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« One Last Post | Main | I Can't Believe I'm Saying This: Leave Clinton Alone »
June 20, 2004

Fedayeen Saddam May Have Been 9-11 Conspirator

Let me tell you something: I never expected this story to go anywhere. It was too good to be true.

As police say when a man with a mistress winds up finding his wife "accidentally" drowned in the pool: No one gets that lucky.

But maybe Kerry is Unelectable was right.

If this story is true -- and it's starting to look as if it might be -- then Kerry is unelectable.

Hare-Brained Update: The Smoke 'Em Out of Their Caves Strategy? For a long while, George Bush has been contending against a shadowy, evasive figure for whom no actionable intelligence exists by which to fix his position.

That opponent, of course, is John Kerry.

John Kerry has the perfect position on the War in Iraq: When things are going well, he's for it; when things are going poorly, he's vigorously against it.

Obviously, George Bush would rather he took a single position on the war. It does Bush no political good if, supposing the war goes well, Kerry can say in October, "Oh, yes, I was all in favor of that war myself."

So the question is, or perhaps was: How can we get Kerry to take a, let us say, less splendidly nuanced position and either declare his support (putting him shoulder-to-shoulder with Bush, come good or come ill) or declare his opposition (in which case Kerry may profit in the case of a catastrophe, but will himself suffer a catastrophe should the war be deemed a success-- or at least a necessary one, if less than a success)?

Perhaps the Bush Administration has sandbagged Kerry. They've induced him, little by little, to declare his true feelings about the war (of course, he's always been against it, and his sporadic statements which indicate some support for the effort are both ambiguous and cosmetic).

Perhaps they've decided to let Kerry get more solidly opposed to the war before releasing their best intelligence.

Now, a few caveats:

1) We've gotten our hopes up about this smoking gun or that one before. None of this may mean anything. Or perhaps this means something, but it can't be proved to the media's satisfaction. And the media, of course, are a panel of OJ jurors when it comes to Iraq; even videotape of this Fedayeen meeting with Mohammed Atta will be deemed "inconclusive" at best. ("Perhaps they were just discussing a Beirut time share.")

2) This is certainly a devious strategy. But deviousness isn't always a bad thing; in fact, it's often laudable. Kerry's strategy is fundamentally dishonest-- he wants to conceal his true opinion about the war until events clearly vindicate one position or another, and then he wants to claim he was on the right side of history all along. If it takes a little deviousness to unmask a liar-- who's the victim?

Well, Kerry's the victim, of course. Rather: Where is the innocent victim?

At any rate, I still don't expect this story to go anywhere. No one gets this lucky. I, like most people, have a tendency to believe the current situation will also be the future situation; while we all know, intellectually, that events may radically change the campaign, we have trouble accepting the possibility that any specific event may radically change the campaign.

Sure, Iran could have a counter-Islamist revolution; but who strongly believes that will happen?

It is starting to look, however, like maybe -- maybe -- this story has both legs and substance.

Will the media ignore it?

They'll try, of course.

But they wouldn't be able to ignore it should John Ashcroft issue a worldwide APB for a Mr. Ahmed Hikmat Shakir, lieutenant colonel in Saddam's intelligence service and conspirator in the 9-11 attacks.

Were that to happen -- and, if this story is real, I have to guess that it will -- expect to see Dan Rather announcing a worldwide manhunt for a Saddam's agent in the 9-11 attacks but with his famous Kathryn Harris caveats: "as John Ascroft sees it and as John Ascroft believes it."


posted by Ace at 11:33 PM
Comments



Remember the movie "The Contender" from several years ago? Jeff Bridges' character (the Prez) snookers Gary Oldman's character (some smarmy dickhead in Congress) in a most satisfying manner.

Too good to be true in real life? Almost certainly. One can hope, but only slightly. Why? Because while Bush & Co. have many of the proper convictions about what's right, they're probably just not Machiavellian enough to pull it off, even when it's right there in front of them.

Posted by: Patton on June 21, 2004 02:39 AM

Kerry is unelectable for so many good reasons that I'm going to have to do a long post on it. (Right after I finish writing my response to "The Last Post") But you have pointed out one of the main reasons. Kerry isn't very smart and he is a horrible judge of other people's motivations. How could he possibly believe that the President of the United States would really take us to war on fabricated charges? In this day and age? With this super-critical and hyper-hostile media? Kerry is a fucking moron.

Posted by: Kerry Is Unelectable on June 21, 2004 11:18 AM

Patton: I think Cheney is so calculating he could give Machiavelli pointers.

Posted by: Kerry Is Unelectable on June 21, 2004 11:23 AM
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What? Skeleton of the most famous Musketeer, D'Artagnan, possibly discovered in Dutch church closet.
Dumas picked four names of real musketeers out of a history book, D'Artagnan, Athos, Aramis, and Porthos. So there was an actual D'Artagnan, though he made most of the story up. (Or, you know, all of it.)*
Charles de Batz de Castelmore, known as d'Artagnan, the famous musketeer of Kings Louis XIII and Louis XIV, spent his life in the service of the French crown.
The Gascon nobleman inspired Alexandre Dumas's hero in "The Three Musketeers" in the 19th century, a character now known worldwide thanks to the novel and numerous film adaptations.
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A lot of Dumas's stories are based on bits of real history. The plot of the >Three Musketeers, about trying to recover lost diamonds from the queen's necklace, was cribbed from the then-almost-contemporaneous Affair of the Queen's Necklace. And the Man in the Iron Mask is based on real accounts of a prisoner forced to wear a mask (though I think it was a velvet mask).
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I noticed a continuity problem. Maybe. Now, as of the time of The Hobbit, it was unknown that this magic ring was in fact a Ring of Power, and it was doubly unknown that it was the Ring of Power, the Master Ring that controlled the others.
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In another passage, the ring is identified as a "ring of power."
I don't know, I always thought there was a distinction between mere magic rings and the Rings of Power created by Sauron. But this suggests that Bilbo knew this was a ring of power created by Sauron.
Now I don't remember when Bilbo wrote the Hobbit. In the movie, he shows Frodo the book in Rivendell, and I guess he wrote it after he left the Shire. I guess he might have added in the part about the ring being a ring of power created by "the Master" after Gandalf appraised him of his research into the ring.
I never noticed this before. I know Tolkien re-wrote this chapter while he was writing LOTR to make the ring important from the start. And also to make Gollum more sinister and evil, and also to remove the part where Gollum actually offers Bilbo the ring as a "present" -- Bilbo had already found it on his own, but Gollum was wiling to give it away, which obviously is not something the rewritten Gollum would ever do.
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