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Podcast: CBD and Jim Lakely of The Heartland Institute chat about Heartland's two recent discussions: The affordability crisis in America, and The UN retreating from their most maniacal climate projections. Along the way we talk Democrat insanity and the changing electoral map...and more!
After threatening that the "clock is ticking" for renewed strikes on Iran, Trump once again calls them off to give negotiating a chance.
I can't even cover this any more. It's embarrassing. It's like covering the endless negotiations over DHS funding. Trump is going to drag this out through the midterms and then lose them.
Note to the president: At some point, allowing the Regime to remain in power without actually forcing them to give up nukes is just a back-door, unacknowledged renewal of the Obama policy.
Well, I guess we just have to wait for their economy to collapse and their troops to desert.
Mayor Karen is so stung by fan-made AI ads that she's resorting to the shitlibs' go-to demand for an end to criticism -- these ads are "violent" and "hateful" and making me feel unsafe because one video showed AI cartoons throwing tomatoes at me and the tomatoes looked like blood when they squished
This was her actual complaint. The mushed-up tomato looked like blood so it's a death threat and these violent attacks on me must stop. What is dis bitch, CNN?
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Podcast: Sefton and CBD are joined by Jeff Carter, candidate for NV treasurer, and seasoned finance professional, for a discussion of the issues facing Nevadans, and the larger financial challenges in America.
Few people remember that Norm MacDonald began his career as a ventriloquist
MacDonald's old partner Adam Egot revealed that MacDonald repurposed a bit with one of his ventriloquist dolls -- that he was a "bad guy" who "didn't believe the Holocaust happened" -- for the Norm MacDonald show, in which he claimed Egot didn't believe in the Holocaust.
Funniest thing I've read about the Virginia mess. Back when they were hustling the referendum through the assembly both Senators, Warner and Kaine, advised them to go slow and play by the rules. Louise Lucas said she respected them but didn't need advice from the "cuck chair" in the corner. The gerrymandering was overturned and Louise is heading for the big house. Edward G. Robinson voice "where's your cuck now?"
Posted by: Smell the Glove

I posted his post on twitter and it's gotten 25K views so far. Thanks, Smell the Glove
Chris
@chriswithans

aaahahaa.jpg


"Ahhhhh ahh I put my career on the line for Louise Lucas and Jay Jones thinking they'd vault me into presidential contention and we ended up costing Democrats 20 House seats and unleashing a Reverse Dobbs ahhhhh ahhh"
Forgotten 80s Mystery Click That Sums Up the Democrat Communist Party Today
Something is wrong as I hold you near
Somebody else holds your heart, yeah
You turn to me with your icy tears
And then it's raining, feels like it's raining
"It's f**king f**ked."
-- reportedly a genuine comment offered by a "senior Labour source"
Correction: I wrote that Labour is losing 88% (now 87%) of the seats it is "defending." I think that's wrong. The right way to say it is the seats they are contesting -- that is, they don't necessarily already hold these seats, but they have put up a candidate to run for the seat. It's still very bad but not as bad as losing 87% of the seats they already held.
Basil the Great
@BasilTheGreat

🚨ED MILIBAND [a Minister in Starmer's government] SAYS KEIR STARMER WILL RESIGN AS PRIME MINISTER

He has reportedly reassured Labour MP's that Starmer will be resigning following the disastrous results tonight

It's over
"The end of the two party system in the UK" as first the Fake Conservatives and now Labour chooses political suicide rather than simply STOPPING THE INVASION
Incidentally, the only reason this didn't already happen in the US is because of the Very Bad Orange Man (who is right on 85% of all policy calls and extremely, existentially right on 15% of them)
No political party that is NOT also a doomsday religious cult would EVER choose a cataclysmic loss -- and possible extinction as a party -- to support a toxically unpopular favoritism of NON-CITIZEN ILLEGAL MIGRANTS over actual citizen voters.

Only a cult does this.
Now they've lost 84%.
Annunziata Rees-Mogg
@zatzi
If this continues Labour loses 2,148 seats tonight.

That is much worse than the worst case predictions I’ve seen.

Cataclysmic

Update: They've now lost 88% of the seats they're defending. As I mentioned earlier, I think I heard that London will not bail them out, as many of those Labour seats will probably flip to "Muslim Independent" or Green. Detroit's 5am vote will not save them.
Yup, Labour is losing 80% of its seats...
The British Patriot
@TheBritLad

🚨 BREAKING: Labour have lost 80% of all seats contested as of 2:25 AM.<
br> If this continues, Keir Starmer will be out of office next week.

Reform has surged and projected to pick up between 1700-2100 seats.


Wow, up to 1700-2100 seats. It's not incredible that this is happening. It's incredible that the Davos crowd is so absolutely determined to privilege Muslim "migrants" over the actual native population who elects them, no matter how loudly the natives scream that they want to be prioritized, that they will gladly self-extinguish as a party rather than simply representing the interests of their own voters. Astonishing.
Remember, when they call other people "cultists" -- they are the ones so imprisoned in their social reinforcement and discipline bubbles that they will choose political death rather than dare upset the Karen Enforcement Officers of their cult.
Update: Now they've lost 83% of the seats they were defending.
(((Dan Hodges)))
@DPJHodges

Reform are basically wiping Labour out in the North. It's not a defeat. It's not even a rout. Labour are simply ceasing to exist.


Nick Lowles
@lowles_nick

Tonight’s results are calamitous for Labour. Not just for Keir Starmer's leadership, but for the very future of the party
STARMERGEDDON: In early returns, Reform gains 135 seats, Labour loses 90, the Fake Conservatives lose 36 (and I didn't even know they could fall any further), the Lib Dems lose 4, and the Greens gain 6. Note that the only other party gaining seats is the Greens and they're only gaining a handful of seats.
Update: Reform now up 145, Labour down 98.
Labour projected to lose Wales -- where they've ruled for 27 years.
Fulton County Georgia just discovered 400 boxes of ballots for Labour
Update: REF +156, LAB -107, CON -45
Brutal: In four out of five council seats where Labour is defending, they've lost. 80%.
I'm sure it's not this simple, but Reform is straight taking Labour's and the "Conservatives'" seats. They've lost almost exactly what Reform gained. If understand this right (and warning, I probably don't), all of London's council seats are up for election, and Labour might lose hugely there, as their old voters abandon them for Reform, Muslim Indenpendents, and the Greens.
REF +190, LAB -134, CON -56.
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« The Frogs Are Slowly Cooking | Main | Nick Berg Update »
May 15, 2004

Masterstroke: "We'll leave if you ask us to"

Don't Panic. -- Cover of The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy

One always hopes that the guys in charge know something, have some great big-picture plan, that you are just currently not privy to. That everything will turn around tomorrow. But then you get an e-mail like this, from one of the clearest thinkers you know, and, man, don't it sound like what's going down: " I promised myself that I would not agitate until October, but I am very worried that GWB is in deep trouble, and deservedly. The announcements today by Bremmer and Powell that we would leave Iraq if asked to do so by a non-democratically-elected cabal of UN-iks chosen by a doctrinaire anti-Semite are among the most profoundly stupid statements of government policy I can remember in my lifetime. ... That we would turn over to it an enterprise for which over 750 American servicemen have given their lives is shocking enough; that we are now saying we would leave at their request before the job is done is a betrayal I cannot even wrap my brain around. I'm sorry to rail, but what are we thinking about here?"

-- a post by KJK on NRO

What the hell is going on with my conservative brethren? Some pictures of abuse from Abu Ghraib and suddenly everyone's hitting the panic-button with the mechanical repetitive fury of a monkey pulling the lever that delivers fifty mikes of adrenaline straight into its genitals.

Calm. The hell. Down.


In South Korea and Germany, left-leaning politicians and voters railed for dozens of years about the American bases in their countries. Now, were we to really abandon those bases, it would cause great hardship. Economic shocks to the local economy; diminished security for the whole nation.

But the politicians and public were free to rail for us to get out, because it was a cost-free posture to assume. They got all the political benefits of demanding the hated Americans leave; but they never paid the actual price for our leaving, because, of course, we never actually left. And they knew we never would leave, ever.

They were free to engage in irresponsible politics because they knew that they had no actual control over the situation. They were not responsible for the outcome they claimed to want. They did not take ownership of the problem.

Ownership. Now there's a word beloved by conservatives. If people are just allowed to live at subsidized rents in public housing, they treat the buildings shabbily, because they have no ownership over those buildings.

They feel no responsibility for the buildings. And they're not crazy or corrupt to feel no responsibility for the buildings: The reality is they don't have responsiblity for the buildings. They don't have to worry about the upkeep; it's not their problem.

Not their problem. They don't own the problem. They have no responsiblity over it. Hence, they act irresponsibly.

That is conservative doctrine. That is core conservative doctrine. Hell, that may be the core conservative doctrine, the one idea from which most others flow.

Back to South Korea and Germany, who, when last we saw them, were acting very irresponsibly and childish, demanding our troops leave their nations.

Donald Rumsfeld, bless 'im, finally had enough and he called their bluffs. "Okay," he announced one fine day, "We're leaving. Just as you asked us to."

We don't know what's going on in South Korea, but we know Germany is very upset that we're leaving. Suddenly those uncouth, ill-bred, uncultured American soldiers are quite a bit more appreciated than they were before.

"Brilliant!" shouted conservatives all over America.

"Genius!" we all cried. "If that's what they really want, let them have it. Let them have it, so that they either suddenly appreciate the consequences of their actions, and therefore beg us to stay, while treating us with some proper respect and gratitude; or else we bugger out of an ungrateful nation which claims to no longer want or need us. It's win-win!"

Irresponsible politics. People railing about a hated, intrusive foreign power having the gall to spend billions of dollars protecting those very same ingrates.

People who think they don't have the power to actually obtain what they actually claim to want, and so can just carp and complain and rail and rant, because they are never forced into the tough position of actually having to decide their own fates, and then live with the consequences of those decisions.

Sound familiar?

In Iraq, politicians and everyday citizens are currently free to engage in cost-free irresponsible politics. They can rant about the Americans in their country, because they know -- or they think they know -- that the Americans will not actually leave. It's the best of both worlds: complain and carp endlessly about the American presence, but continue enjoying all the myriad benefits of that presence.

What if we called their bluff?

What if we said, as we said to South Korea and Germany, "Very well. If you really don't want us here, we shall go. Posthaste. Chop-chop. You seem to think we get some sort of sexual kick from spending billions of our our dollars, and hundreds of our boys' lives, on your welfare; let us disabuse you of this bizarre notion. We are here because we imagined we were welcome here. We imagined you wanted our protection, and we imagined you were grateful for it. But if we were wrong, then fine. We will leave. We just hope you've... thought this thing through completely."

There are several results which would flow from such an announcement.

First, the Iraqis would understand that their words and demands have consequences, and that they really ought to be quite careful about choosing them. They would be forced to transition from the irresponsible politics of powerlessness -- ranting, raving, always blaming one's troubles on some outside force -- to the more responsible politics of actual power.

Second, it would convince them that we really are quite serious about handing their country back to them, and so they needn't be so conspiratorially-minded and cynical about that. They could stop endlessly agitating for us to leave, because they'd be reassured that on the day they really want us to leave, we will.

Third, it would focus their mind on realistic decisionmaking. They can blame everything on America right now, because they don't feel ownership over the policies America executes. It's someone else's problem; like John Kerry, they can just sit back and carp about whatever we do, without offering a real alternative plan for action.

Right now Iraqis seem to want us to both provide good security while simultaneously not fighting the terrorists destroying that security. Were they to take ownership of the problem, and to understand that they are responsible for proposing a plan of action, they might begin to realize they can't have both at once, and must, yes, actually choose or at least prioritize. Whichever way they choose, they can't keep blaming America for the choice.

Ultimately, the Iraqis will argue amongst themselves and decide whether they want us to stay or to go. If they want us to stay -- which is very likely -- they can no longer blame America for its presence in their country. They would have asked us to stay, and they would be responsible for that decision.

And if they want us to go -- well, this is less likely, but if the majority of Iraqis really do desire us to leave, and tell us so, then we leave.

Remember, we always said we would, at some point, yield to the wishes of the majority of Iraqis. It is their country, after all, and we have always promised that at some point they would have full sovereign control over it. We made that promise; we made it repeatedly and strenuously, and there is no going back on it now, even if some conservatives seem to be beginning to think we shouldn't have made it in the first place.

From the start of this whole war, we knew that someday we would have to leave Iraq. We knew that as soon as we left, the Iraqis would be in control. And there was always a danger there. The danger always has been that, as soon as we left, they would suddenly decide to do something we didn't like at all. They might decide to become an Iranian-style theocracy, for example.

But that danger has always existed, and always will exist. It is unavoidable. It cannot be finessed. You can either supervise your employees closely and make sure they never make mistakes, or you can grant them greater authority and allow them to operate independently. If you do the latter, you always run the risk that they will make mistakes that you wouldn't have let them make had you been over their shoulders, or that their judgments will simply turn out different than the ones you might have made.

We can't both yield full sovereignty to Iraq and yet retain the power of veto over their decisions. It's one or the other. And we promised them the first one.

At some point, we are leaving Iraq to make its own mistakes. We always planned this. At some point, whether it was one year post-war, or two, or five, or ten: We always knew that leaving would entail a leap of faith. We would have to trust them to get their own country running decently, and we would have to hope that it would not turn out to be a hostile, terrorist-loving state worse than the one that existed under Saddam.

And there was never any way to avoid this leap. There were never any guarantees. We only had the faith that a people, even an Arab people with little experience with self government, would, if given a choice between murder and peace, choose peace; between prosperity and backwardness, would choose prosperity; between freedom and tyranny, would choose freedom.

The moment of that leap of faith is coming, perhaps sooner than many of us expected. But it was a moment we anticipated for a long, long time.

And yet suddenly a lot of conservatives seem to want to stay in Iraq indefinitely, to put off that moment for as long as possible.

It's a liberal thing to want to stay in Iraq for as long as possible, protecting them from their own mistakes, making sure they never commit a single error by refusing to allow them the capacity to make any decisions whatsoever.

It's a conservative thing to trust people to their own devices, and to trust that ownership will beget responsibility, and that responsibility will beget sound choices. At least most of the time, and for most of the big things.

Are they ready to make their own decisions?

We don't know. But we suspect we aren't actually increasing their capacity to make responsible decisions by denying them decision-making responsibility in the first place. That's just extending the current political infantilization of the Iraqis for additional months or even years.

Somewhere along the line the conservative cause in Iraq has been tainted by mission creep. Our original goal was to give them their nation, with Iraqis running the works, to insure their own security and their own futures.

Lately it seems that people are arguing that if we do not eliminate any and all possible future threats to the stability of Iraq, and guarantee, forever, its peace and prosperity, we're shirking our responsibilities, and "cutting and running."

When did we ever agree on that as a goal?

We guaranteed them only an opportunity, not a outcome. We're giving them that opportunity; we should not, and cannot, attempt to insure a specific outcome against the wishes of the Iraqis as a whole.

posted by Ace at 04:39 AM