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| Anatomy of a Rollback »
October 29, 2004
New Poll: Bush Up in Pennsylvania and MichiganHere's the bad news: he's also behind in Ohio. Let's be cautiously optimistic about this -- and let's vote, damnit -- but it's probably safe to say at this point of the the election what they say about Hollywood: No one knows anything about anything. What we have on our hands is a flip of a coin, and unless you're just a degenerate gambler, you can't be happy about that. October 29, 2004 -- Two new polls yesterday claimed President Bush has 2-point leads in Pennsylvania and Michigan must-win states for Democratic rival John Kerry. Moderate Kim Richards. Maybe one of her more heavily-clothed scenes in Tuff Turf:
Update: This guy says Bush is ready to take a commanding lead in Ohio. Okay, but, he's only got 'till Tuesday you know. posted by Ace at 02:24 AM
CommentsI wouldn't worry too much about Ohio. Yeah, maybe a good GOTV by our side wins it, but very possibly not. I've been watching the strategy for the last month and there canbe little doubt that Rove fashioned and pursued a plan to win without Ohio. I just did a post on this, though not directly. Bush will likely win Fla. to get to 259 EV's. He only needs 10 more for a tie he'll win in the House. They have spent far more time in MN, WI, PA and IA than Ohio. Ohio was always going to be the harder fight because of the state economy and a republican gov. who raised taxes there. Think about how few times you have been hearing "Bush in Ohio" - nothing compared to the other states. If Bush wins close, it'll be with 276 - 286 EV's from his current base plus FL, IA, MN, and or WI forget NH and OH. His last big days, one with Arnold, will help him regionally (MN, IA, WI, OH some) and more imortantly, Western PA, he was in Eastern PA today BTW. The "Big Win" gamble would call for him rolling up NJ and maybe PA. The media has been talking about the IA, MN, WI strategy as a fall back. Look at Bush's travels since the convention - it isn't a fall back - it's the main plan. And it's working. Posted by: Dan on October 29, 2004 03:07 AM
I also think the people who are appearing with Bush are going to help him more than those who are showing up on stage with Kerry. NH doesn't have a huge number of electoral votes, but Curt Schilling will be appearing with Bush there, and that's Red Sox Nation territory. With the end of the curse, that could be a huge boost in a swing state, and it could have an effect on parts of Maine as well. My Governator is also going to be appearing with him in Ohio, and Arnold's a popular figure, seen as something of a maverick--that could also pick up votes for W--maybe in western Pennsylvania as well. Meanwhile, Kerry's stumping in Madison, Wisconsin with Springsteen. Uh-huh. First of all, Madison is like the Berkeley of the midwest, so draw your own conclusions as to why he feels the need to get out his base there. Secondly, Sprignsteen? I know the media and liberals (redundant, I know) are falling all over themselves to polish his knob and talk about how important he is to the campaign, but what year is this? 1984? Seriously, when was the last time Bruce had a hit song? I don't even remember the last time I saw one of his videos on VH-friggin-1. I guess he can galvanize the support of elderly rock critics and Carl from Aqua Teen Hunger Force, but college kids? Please. But you've gotta worry about the secret weapon, the October surprise. I'm talking about, of course, Bowzer. Posted by: Sean M. on October 29, 2004 04:35 AM
I took advantage of early voting and cast the first presidential ballot of my life for a Republican. It was a weird and vaguely disturbing feeling, actually. But, somehow I don't think I'm going to dolefully regret this vote like the ones I gleefully cast for Carter and Perot back in the days before I learned to actually USE the brain God gave me. (I know, I know: "What was he THINKING?!" I wuz a spaz-tard. ;^/) Posted by: Bloghorn Bleghorn on October 29, 2004 04:48 AM
Ace, sorry about the double trackback, some kind of snafu. Please delete the duplicate. Posted by: Steve on October 29, 2004 09:28 AM
If Bush gets Michigan & Pennsylvania, who needs Ohio? There would be additional fallout from carrying MI & PA. The media will be advertising that before the polls close in the west, encourating those western "battlegrounds" to get on the bandwagon. I'm from Ohio, by the way, and I'm gonna vote for Bush, but like a democrat...several times. Posted by: Just Don on October 29, 2004 10:45 AM
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| The Deplorable Gourmet A Horde-sourced Cookbook [All profits go to charity] Top Headlines
Whoops! I posted about Dan Goldman losing the NY congressional primary. He might do that, but it won't be tonight -- the primary isn't held until June 23.
One race to keep an eye on: the Levi's heir nepo baby and egregious "Designated Liar" Dan Goldman -- one of the Democrats from a safe district Democrats send out to spread their most indefensible lies -- may actually lose his lower Manhattan/Brooklyn set due to, get this, antisemitism in the Democrat primary electorate.
Antisemitism? In the anti-Nazi Democrat Party? Sounds crazy, I know, but apparently the anti-Nazi Party wants to eliminate Jews. Henry Rosoff Oh my Totenkopf Tattoo, that is a DRUBBING! I'm usually very anti-antisemitism but if the Communist Antisemite Jihadists can pull this one off, Go Communist Antisemite Jihadists, Go!
Democrat Senator Rueben Gallego, who served his wife with divorce papers when she was nine months pregnant so that he could marry his side-piece, counsels us that we should not judge Graham Platner for his infidelity because these things are personal matters, Racists:
Sahil Kapur I like that he says that it's okay that Graham Platner sexted 12 different women within months of marrying the woman to sponge off her because he wasn't then "living a political life" -- the clear meaning being, "We all cheat, we just don't cheat when we're running for office, and he didn't know he was running for office when he was sending dicpics to half the women he ran into." Except he was running: His own wife turned the sexts over to his campaign. And obviously Reuben Gallego didn't let his "political life" get in the way of his extramarital dating life: ![]()
Funny -- if you don't mind clicking on TikTok. "Amy.Pranks.22" set up an AI scam-call screener which replies to a foreign scammer trying to get her bank information with Trumpian bluster. This might be fake because I don't see how a program can respond in real time, but it's funny.
Food Thread Pizza Dough Recipe
The ULA rocket just launched
Thanks to Joyenz The rocket's enormous engines are fueled by "the volcanic heterosexual lust between James Talarico and his Neighbor With a Uterus 'girlfriend'" I hope Amazon's rocket works better than the Amazon Prime app does as far as allowing people to watch the black and white version of "Spider-Noir" From the CA Post: Thanks to beckster
Just like "Spartacus" Corey Booker, now that James Talarico is running for a higher office, he unveils his previously-unknown "girlfriend" and hooboy, it just so happens she used to work for him, and, get this, likes to "dance the night away" at gay bars
Gee I wonder where they might have met Oh and she's a vegan When Corey Booker needed a "girlfriend," he conjured up known LGBTQ activist Rosario Dawson. How convenient that when these guys need a girlfriend to show off to the normies that just happen to find an activist with a strong history of and interest in Supporting Gay Men But seriously, this James Talarico romance with a Neighbor with a Uterus is a love story for the ages. The passion of their lovemaking is hotter than a blue star with a core of Primordial Sex Atoms created in the Big Bang
And just like that, #PunchANazi became Punch a Ballot for a Nazi
"Teen" charged with five counts of attempted murder after attempting to run down police officers with his car in yet another "teen takeover" permitted by woke racist incompetent Chicago mayor Brandon Johnson
Johnson's response to the "teen takeovers" of streets and businesses that he refuses to make arrests to stop is to go after social media companies for not deleting messages to coordinate the "teen takeovers." Um, they're supposed to find these messages and delete them in real time? It makes no sense but he has to offer an "alternative" plan to just arresting lawbreakers -- which he absolutely refuses to do, saying we "can't arrest our way out" of rampant crime.
Future Tucker Carlson guest James Talarico:
James Talarico He's referring to three mass attacks committed by white men in, oh, the past six or eight years. There were a huge number of mass shootings and bombings he had to skip over to cherry pick three committed by white men. Which kind of makes me think that "white men" are not the greatest terrorist threat in our country. No, I doubt he'll be a guest on Tucker Carlson. The only thing that Tucker clings to that he claims makes him "conservative" is a palpable hatred of gays. Any time there's a communist enslaving their population and executing dissenters and conservatives, Tucker praises that dictator by saying "at least he represses the homos!"
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