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Charlie Kirk vigil in NYC ends with Amazing Grace

Charlie Kirk's widowed wife will address the nation tonight (Friday the 12th) at 8:15 Eastern

Maori men in NZ do a haka war display for Charlie Kirk
You vicious bastards shot the wrong man. You have set the world on fire. This will be your apocalypse.

Nick Freitas responds to the Left's intentional lies that they are always the victim and the Right is always the oppressor. He refuses to play their game anymore. This is a must view. [dri]

I wonder if he was fearless. I wonder if he was scared. I wonder if he just did it anyway?

-- Mike Rowe

Low-T High-Calorie Potato Brian Stelter: "Matthew Dowd is no longer an MSNBC political analyst, according to a network source."
Matt Dowd, former Disney Groomer Corporation Political Director and John McCain advisor (of course), is the one who blamed Charlie Kirk's shooting on the real assassin, Charlie Kirk, claiming that Charlie's "hateful words lead to hateful actions."

Trump speaks about the "heinous assassination" of Charlie Kirk, notes the left relentlessly demonized him until they radicalized an assassin to kill him

"For years, the radical left has compared wonderful Americans like Charlie to NAZlS... this type of language is DIRECTLY RESPONSIBLE for the terrorism we're seeing in our country today.
And it must stop RIGHT NOW!"

Argentinian PM Javier Millei: "The left is always, at all times and places, a violent phenomenon full of hatred."
I disregard their hate. It's the violence that we object to. And we will begin objecting to it with force.

Update: Kash Patel says the person of interest has been interrogated and then released. Wrong guy, I guess.
But as the hours pass without a real suspect, and with the FBI apparently interrogating uninvolved people, I begin to fear the assassin has escaped. I mean, they don't seem to be following a breadcrumb trail, they seem genuinely baffled.

Karol Sheinin: I can confirm the person of interest questioned by the FBI is Zachariah Ahmed Qureshi.
If this is the guy -- apparently he also interned at Heritage.
Update: Source says he's been released? Wrong guy?

Fat-F*ck Pritzker blames Trump's rhetoric for the ramp up of political violence! May he rot in hell! [CBD]

Podcast: Jim Lakely of Heartland.org joins us to discuss the blockbuster polls they have released over the last week. Americans 19-39 seem to be embracing socialism, overt redistributionist policies, destruction of our rights, and international control of our country! But there is hope on the horizon!

Broward County Officials Accused of Adding Over 100,000 Ineligible Voters to the Rolls It is too soon to know how it happened, but...Republicans are watching! And that is how it is done. [CBD]

Federal judge temporarily blocks Trump from firing Federal Reserve Gov Lisa Cook With absolutely nonsensical reasoning, but you already knew that. [CBD]

Podcast: 2A ban for trannies? Venezuela attack is Congress dropping the ball, RFK Jr...Maniac or disrupter? Heartland.org poll is a sad commentary on American education, and more!

James Varney: Reflecting on Hurricane Katrina twenty years later, and the partisan uses Democrats found for it
There was fear aplenty. But the truth is, a lot of the panic Americans saw on television was performative. The throngs of people along Convention Center Boulevard sat patiently in the broiling weather, five or six deep in folding chairs on the sidewalk, waiting for something, someone, to arrive. Then, a television crew or photographer would show up, and people would pour into the street, falling on their knees, screaming and gesticulating to the camera. It was an awful situation, obviously, but when the camera wasn't on them, it was remarkable how patient and orderly everyone was.

Forgotten 80s Mystery Click: the most repetitive but catchy earworm of the eighties?
Sometimes, I find you doubt my love for you but I don't mind
Why should I mind? Why should I mind?
It's hard to quote the song while avoiding quoting from the endlessly-repeated chorus.
Wait, my mistake, his other hit from 1985 was the most repetitive new wave hit of the 80s.

David French Is Aggressively and Persistently Dishonorable, But Fortunately He's Also Really Bad At It
Here's a solid beating of the execrable French! [CBD]

Forgotten 80s Mystery Click
I'm gonna get high, man, I'm gonna get loose/
Need me a triple shot of that juice

Podcast: 600,000 Chinese spies given visas? Scotland relies on 14-year-old girls for their defense, tariffs work! mortgage fraud is the new thing, and more!

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And, just in time to confirm ACE's judgement (though ACE is NOT pessimistic!!)......

The first poll conducted entirely after the debate was NJ, which has moved from toss-up to 50-42 Kerry.

Another "ethnic" poll also shows Jews are staying loyally Democratic, yet again. 68-21%. Despite Bush's all but declaring Israel as beloved in his heart as Texas, and his tax cuts for the wealthy.

Catholic Hispanics are siding with Kerry by 65% to just 17% for Bush. Which is close to Alan Keye's numbers against Barack Obama.

Ace, while I agree with you as a practical matter, there are conditions where your logic goes flying out the window. It's possible for there to be a surge in support for one candidate in states that aren't going to change sides anyway (e.g. solidly Kerry to rabidly Kerry or Rabidly Bush to merely Leaning Bush), making it appear as though that candidate is doing better when nothing has changed. We don't see this very much anymore because the states are a lot more homogeneous today than at anytime in the past, which means a national poll can generally sense a real shift within the states as a whole. But it's still theoretically possible that something can affect voters on a regional basis (wavering Kerry voters in the Bluest Gore states turning solid, for instance), making the national poll a load of bunk.

I disagree. New York and California have a ton of people yet no matter what percentage of the state votes Kerry, the electoral vote stays the same. So, Kerry can be winning by a lot in NY and Bush can win by a little in Pennsylvania or Ohio and Bush would win the election.

Karol,

You're talking about something that could happen, theoretically, but doesn't.

It could happen that all of New York and California vote for Kerry, giving him a big national vote lead, while he loses every other state.

It doesn't happen, though. There are soft voters everywhere, and they turn based on the same things.

New Jersey, a one-point state a week ago, is now either a five- or eight-point race. As soon as Kerry's national numbers got better, he gained a healthy lead in NJ. Because they're linked.

In a country of 300 million, polling some 3000 nationally and making judgements based on this, especially since we don't have national elections, is a poor idea. Most of NY and CA will vote for Kerry and it will give his popular vote numbers a boost. But, it's not what gets someone elected.


Advertise Here! Intermarkets' Privacy Policy Support Donate to Ace of Spades HQ! Contact Ace: aceofspadeshq at gee mail.com Buck: buck.throckmorton at protonmail.com CBD: cbd at cutjibnewsletter.com joe mannix: mannix2024 at proton.me MisHum: petmorons at gee mail.com J.J. Sefton: sefton at cutjibnewsletter.com Recent Entries Mostly Just Doggos Cafe Kash Patel Attacked by Shhpartacush, Proven Serial Liar Adam Schiff, Fat Retarded Woman Maizie Hirono And Now, a Plot Twist So Twisted and Plotty That It Will Blow All of Your Damn Minds Disney Groomer Corporation "News:" The Messages the Vicious Left-Wing Assassin Left For His Trans Furry Lover Were "Very Touching, In a Way, That Many of Us Didn't Expect" Charlie Kirk's Trantifa Assassin in a Text to His Furry Tranny Lover: "I had enough of his hatred. Some hate can't be negotiated out." Left-Wing Soft on Terrorism Judge Throws Out Terrorism Charges for the Left's Dreamboat Assassin Luigi Mangione Egg with Legs and Town Pump Porkchop Fani Willis Permanently Disqualified from Prosecuting the Indictments She Conjured Against Trump Of Course: Biden Weaponized the FBI to Go After... Charlie Kirk The Morning Rant: Minimalist Edition Mid-Morning Art Thread Absent Friends Jay Guevara 2025 Jim Sunk New Dawn 2025 Jewells45 2025 Bandersnatch 2024 GnuBreed 2024 Captain Hate 2023 moon_over_vermont 2023 westminsterdogshow 2023 Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022 Dave In Texas 2022 Jesse in D.C. 2022 OregonMuse 2022 redc1c4 2021 Tami 2021 Chavez the Hugo 2020 Ibguy 2020 Rickl 2019 Joffen 2014 AoSHQ Writers Group A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info: maildrop62 at proton dot me Cutting The Cord And Email Security Cutting The Cord [Joe Mannix (not a cop)] Cutting The Cord: It's Easier Than You Think [Blaster] Private Email and Secure Signatures [Hogmartin] Moron Meet-Ups Texas MoMe 2025: 10/17/2025-10/18/2025 Corsicana,TX Contact Ben Had for info	« Yes, Virginia, There Are Democratic Bush Voters \| Main \| LLM Needs to Accept the "New Normal" of "Ankle-Biters" » October 04, 2004 "But What About the Electoral College?" A lot of people seem to think that Bush is doing better in the electoral college, or state by state polling, than the national polling. That's wrong. National sentiment is made up, after all, of the sentiment within each state. When Bush does well in the national polls, he also does well in the state polls, and vice versa, and contrariwise. They're all linked-- they all have a high degree of correlation. Indeed, one can pretty much determine how many electoral votes a candidate will get based on his share of the national vote. Bush, for example, might squeak a 10 electoral vote victory if up by 1 or 2 points nationally, but if up by 3, he'd win by 30 EV's, etc. So, why do the state by state polls and electoral college counts look better for Bush right now? Well, easy-- because no one's done any state polls since the debate. It takes time to poll all those 16-20 battleground states, plus states that had seemed like battlegrounds lately, such as NJ. You can point to the state polls but, alas, those are all old numbers. Pointing to the state polls is like noting that Green Bay was ahead of New York yesterday for a while. It's true, but it's dated, and it's irrelevant. This doesn't mean that Kerry's going to win, just like it didn't mean that Bush was going to win when he was ahead. It does mean, however, that Bush no longer has the advantage. He could get that advantage back, etc., but at the moment, it's tied, with momentum in Kerry's favor. posted by Ace at 10:48 AM Comments And, just in time to confirm ACE's judgement (though ACE is NOT pessimistic!!)...... The first poll conducted entirely after the debate was NJ, which has moved from toss-up to 50-42 Kerry. Another "ethnic" poll also shows Jews are staying loyally Democratic, yet again. 68-21%. Despite Bush's all but declaring Israel as beloved in his heart as Texas, and his tax cuts for the wealthy. Catholic Hispanics are siding with Kerry by 65% to just 17% for Bush. Which is close to Alan Keye's numbers against Barack Obama. Posted by: Cedarford on October 4, 2004 12:01 PM Ace, while I agree with you as a practical matter, there are conditions where your logic goes flying out the window. It's possible for there to be a surge in support for one candidate in states that aren't going to change sides anyway (e.g. solidly Kerry to rabidly Kerry or Rabidly Bush to merely Leaning Bush), making it appear as though that candidate is doing better when nothing has changed. We don't see this very much anymore because the states are a lot more homogeneous today than at anytime in the past, which means a national poll can generally sense a real shift within the states as a whole. But it's still theoretically possible that something can affect voters on a regional basis (wavering Kerry voters in the Bluest Gore states turning solid, for instance), making the national poll a load of bunk. Posted by: The Black Republican on October 4, 2004 12:26 PM I disagree. New York and California have a ton of people yet no matter what percentage of the state votes Kerry, the electoral vote stays the same. So, Kerry can be winning by a lot in NY and Bush can win by a little in Pennsylvania or Ohio and Bush would win the election. Posted by: Karol on October 4, 2004 04:29 PM Karol, You're talking about something that could happen, theoretically, but doesn't. It could happen that all of New York and California vote for Kerry, giving him a big national vote lead, while he loses every other state. It doesn't happen, though. There are soft voters everywhere, and they turn based on the same things. New Jersey, a one-point state a week ago, is now either a five- or eight-point race. As soon as Kerry's national numbers got better, he gained a healthy lead in NJ. Because they're linked. Posted by: ace on October 4, 2004 04:39 PM In a country of 300 million, polling some 3000 nationally and making judgements based on this, especially since we don't have national elections, is a poor idea. Most of NY and CA will vote for Kerry and it will give his popular vote numbers a boost. But, it's not what gets someone elected. Posted by: Karol on October 4, 2004 05:51 PM Oh, and just for the superstitious record, my questioning of national polls is in no way because I think Bush will win. Posted by: Karol on October 4, 2004 05:52 PM Post a comment Name: Email Address: URL: Comments: Remember info?	Now Available! The Deplorable Gourmet A Horde-sourced Cookbook [All profits go to charity] Top Headlines Charlie Kirk vigil in NYC ends with Amazing Grace Charlie Kirk's widowed wife will address the nation tonight (Friday the 12th) at 8:15 Eastern Maori men in NZ do a haka war display for Charlie Kirk You vicious bastards shot the wrong man. You have set the world on fire. This will be your apocalypse. Nick Freitas responds to the Left's intentional lies that they are always the victim and the Right is always the oppressor. He refuses to play their game anymore. This is a must view. [dri] I wonder if he was fearless. I wonder if he was scared. I wonder if he just did it anyway? -- Mike Rowe Low-T High-Calorie Potato Brian Stelter: "Matthew Dowd is no longer an MSNBC political analyst, according to a network source." Matt Dowd, former Disney Groomer Corporation Political Director and John McCain advisor (of course), is the one who blamed Charlie Kirk's shooting on the real assassin, Charlie Kirk, claiming that Charlie's "hateful words lead to hateful actions." Trump speaks about the "heinous assassination" of Charlie Kirk, notes the left relentlessly demonized him until they radicalized an assassin to kill him "For years, the radical left has compared wonderful Americans like Charlie to NAZlS... this type of language is DIRECTLY RESPONSIBLE for the terrorism we're seeing in our country today. And it must stop RIGHT NOW!" Argentinian PM Javier Millei: "The left is always, at all times and places, a violent phenomenon full of hatred." I disregard their hate. It's the violence that we object to. And we will begin objecting to it with force. Update: Kash Patel says the person of interest has been interrogated and then released. Wrong guy, I guess. But as the hours pass without a real suspect, and with the FBI apparently interrogating uninvolved people, I begin to fear the assassin has escaped. I mean, they don't seem to be following a breadcrumb trail, they seem genuinely baffled. Karol Sheinin: I can confirm the person of interest questioned by the FBI is Zachariah Ahmed Qureshi. If this is the guy -- apparently he also interned at Heritage. Update: Source says he's been released? Wrong guy? Fat-Fck Pritzker blames Trump's rhetoric for the ramp up of political violence! May he rot in hell! [CBD] Podcast: Jim Lakely of Heartland.org joins us to discuss the blockbuster polls they have released over the last week. Americans 19-39 seem to be embracing socialism, overt redistributionist policies, destruction of our rights, and international control of our country! But there is hope on the horizon! Broward County Officials Accused of Adding Over 100,000 Ineligible Voters to the Rolls It is too soon to know how it happened, but...Republicans are watching! And that is how it is done.* [CBD] Federal judge temporarily blocks Trump from firing Federal Reserve Gov Lisa Cook With absolutely nonsensical reasoning, but you already knew that. [CBD] Podcast: 2A ban for trannies? Venezuela attack is Congress dropping the ball, RFK Jr...Maniac or disrupter? Heartland.org poll is a sad commentary on American education, and more! James Varney: Reflecting on Hurricane Katrina twenty years later, and the partisan uses Democrats found for it There was fear aplenty. But the truth is, a lot of the panic Americans saw on television was performative. The throngs of people along Convention Center Boulevard sat patiently in the broiling weather, five or six deep in folding chairs on the sidewalk, waiting for something, someone, to arrive. Then, a television crew or photographer would show up, and people would pour into the street, falling on their knees, screaming and gesticulating to the camera. It was an awful situation, obviously, but when the camera wasn't on them, it was remarkable how patient and orderly everyone was. Forgotten 80s Mystery Click: the most repetitive but catchy earworm of the eighties? Sometimes, I find you doubt my love for you but I don't mind Why should I mind? Why should I mind? It's hard to quote the song while avoiding quoting from the endlessly-repeated chorus. Wait, my mistake, his other hit from 1985 was the most repetitive new wave hit of the 80s. David French Is Aggressively and Persistently Dishonorable, But Fortunately He's Also Really Bad At It Here's a solid beating of the execrable French! [CBD] Forgotten 80s Mystery Click I'm gonna get high, man, I'm gonna get loose/ Need me a triple shot of that juice Podcast: 600,000 Chinese spies given visas? Scotland relies on 14-year-old girls for their defense, tariffs work! mortgage fraud is the new thing, and more! Recent Comments Mike Hammer, etc., etc.: " "Retarded" was once the polite euphemism for the ..." I used to have a different nic[/s][/b][/i][/u]: "It's not my fault that no one has bothered to come ..." I used to have a different nic[/s][/b][/i][/u]: "Comment 363. ..." Dr. Claw: "294 'I'm 75 years old and can still do ten pullup ..." BurtTC: "Without the ability to pass a real budget, Congres ..." I used to have a different nic[/s][/b][/i][/u]: "Seriously. I nooded. ..." Gref: "344 Been watching the "I got fiiiiiired!" videos, ..." whig: "It's just business. Nothing personal. Posted by: ..." Mike Hammer, etc., etc.: "Christmas Romanian Style. Posted by: whig ---- ..." bear with asymmetrical balls: "357 Oh no. No no no. If you want to see the big ..." Crusader: "Been watching the "I got fiiiiiired!" videos, and ..." Axeman: "Haters? Criminals? Mental patients? Grifters? ..." 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"But What About the Electoral College?"