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October 09, 2004
Rasmussen: Bush at 50% SupportFirst time all year either candidate has hit the magic majority. Bush 50 (well, 49.6) Kerry 46 (actually 45.9). Meanwhile, Zogby, who's tended to be one of the worst pollsters for Bush (and best for Kerry), shows Kerry emerging with a very-much-inside-the-MoE one point lead, 46-45. I think Bush was badly damaged by that first debate. However, I think the damage was not as catastrophic as it might have been, and furthermore his second debate performance was much, much stronger. Many fewer people watched this second debate, but they'll hear from the pundicracy that it was either a draw or slight Bush win. Bush didn't deliver a knockout, but he did manage a smooth and reassuring appearance, much-needed after his weak first performance. Long story short: If that first debate wasn't enough to put Kerry ahead outside the MoE, I don't know what else could do at this point. Well, except for the obvious-- a major terrorist attack of the sort that could plausibly be blamed on American negligence for failing to prevent. Update: Ipsos/AP has it all knotted up at 47% apeice. Not as bad as it seems. Kerry on his best week manages a tie. Bush on his best week manages a 6-8 point lead. Kerry could win-- no doubt about that. But he'll have to have a great week at the end of October, whereas Bush only needs a fair week to take home the prize. posted by Ace at 03:01 PM
CommentsAce This is an old poll. All of AP's political stories for three days have lead with this poll. For the three days they trumpeted the likely voters going for Kerry over Bush 50-46. Now the emphasis on this article is that among registered voters Bush and Kerry are tied at 47-47. This is a poll for all seasons because within this poll among the most likely to vote Bush is ahead of Kerry. So the AP can get 9 days of stories from this same poll. 1st Kerry was ahead, then tied, and in a few days Bush will be ahead. All from the same poll. now this wasn't a trick posting was it? Like the old question about how many days Moses was in the ark? (None Moses was not in the ark) Posted by: Ralph on October 9, 2004 04:04 PM
Still....the polls are worrying. It's all these damn debate things. I don't like these debate things AT ALL. Everybody's always telling me how to act at them. They even took away my Ny-Quil about a week before the first one. That made me all shaky, and I started to see giant spiders in my room. And they didn't have spider heads neither. Instead, they all had Uncle Dick's head on their bodies, and they were saying they were going to interrogate me by putting glow sticks in my butt. Mr. Rove said I couldn't debate if I kept seeing the spiders, so they gave me my Ny-Quil back. I stopped shaking and seeing spiders after that. They brought me a a little juice glass full of Ny-Quil before the first debate and said that it was all I could drink. Then they stuck a thing in my ear that made it so Mr. Rove could talk to me in my head. That made Jesus mad, because He likes to have my head to himself. He told me to ignore Mr. Rove, but I said that would get me in trouble. Then, Jesus told me to go and have a few hits off of my Ny-Quil bong, and I wouldn't care anymore. He was right. I couldn't understand all the big words Mr. Kerry was saying in the first debate. Mr. Rove kept trying to help me, but Jesus started to sing "Jesus wants me to be a Sunbeam" really loud, and I couldn't understand what Mr. Rove was saying. That made me kind of mad, and I guess it showed. Everybody yelled at me afterward, and said that I was drunk. They let me use my nose medicine for the next debate, and they promised not to arrest me this time for using it. Mr. Limbaugh said that combined with the Ny-Quil, it would keep me on an even keel. He knows a lot about medicine--he's like a doctor or something. There was a problem though. Uncle Dick found my Ny-Quil bong after the first debate and confiscated it. All I got was a little glass, the balance between Ny-Quil and nose medicine this time was way off. That said, this time was stil a little better, because Jesus was mad at me for touching Barney the way Sen. Santorum taught me and didn't talk to me except for that time he told me to kill Charley Gibson. Mr Rove stopped me just in time. I got really angry a lot during that debate. Once, Mr. Kerry tried to embarrass me my saying that I had wood. That was a lie. I haven't had wood in years--Laura says it's because of all the Ny-Quil and nose medicine. There's one more debate coming up. I don't want to do it. Maybe, they'll let my man-secretary, Mr. Rumsfeld, do it for me. I sure hope so. Posted by: George W, on October 11, 2004 03:37 AM
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Original KISS guitarist Ace Frehley dies at age 74
I heard that his solo album, back when each member of KISS cut their own record, was pretty good. Here's that solo album, from 1978. Sounds a bit like The Sweet.
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click: Garrett's Infinite Playlist Edition
Why can't you set your monkey free?
Eleventh Starship/Superheavy a complete success
"On the eleventh orbital test flight today of Starship/Superheavy, SpaceX basically achieved all its engineering goals, with both Superheavy and Starship completing their flights as planned, with Superheavy doing a soft vertical splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico, and Starship doing a soft vertical splashdown in the Indian Ocean." [CBD]
The architectural history of the spooky old house
Kind of interesting, looks at the design cues that inform stuff like the Addams Family Mansion and the other media "spooky old houses" of our imagination
Robert Spencer: Hamas Out to Destroy the Gazan Clans That Oppose It [CBD]
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Twitch's prized terrorist Hasan Piker activates his dog's shock collar because it... got up and walked two feet away from its designated area
I saw Nuxanor claiming that Piker is claiming he feels physically unsafe in public. it takes some real gall to play the Real Victim Here card, given that he has called for the murders of Senator Rick Scott and
Chris Dreja RIP: of the legendary 60s Rock band The Yardbirds has died at 79.
Dreja co-founded The Yardbirds in 1963; playing rhythm guitar alongside lead axman Tom Topham, singer Keith Relf, drummer Jim McCarthy and bassist Paul Samwell-Smith. The group would go on to feature three of the most celebrated guitarists in rock history in Eric Clapton, who replaced Topham in 1993; Jeff Beck, who took over for Clapton in 1965; and future Led Zeppelin heavyweight Jimmy Page, who joined in 1966; when Samwell-Smith left. (J.J. Sefton)
I have no regrets about quitting the NFL.
I also have no regrets about quitting the increasingly gay James Bond: Bleeding Fool Censored images of Bond, now disarmed, here via BetaCuck4Lyfe, which coincidentally enough will be James Bond's new cover identity.
Harvard hires drag queen named 'LaWhore Vagistan' as visiting professor
You can't make this up! [CBD] ![]()
Oh great, another reboot of an old TV series for "The Modern Audience"
Trump taunts Democrat leaders with 'Trump 2028' hats in Oval Office
The man knows how to troll! [CBD]
High-power microwave system downs 49 drones in one shot - weaponized electromagnetic interference erases drone swarms en masse Measure...counter-measure...counter-counter-measure? [CBD]
More Leftist Violence. On 9/23, Rapper Ice Cube's tour bus firebombed by protesters in Portland after being mistaken for ICE deportation bus. The MSM is giving this story a good leaving alone. [dri]
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