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October 09, 2004
Rasmussen: Bush at 50% SupportFirst time all year either candidate has hit the magic majority. Bush 50 (well, 49.6) Kerry 46 (actually 45.9). Meanwhile, Zogby, who's tended to be one of the worst pollsters for Bush (and best for Kerry), shows Kerry emerging with a very-much-inside-the-MoE one point lead, 46-45. I think Bush was badly damaged by that first debate. However, I think the damage was not as catastrophic as it might have been, and furthermore his second debate performance was much, much stronger. Many fewer people watched this second debate, but they'll hear from the pundicracy that it was either a draw or slight Bush win. Bush didn't deliver a knockout, but he did manage a smooth and reassuring appearance, much-needed after his weak first performance. Long story short: If that first debate wasn't enough to put Kerry ahead outside the MoE, I don't know what else could do at this point. Well, except for the obvious-- a major terrorist attack of the sort that could plausibly be blamed on American negligence for failing to prevent. Update: Ipsos/AP has it all knotted up at 47% apeice. Not as bad as it seems. Kerry on his best week manages a tie. Bush on his best week manages a 6-8 point lead. Kerry could win-- no doubt about that. But he'll have to have a great week at the end of October, whereas Bush only needs a fair week to take home the prize. posted by Ace at 03:01 PM
CommentsAce This is an old poll. All of AP's political stories for three days have lead with this poll. For the three days they trumpeted the likely voters going for Kerry over Bush 50-46. Now the emphasis on this article is that among registered voters Bush and Kerry are tied at 47-47. This is a poll for all seasons because within this poll among the most likely to vote Bush is ahead of Kerry. So the AP can get 9 days of stories from this same poll. 1st Kerry was ahead, then tied, and in a few days Bush will be ahead. All from the same poll. now this wasn't a trick posting was it? Like the old question about how many days Moses was in the ark? (None Moses was not in the ark) Posted by: Ralph on October 9, 2004 04:04 PM
Still....the polls are worrying. It's all these damn debate things. I don't like these debate things AT ALL. Everybody's always telling me how to act at them. They even took away my Ny-Quil about a week before the first one. That made me all shaky, and I started to see giant spiders in my room. And they didn't have spider heads neither. Instead, they all had Uncle Dick's head on their bodies, and they were saying they were going to interrogate me by putting glow sticks in my butt. Mr. Rove said I couldn't debate if I kept seeing the spiders, so they gave me my Ny-Quil back. I stopped shaking and seeing spiders after that. They brought me a a little juice glass full of Ny-Quil before the first debate and said that it was all I could drink. Then they stuck a thing in my ear that made it so Mr. Rove could talk to me in my head. That made Jesus mad, because He likes to have my head to himself. He told me to ignore Mr. Rove, but I said that would get me in trouble. Then, Jesus told me to go and have a few hits off of my Ny-Quil bong, and I wouldn't care anymore. He was right. I couldn't understand all the big words Mr. Kerry was saying in the first debate. Mr. Rove kept trying to help me, but Jesus started to sing "Jesus wants me to be a Sunbeam" really loud, and I couldn't understand what Mr. Rove was saying. That made me kind of mad, and I guess it showed. Everybody yelled at me afterward, and said that I was drunk. They let me use my nose medicine for the next debate, and they promised not to arrest me this time for using it. Mr. Limbaugh said that combined with the Ny-Quil, it would keep me on an even keel. He knows a lot about medicine--he's like a doctor or something. There was a problem though. Uncle Dick found my Ny-Quil bong after the first debate and confiscated it. All I got was a little glass, the balance between Ny-Quil and nose medicine this time was way off. That said, this time was stil a little better, because Jesus was mad at me for touching Barney the way Sen. Santorum taught me and didn't talk to me except for that time he told me to kill Charley Gibson. Mr Rove stopped me just in time. I got really angry a lot during that debate. Once, Mr. Kerry tried to embarrass me my saying that I had wood. That was a lie. I haven't had wood in years--Laura says it's because of all the Ny-Quil and nose medicine. There's one more debate coming up. I don't want to do it. Maybe, they'll let my man-secretary, Mr. Rumsfeld, do it for me. I sure hope so. Posted by: George W, on October 11, 2004 03:37 AM
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Forgotten 80s Mystery Click: Garrett's Favorite Band Edition
Everybody wants you Everybody wants your love I'd just like to make you mine, all mine
Baylor Coach Dave Aranda Apologizes for 'Ableism' After Using the Word 'Midget'
Well, he is also disabled...he is a eunuch [CBD] I'm frankly surprised the title is 107 Days. I would have thought it would be:
Soft weak poop from the early 80s Mystery Click
I never liked this song, but it is memorable. In a weak, annoying way. The kid's in shock up and down the block The folks are home playing beat the clock Down at the golden cup They set the young ones up Under the neon light Selling day for night It's alright Nobody rides for free (nobody, nobody) Nobody gets it like they want it to be (nobody, nobody) Nobody hands you any guarantee (nobody, nobody) Nobody
Flashback: UCLA allows terror-supporting thugs to set up and maintain checkpoints to keep Jews out of campus buildings
More video of the anti-Jewish checkpoints A major university allowed this and defended this.
Earthquake off Russian coast sends tsunami waves towards Hawaii:
Nick Sortor Coastal evacuation ordered in Honolulu Warnings for the California coast as well. Impact expected at 12:15
Former CIA operative John Kiriakou talks with Matt Taibbi about the Brennan/Comey Coup
Both guys are old liberals, maybe even of the far-left variety, and both are appalled by the Democrat/Deep State coup against the US. Kiriakou says that CIA officers were legally obligated to report to the Inspector General John Brennan's repeated overruling of actual intelligence to encode his partisan conspiracy theories into US intel product, but of course they didn't.
Jonathan Turley nails it: The rise and fall of John Brennan [Hat Tip: dhmosquito] [CBD]
American Eagle Outfitters has a new ad with Sidney Sweeney, and you are going to like it. [CBD]
Seattle woman takes Navy's Blue Angels to court over social media censorship and 'acoustic torture' of cat
A literal cat lady! [CBD]
OG Blogger Jeff Dunetz passes at age 67
I thought I told everyone to stop dying.
Legendary wrestler and great American Hulk Hogan passes away. Love ya brother. [Weirddave]
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Are your Hot Balls ruining your health? Maybe you need to put those sad droopers on ice.
Most studies about overheated testicles look at semen production and fertility, but it also seems likely that too-hot crotch-knockers result in lowered tesosterone, too.
Ryan Long makes fun of NYC lefties for bragging that they can "handle" living amidst garbage, rats, hobos and murder while p*ssies like you just take the easy way out and move to orderly, pleasant places
At Budokan Mystery Click
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