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« Tom Brokaw Decides Bush Needs an Editor | Main | UN: Saddam Shipped WMD's Out of Iraq Before, During, and After War »
June 11, 2004

Rasmussen: Mini-Surge for Bush

I suppose it should probably just be attributed to Reagan nostalgia and the fact that the press hasn't been able to beat the Abu Ghraib bongos effectively for a week. It's probably ephemeral, and doesn't mean anything.

But Rasmussen Reports is showing a surge for Bush (and congressional Republicans) in just about every measure:

* Head to Head: Bush 47%, Kerry 44% (Bush up two, Kerry down one from yesterday)

* Generic Congressional: Dem 42%, Rep 38% (stubborn Dem lead narrowed by 2)

* 54% prefer Bush on National Defense, highest in two months

* 26% Say Terrorists Winning... Lowest Level in Six Weeks

* 40% Say Economy Getting Better; Highest Since January

* Consumer Confidence Index highest since January

* 43% Say Bush Good or Excellent on Iraq Highest reading in seven weeks

and

* Bush Job Approval at 52%; it's bounced between 50 and 52 of late

So it looks like Bush is rebounding. Partly on the de-escalation of violence in Iraq, partly on the improving economy, which the public is finally starting to register.

It like Joshua Micah Christopher Thomas Steffan Geoffrey Tavington-Cavendish Marshall's semi-prediction of Bush's job approval falling into the thirties was, shockingly enough, hyperpartisan hackery.

"Where's the floor?" Joshy wanted to know.

Well, the floor now looks around 50%.


posted by Ace at 03:47 PM
Comments



"And, shockingly enough, it looks like Joshua Micah Christain Thomas Steffan Geoffrey Tavington-Cavendish Marshall's semi-prediction of Bush's job approval falling into the thirties was, shockingly enough, hyperpartisan hackery."

Now Ace, let's be fair. When he made the statement, Joshua Micah Cecil Frances Julian Hoingy-bonk Dieselfuel Marshall didn't know that Reagan's death would come to Bush's rescue, nor could he reasonably have been expected to rely on actual facts. So cut him a little slack, please.

Posted by: Aaron on June 11, 2004 03:58 PM

And I should note, while reading the statistics you posted, David Coverdale did hit that really high note when he sings "Here I COOOOOOOOOOOOOOME...", and he's either hitting the wrong note or he changed the song's key temporarily, and it goes into the solo. Now that's good blogging.

Posted by: Aaron on June 11, 2004 04:00 PM

And to be fair, I should say that, like a drifter, I was born to walk alone.

Posted by: Aaron on June 11, 2004 04:01 PM

Joshua "not gay" Marshal?

Posted by: Rusty Shackleford on June 11, 2004 04:15 PM


I've been known to walk down the only road I've ever known.

One road. That's all I've known.

I should get out more often.

Posted by: ace on June 11, 2004 04:39 PM
Posted by: poker me up on December 29, 2004 02:06 PM
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What? Skeleton of the most famous Musketeer, D'Artagnan, possibly discovered in Dutch church closet.
Dumas picked four names of real musketeers out of a history book, D'Artagnan, Athos, Aramis, and Porthos. So there was an actual D'Artagnan, though he made most of the story up. (Or, you know, all of it.)
Charles de Batz de Castelmore, known as d'Artagnan, the famous musketeer of Kings Louis XIII and Louis XIV, spent his life in the service of the French crown.
The Gascon nobleman inspired Alexandre Dumas's hero in "The Three Musketeers" in the 19th century, a character now known worldwide thanks to the novel and numerous film adaptations.
D'Artagnan was killed during the siege of Maastricht in 1673, and there is a statue honoring the musketeer in the city. His final resting place has remained a mystery ever since.

A lot of Dumas's stories are based on bits of real history. The plot of the >Three Musketeers, about trying to recover lost diamonds from the queen's necklace, was cribbed from the then-almost-contemporaneous Affair of the Queen's Necklace. And the Man in the Iron Mask is based on real accounts of a prisoner forced to wear a mask (though I think it was a velvet mask).
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Also, the Hobbit is Beginner-Friendly, which LOTR isn't. The Hobbit really is a delightful book, and a fast read. It's chatty, it's casual, it's exciting, and it's funny. In that dry cheeky British humor way. I love that the narrator is constantly making little asides and commentary, like he's just sitting next to you telling you this story as it occurs to him.
LOTR is a very long story. Fifteen hundred pages or so. The Hobbit is relatively short and very punchy and easy to read. If you don't like The Hobbit, you can skip out on LOTR. If you do like it, you'll be primed to read LOTR.
Oh, I should say: The Hobbit is written as if it's for children, but one of those smart children's stories that are also for adults. Don't worry, there's also real fighting and violence and horror in it, too.
LOTR is written for adults. (It's said that Tolkien wrote both for his children, but LOTR was written 17 years later, when his children were adults.) Some might not like The Hobbit due to its sometimes frivolous tone. Me, I love it. I find it constantly amusing. Both are really good but there is a starkly different tone to both. LOTR is epic, grand, and serious, about a world war, The Hobbit is light and breezy, and about a heist. Though a heist that culminates in a war for the spoils.
The Hobbit Challenge: Read two more chapters. I didn't have much time. Bilbo got the ring.
I noticed a continuity problem. Maybe. Now, as of the time of The Hobbit, it was unknown that this magic ring was in fact a Ring of Power, and it was doubly unknown that it was the Ring of Power, the Master Ring that controlled the others.
But the narrator -- who we will learn in LOTR was none of than Bilbo himself, who wrote the book as "There and Back Again" -- says this about Gollum's ring:
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In another passage, the ring is identified as a "ring of power."
I don't know, I always thought there was a distinction between mere magic rings and the Rings of Power created by Sauron. But this suggests that Bilbo knew this was a ring of power created by Sauron.
Now I don't remember when Bilbo wrote the Hobbit. In the movie, he shows Frodo the book in Rivendell, and I guess he wrote it after he left the Shire. I guess he might have added in the part about the ring being a ring of power created by "the Master" after Gandalf appraised him of his research into the ring.
I never noticed this before. I know Tolkien re-wrote this chapter while he was writing LOTR to make the ring important from the start. And also to make Gollum more sinister and evil, and also to remove the part where Gollum actually offers Bilbo the ring as a "present" -- Bilbo had already found it on his own, but Gollum was wiling to give it away, which obviously is not something the rewritten Gollum would ever do.
But I had no memory of the ring being suggested to be The Ring so early in the tale.
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