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« Another Finding of the 269-269 Nightmare Scenario | Main | Excitable Andy Cautions NRO to "Chill" »
November 02, 2004

Make Sure You Vote!

Early numbers don't look too great, but they don't necessarily mean much. They're polls, unreliable to start with, and furthermore polls of unrepresentative samples of the population.

Don't let the early polls do to us what Dan Rather's early pronouncement of a Gore victory in Florida did to the conservatives of the Florida panhandle.

Vote. At least once.

And, if you want, share your voting experience with fellow newshawks.


posted by Ace at 02:44 PM
Comments



That's better. Don't go all excitable-Sullivan on us.

Posted by: someone on November 2, 2004 02:48 PM

Vote early, vote often.

Crap, I'm not getting any work done today.

Posted by: Scout on November 2, 2004 02:50 PM

Look... If Sen. Easter Island Head does win, we'll all have at least four years to piss and moan about it. Why the hurry?

Posted by: zetetic on November 2, 2004 02:58 PM

Try again at the Corner:

"SECONDHAND INFO [Ramesh Ponnuru]
I'm told that pollsters close to the Bush campaign think that Bush is up in Florida and New Hampshire, down in Wisconsin, even in Pennsylvania and Michigan, and "doing well" in Ohio. And they don't think that the exit-poll numbers on NRO about Ohio add up. Fwiw."

"SECONDHAND INFO [Ramesh Ponnuru]
The Republican who gave it to me is a congenital pessimist and has been calling around "looking for bad news"--and not finding it."

Posted by: someone on November 2, 2004 03:07 PM

the old fat man has set up a site to collect 'abuse stories'.

http://www.michaelmoore.com/electionwatch/electionwatch.php

Repug Goons everywhere (heh heh)

Thank God for Google. you can find precinct addresses for every battleground state.

and it's all anonymous.

Posted by: David Stonebridge on November 2, 2004 03:23 PM

Exit polls? Pha! Ignore them. There was a pollster (some college cutie who wasn't pushing anything just collecting paper) outside the polls in Roswell GA. She was just standing there and you had to approach her to post your opinion.

And there's the rub. Any statistician will tell you that a self-selecting sample is completely worthless. You have to get a cross section of the fanatics and the barely committed tp get useful data. Ignore any exit poll for the same reason you would an Internet poll: only assholes with an ajend... adjen... motive vote in them.

JLW

Posted by: John Warfin on November 2, 2004 03:30 PM

Screw the early returns. Republicans are still at work.

Posted by: Golden Boy on November 2, 2004 03:33 PM

new player bonus - sign up now!

Posted by: PokerMaster on November 10, 2004 11:10 PM
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In more marketing for Project Hail Mary, scientists say they've found the biosigns indicating life growing on an alien planet. It's not proof, just signatures of chemicals that are produced by biological metabolism, and it could be nothing, but scientists think it's a strong sign that this planet is inhabited by something.
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Tons of chemicals are detected in the atmospheres of celestial objects every day. But dimethyl sulfide is different, because on Earth, it's only produced by living organisms.
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LOTR is a very long story. Fifteen hundred pages or so. The Hobbit is relatively short and very punchy and easy to read. If you don't like The Hobbit, you can skip out on LOTR. If you do like it, you'll be primed to read LOTR.
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The Hobbit Challenge: Read two more chapters. I didn't have much time. Bilbo got the ring.
I noticed a continuity problem. Maybe. Now, as of the time of The Hobbit, it was unknown that this magic ring was in fact a Ring of Power, and it was doubly unknown that it was the Ring of Power, the Master Ring that controlled the others.
But the narrator -- who we will learn in LOTR was none of than Bilbo himself, who wrote the book as "There and Back Again" -- says this about Gollum's ring:
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In another passage, the ring is identified as a "ring of power."
I don't know, I always thought there was a distinction between mere magic rings and the Rings of Power created by Sauron. But this suggests that Bilbo knew this was a ring of power created by Sauron.
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I never noticed this before. I know Tolkien re-wrote this chapter while he was writing LOTR to make the ring important from the start. And also to make Gollum more sinister and evil, and also to remove the part where Gollum actually offers Bilbo the ring as a "present" -- Bilbo had already found it on his own, but Gollum was wiling to give it away, which obviously is not something the rewritten Gollum would ever do.
But I had no memory of the ring being suggested to be The Ring so early in the tale.
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