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November 04, 2009
Chocolate Jesus' 1000 Year Reign of Peace Cut Short at 10 MonthsThe realignment that didn't quite align. t’s hard to imagine that the 84 House Democrats from districts won by either John McCain in 2008 or President Bush in 2004 are now more inclined to support either an expensive health plan or a cap-and-trade energy plan. Already Democrats are hinting at shrinking the former and putting the latter on the backburner. (One policy that might get more attention is a second stimulus package to create more jobs.) Dick Morris cranks out the snazzy headline "A Deathblow to ObamaCare." Polls indicate a declining level of popular approval of the Obama policies (Rasmussen shows his job approval at 46 percent), but to see actual Democrats losing or barely squeaking out victories in solidly blue states sends a far clearer message to the Democrats in Congress. Even before last night's results, "the fierce urgency of now" vis a vis healthcare was quickly becoming "the fierce urgency of next Shevouot." (That's a Jewish holiday, for you squirrel-plinkin' moonshine-drinkin' NASCAR-thinkin' rednecks ; only heard of it in Scorcese's King of Comedy myself.) Democratic Sen. Kent Conrad said he spoke with CBO Director Doug Elmendorf last week and that it sounded like “it would be quite a while” before the estimates were ready. The news makes a Christmas completion “a challenge,” Conrad said. And it's not just the Democrats who are put on notice. Politicians are a superstitious, cowardly lot, as Batman observed of their close relatives criminals; many Republicans have been willing to at least entertain voting for ObamaCare if it meant a better chance for their own precious political survival. But the tea leaves in New Jersey, Virginia, and NY23 (yes, there too) say that there is no benefit to one's political fortunes to voting for more big-government spending; indeed, quite the opposite seems to be the case. And so maybe that's why few Republicans, if any, will be giving the Democrats the "bipartisan" cover they crave on ObamaCare. Republicans will overwhelmingly reject the Democrats' healthcare reform measure when it is reaches the House floor, according to a key lawmaker. Cao, I remember offhand, had earlier suggested he could very well vote for the bill. I repeat the take-away that the media doesn't want to mention: It's not just that Democrats have overwhelming majorities, including a filibuster-proof sixty votes in the Senate, in both Houses of Congress. It's not just that Obama keeps blaming the Republicans as if our votes are even needed. The dynamic here is more perverse than that. Obama wants Republicans to vote for ObamaCare so that at-risk Democrats don't have to. That is, he wants Republicans to cast an unpopular vote, putting their own re-elections at risk, so that his Democratic buddies can vote against the very same measure and increase their chances of re-election. And that is why it is so critical Republicans vote for this piece of shit: It is important that Snowe and Collins vote in favor of cloture so that Nelson and Landrieu can vote against cloture. Why does no one else notice this? Why is this never mentioned in the media? Isn't it strange that the Democrats' key to success here is that their political opponents vote for an unpopular bill so that they are disburdened of that unpleasant task themselves? Why on earth would any Republican agree to do such a thing in the spirit of "bipartisanship"? All I see happening here is the Democrats insisting that the health care bill they claim is so vitally important get passed, but without their fingerprints on it. If Democrats themselves don't have the courage to vote for this festering shit sandwich, why should Republicans exhibit courage on their behalf? Obama and the Democrats don't ask much. Only that Republicans take the political hit for their political program so that they can vote the safe Republican way on it. This has nothing to do with health care per se. What is really being asked here is not that Republicans "help" with ObamaCare, but that Republicans actually assist Democrats in being elected in 2010. Um, I personally am going to have to go ahead and decline that particular request. That seems to me -- and pardon me if I am a bit rude about this -- to be you all's fucking problem, and not ours.
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