when Nader is included?!?

Posted by: Barry N. Johnson on October 5, 2004 05:46 PM

Yeah, Barry, that's pretty goddamned Twilight Zone.

Posted by: zetetic on October 5, 2004 06:29 PM

And that my dear colleagues is the typical behavior of Moonbatus Americanus.

Posted by: Iblis on October 5, 2004 06:58 PM

All of the polls that showed a big gain for Kerry had shall we say "adjustments" to the ratio of Democrats to Republicans polled. What the Kerry camp should be horrified about is that despite a massive skewing of the sample base, he ONLY gained a fraction of what he should have. This means that he is actually LOOSING support, not gaining it. The polls that have kept their ratios the same have had zero movement. The race is not tightening; far from it. Despite the full court press of the DNC, the Kerry campaign, and the MSM, they have not made a dent in Kerry's support other than the one they created with skewed statistics. Meanwhile, Kerry continues to spend a fortune on ads in Washington state where he should be just hitting fundraisers and has given up in the actual battleground states. Hewitt is dead on in his assessment that Kerry is crumbling.

Posted by: Dacotti on October 5, 2004 07:33 PM

All the handwringing after the first debate was totally premature. Bush could have done better, but he didn't bomb. Moreover, Kerry made some real gaffes and Bush did not.

The Newsweek and Gallup poll sampled over the weekend, which I have heard tends to oversample Dems. That is why they showed such a shift, not because of Kerry's performance.

Posted by: Palooka on October 5, 2004 11:55 PM

Poet,

He picked up another 10%? As in he expects 20%?

Posted by: Palooka on October 6, 2004 12:00 AM
Post a comment
Name:


Email Address:


URL:


Comments:


Remember info?








Now Available!
The Deplorable Gourmet
A Horde-sourced Cookbook
[All profits go to charity]
Top Headlines
CJN podcast 1400 copy.jpg
Podcast: Birthright Citizenship? The Democratic Socialists of the Democrat Party are ascendant, the President's misstep about gas prices, and more!
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click
It happened one summer, it happened one time
It happened forever, for a short time
A place for a moment, an end to dream
Forever I loved you, forever it seemed
One summer never ends, one summer never began
It keeps me standing still, it takes all my will
An Update about Grammie Winger:
She is doing poorly...she is in the hospital and is having a tough go of it. She would love to hear from you folks, so anyone who would like to contact her is welcome to her address! Please contact Bluebell at moroncookbook@gmail.com for her contact info. (I expect her local post office to be furious with us!)
[CBD]
CJN podcast 1400 copy.jpg
Podcast: Sefton and CBD commiserate about the NYC primaries and whether the contagion will spread, J.D. Vance is becoming a cypher, Texas Antifa gets a wake-up call, and more!
Trump will present the trophy for the World Cup, and lunatic cultists will not be happy
pRiDe Month's shameful record so far
Department of Energy Announces American Nuclear Supply Chain Loans
$17.5B is a good start. Now add two zeroes to that number! [CBD]
Paul Sperry
@paulsperry_

NEW: Just heard something extraordinary from a former White House official who worked with former National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster in Trump45's NSC: "McMaster had weekly phone calls with George Soros. We have no idea why." Neither could be reached for comment.
Deport...Deport...Deport The F***ing Lot! A new UK anthem? [Hat Tip: S.E.] [CBD]
Recent Comments
Rev. Wishbone: "Unless Taylor Swift presented me with a couple of ..."

Erebus- Ex Killer Whale: "Watching Babylon right now. Rated X...no. It DEF ..."

SciVo[/i][/b][/u][/s]: "I'm not sure Taylor Swift realizes that she just p ..."

Biden's Dog sniffs a whole lotta malarkey, : "People were speculating on, how long before the di ..."

Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others : "PUTIN CALLED TRUMP, INVITED HIM TO VISIT RUSSIA: A ..."

Cow Demon: "Oh well. Duty calls. ..."

Mao: "81 If you're going to start cloning extinct specie ..."

Cow Demon: "Oh well, at least we are above 500. Only halfwa ..."

Cow Demon: "Damnit ..."

Megadeth: "Driving fast makes me feel good Speed of light tr ..."

Braenyard - some Absent Friends are more equal than others : "Trump Pardons 6 Prosecuted For 'Fixing Their Car' ..."

Levi jeans: "Button-fly ..."

Bloggers in Arms
Some Humorous Asides
Archives