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Iran's hijacking British ships. Earlier they hijacked a Marshall Islands flagged ship (a US territory). But not German or French ships yet. I wonder if they're trying to split the response of the European bloc, hoping that France and Germany will continue their old support of Iran and old pattern of giving the finger to their ostensible US/UK allies.
50 years ago, Muhammed Ali wrote a letter to the parents of Mary Jo Kopechne.“Dear Mr. Kopechne, assert yourself in the interests of the good name of your daughter. Get yourself a good lawyer and sue that no good son of a bitch, Edward M. Kennedy, for everything he’s got,” [J.J. Sefton]
President of the American Vaping Association is a fan of the ONT and Misanthropic Humanitarian
Well, he's a fan of the ONT quoting him. Still -- I think that's something!
Can we start quoting Demi Rose, fellas? AIM HIGHER
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Oh wait, don't bother getting it; he's not troubled by this at all, strangely enough
Thanks to Deep State is in Deep Shit
169 127 Ilhan Omar loves this country so much that as soon as she got here she wanted to experience the rich cultural heritage of West Virginia by marrying a relative. None of you love America enough to do that!!
Posted by: Broseidon - New Work Computer, Same Work Ethic
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Jonah Goldberg said a week ago that if he "heard" of Mollie Hemingway's book, he'd recommend it, maybe. Maybe ask him if he's heard of it now.
465 Thank god these people no longer influence anything except each other.
Posted by: William Eaton


484 The really funny part of all of this is that of course none of this cuck performance art will ever buy them entry into the exclusive clubs of the Left.

Jonah Goldberg bewailed the chant, and his next 8,000 Twitter replies were liberals saying it was his fault because he wrote "Liberal Fascism" and the title hurt their feewings.

Posted by: Ian S.
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« Yes, Virginia, There Are Democratic Bush Voters | Main | LLM Needs to Accept the "New Normal" of "Ankle-Biters" »
October 04, 2004

"But What About the Electoral College?"

A lot of people seem to think that Bush is doing better in the electoral college, or state by state polling, than the national polling.

That's wrong.

National sentiment is made up, after all, of the sentiment within each state. When Bush does well in the national polls, he also does well in the state polls, and vice versa, and contrariwise. They're all linked-- they all have a high degree of correlation. Indeed, one can pretty much determine how many electoral votes a candidate will get based on his share of the national vote. Bush, for example, might squeak a 10 electoral vote victory if up by 1 or 2 points nationally, but if up by 3, he'd win by 30 EV's, etc.

So, why do the state by state polls and electoral college counts look better for Bush right now?

Well, easy-- because no one's done any state polls since the debate. It takes time to poll all those 16-20 battleground states, plus states that had seemed like battlegrounds lately, such as NJ. You can point to the state polls but, alas, those are all old numbers. Pointing to the state polls is like noting that Green Bay was ahead of New York yesterday for a while. It's true, but it's dated, and it's irrelevant.

This doesn't mean that Kerry's going to win, just like it didn't mean that Bush was going to win when he was ahead. It does mean, however, that Bush no longer has the advantage. He could get that advantage back, etc., but at the moment, it's tied, with momentum in Kerry's favor.


posted by Ace at 10:48 AM