Support.
Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!
Contact
Top Headlines
Holiday Break: I've had a rough couple of weeks -- the shoulder is healing now and I'm finally getting decent sleep -- and I've decided to take a long weekend.
I'm taking Friday off, and then Monday off, too.
I have Open Threads for both days and I will post if big news breaks, but if it doesn't -- and it probably won't, news is slow before a holiday weekend -- I'm going to take a four day weekend.
Sh0eOnHead discusses the Psychotic Cult of Lindsay
Real quotes:
"This case has me feeling like I'm on Law & Order with you guys!"
"We literally binge true crime as a hobby, we've been trained for this moment"
Worth the watch. If you haven't seen the genuinely upsetting insanity motivating thousands of women, you should watch this just to see how society is crumbling.
Ban TikTok, Trump. I don't care if Barron tells you it's popular with the yutes. It is an evil Communist China op and it is driving women insane.
Dolly Parton tells the story of the supposedly real-life Jolene
As Andrew Branca says, can we see this Jolene, finally? Who was this hottie that was a genuine sexual threat to Dolly Parton?
I think this is Fake News personally. When a magician claims he learned a trick from a Himalayan wise man, I don't believe him either.
Peter Cullen, voice actor for Optimus Prime (among many others) dies at home surrounded by family at age 85
RIP and Roll Out!
CJN podcast 1400 copy.jpg
Podcast: Dolly Parton...an American classic, Michigan's El Sayed is part of our future destruction, More Global Warming nonsense, mail-in balloting restrictions, Darline Graham? Get rid of family dynasties...and more!
Breaking news: Dolly Parton had a real pair of 38s
Or at least one. She carried it everywhere for protection.
This joke brought to you by Benny Hill. And speaking of the British: The Buckingham Palace guard tributed her yesterday
1977 interview shows that Barbara Walters has always been a seaward and Dolly Parton always had "country class"
Walters actually asks Dolly Parton if she knows that people think she's a joke. This because Walters can't get over the fact that a show-woman has 1, big breasts, and 2, dresses a bit outrageously because, get this, she's an entertainer. A stage performer. You know, someone people pay money to see live and expect them to put on a show.
She never would attack Liberace for wearing glitter-tuxedos. But she's mad that Dolly Parton makes Barbara Walters look bad through association (by being a woman). Babs, you wish people associated the two of you. Believe me, we can tell the difference.
This Senator Fought Wildfires From Planes. Now He's Fighting Activists and Bureaucrats "senator tim sheehy on the 'unholy alliance' of environmental rules and activism that's preventing firefighters from doing their jobs..." [Hat Tip: Pete Bog] [CBD]
Dude trolls a city council meeting about permitting yet another mosque by promising the mosque will destroy the Constitution
"All women who are overweight or obese will have to wear burka. 10,000 steps per day, low carb."
CJN podcast 1400 copy.jpg
Podcast: Will Cuba fall without a fight? More Iran confusion, gun rights for felons isn't a crazy idea, wetbacks are voting! And are data centers of the devil? Nope!
Recent Entries
The Morning Report — 9/ 3 /26
Daily Tech News 3 September 2026
Wednesday Night ONT - September 2, 2026 [TRex]
Wednesday Cafe
Hundreds of Thousands of Spanish Citizens Pour Into the Streets to Protest the Socialist Quisling Pedro Sanchez and Show Support for the Besieged Town of Ceuta;
Sanchez Sics the Riot Police On Them

Surprise! Communist Theater-Kid Jihadi Zohran Mamdani Has an Army of 200 Left-Wing Influencers Paid by Taxpayers Who Praise Him to Their Followers
192 House Democrats Vote "No" on Resolution to Condemn Socialism; Hakeem Jeffries Fumes at Democrats Who Voted With the Republicans
Lindsay Clancy Jury Still Deadlocked
Plus: AWFUL Film-Maker Praises the Murder of the Bank of America VP and Celebrates Luigi Mangione

Prosecutor Who Blew the Whistle on "Tish" James' Unethical Demand to "Dig Up Dirt" on Trump and His Friends Sits Down for Several-Hour Interview with Federal Prosecutors
Hunter Biden: I Used Burisma Money To Buy Drugs and Whores and My Daddy Used to Visit Me in My Crackdens With His Vice Presidential Motorcade
Update: Hunter Says He's "48% Gay" Which Seems Low to Me

Recent Comments
Ms. Magazine: "We're now in our 55th year of feminist excellence. ..." [view]

rickb223 [/b][/s][/u][/i]: "Now and for the rest of the day I will have a brai ..." [view]

fd: ""And there was a song about a Gloria. She had voic ..." [view]

RandomDave (if you can spare a bit, please click!): "Morning all. Time to get up and take a walk. The ..." [view]

NaCly Dog: "{{{Lady in Black}}} Spot on. Make you wonder i ..." [view]

Old Lady Emhoff : "They have a strong oral tradition. Posted by: Aus ..." [view]

Community Notes: "[i]ALPRs can improve policing and public safety, b ..." [view]

Ted Kennedy: ">I never understood the appeal of a mermaid. How w ..." [view]

IrishEi?!: "Glad to see you mentioned Path to Zero, J.J. I wat ..." [view]

NaCly Dog: "Rev. Wishbone Smelled fishy to me too. You ha ..." [view]

"Perfessor" Squirrel: "UN Committee Wants Countries to Implement Slavery ..." [view]

Karen Muddlumps, local democrat scold and busybody: "In honor of glorious Gloria's passing, my friends ..." [view]

Smell the Glove : "@77 "I finally find the girl of my dreams , and sh ..." [view]

In the voice of Dennis Miller : ">I never understood the appeal of a mermaid. How w ..." [view]

Ted Kennedy: "Errah, Hello there Sugar Tits. Plenty warm today! ..." [view]

Search


Bloggers in Arms

RI Red's Blog!
Behind The Black
CutJibNewsletter
The Pipeline
Second City Cop
Talk Of The Town with Steve Noxon
Belmont Club
Chicago Boyz
Cold Fury
Da Goddess
Daily Pundit
Dawn Eden
Day by Day (Cartoon)
EduWonk
Enter Stage Right
The Epoch Times
Grim's Hall
Victor Davis Hanson
Hugh Hewitt
IMAO
Instapundit
JihadWatch
Kausfiles
Lileks/The Bleat
Memeorandum (Metablog)
Outside the Beltway
Patterico's Pontifications
The People's Cube
Powerline
RedState
Reliapundit
Viking Pundit
WizBang
Faces From Ace's
The Rogues' Gallery.
Archives
Syndicate this site (XML)

Powered by
Movable Type 2.64

« Breaking the Embargo: NBCNews Reports Positively on the Economy | Main | Giving Them the Choice »
June 04, 2004

Gallup: Political Polarization Over Bush Most Extreme in History

Very interesting stuff. Stuff we've all suspected, but it's nice to get objective numbers for it.

Highlights:

* The previously most-polarizing political figure was Bill Clinton, natch. But Bill Clinton's partisan gap (the difference between support from his partisans and support from those in the opposite party) was only 60 points in May 1996. Bush's partisan gap is 25% larger, over 70 points of difference.

[Yeah, I know, that doesn't seem like quite 25%. But this is what Gallup tells me.]

* Bush's 70+-point gap is not only unprecedented for May of a re-election year, but it is unprecedented for any point in a re-election year. No president, dating back to Harry Truman, has had a partisan gap above 70 points in any Gallup Poll in a re-election year.

* Prior to Bush, there were only a few times when a majority of one party's supporters strongly approved of a president while a majority of the other disapproved. For example, during the last years of Clinton's presidency, Gallup found a majority of Republicans strongly disapproving of him and a majority of Democrats strongly approving of him, but never did both groups simultaneously exceed 6 in 10. The closest the groups came to matching Bush's current pattern was in March 1999 -- shortly after the Senate acquitted Clinton in his impeachment trial -- when 57% of Republicans strongly disapproved and 73% of Democrats strongly approved of Clinton. This was one of four times (out of nine measurements for Clinton) when a majority of Republicans disapproved of him at the same time a majority of Democrats approved.

The only other time Gallup data find a majority of the two parties' supporters holding strong opposing views of the president was in October 1982, when 51% of Republicans strongly approved of Reagan and 54% of Democrats strongly disapproved.

* While the polarization in the current president's approval ratings is certainly remarkable, the fact that such a high proportion of either partisan group has such strong opinions is also rare. The only other president to have more than 60% of a partisan group disapproving of him was Richard Nixon in the year of his resignation, when 61% of Democrats strongly disapproved of him. At that time, Nixon had overall job approval ratings below 30%.

Presidents who have more than 60% of a partisan group approving of him are typically benefiting from a significant rally event, including: the elder Bush shortly after the Persian Gulf War (91% of Republicans as well as 65% of Democrats strongly approved); Clinton during the height of the impeachment process (a 79% strong approval rating among Democrats shortly after the Monica Lewinsky story broke); and the current president after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks (87% of Republicans strongly approved of Bush in early October 2001).

Taken together, the data show that the current political environment is highly unusual. The country experienced a polarization only remotely similar during the Clinton-Lewinsky scandal years.

There are good reasons for this, I think.

There is Florida 2000, of course.

But there's also the fact that Bush has not been afraid to push his agenda hard, and the Democrats have been emboldened to resist just as hard, if not harder.

We all know what's going on: The Democrats have staked their political future -- their viability for 20 or more years -- on a disaster in Iraq and in the American economy. They have not been careful to half-support Bush's moves, so that they can take partial credit if good news comes. They have stridently opposed just about everything he's done, so that if there is good news, they will be discredited.

They cannot afford, at this point, for America to win in Iraq. Or for America's economy to recover.

The stakes of this election, then, are pushing both sides to historic levels of partisanship. But it's particularly vicious on the left, which has, of its own free will, set itself up so that it can only prosper politically should America be beset by misery and disaster.

In a way, I can't even blame the left anymore. They may have put themselves into this situation, but however they got there, they're in that situation now. They cannot under any circumstances afford for Bush to preside over the rapidly-growing, super-prosperous, Treasury-enriching 2005-2009 presidential term.

And if that means they need terrorist attacks, dead American bodies in Iraq, and Hoovervilles, so be it. They've got to pray for those things. They've left themselves little choice.

Even though they opposed the tax cuts which were partly responsible for the new prosperity, they can at least take credit if the economy grows like gangbusters under President John Kerry. It happened under my watch, he will say.

This is going to be a watershed election. The consequences of this election will be felt for 20 years.


posted by Ace at 08:25 PM