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November 08, 2022

Turnout Numbers for Democrats Indicate "Possible Worst Case Scenario for Democrats"?
"A Good Time for a Freak-Out?" "Armageddon?"

Before getting to that, there is one big snag: Polling stations throughout Maricopa County, Arizona, are down, and unable to record votes. Maricopa is a Democrat county but it's mostly Republicans who vote day-of the election, so this affects the Republican vote.

You know who's in charge of voting in Arizona, right? That's right, Abortion Mouse, the woman running for governess, Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs. And it just turns out that the voting machines are down in a high-population county! Oh pooh!

Now, people are dropping off their ballots in boxes and supposedly these will be scanned later but who knows what Abortion Mouse will actually do with them.

On to some of the reports about turnout:

Kyle Lamb @kylamb8


The turnout numbers based on party affiliation coming out of various locations across the country are indicative of a possible worst case scenario for Democrats today. These margins are insane.


Dave Wasserman
@Redistrict


It's pretty apparent from precinct-level data in VA and county-level data in FL that Democrats have a turnout problem today - one that's unlikely to be solved in the next six hours.

John Ekdahl tells me that VA-10 is the "high-water mark" of an Armageddon scenario -- that is, one of the last possible seats we could possibly pick up in a huge year. It's in deep dark blue Northern Virginia, where every house has a "In this House we believe that Science Is Real and Biology is White Patriarchy" sign.

And it's in play.

va10armageddon.jpg


denverwaittimes.jpg

I'm not sure if New York City turnout is bad for Hochul or not. The Bronx, largely minority, has "abysmal" turnout, proving that minorities are just not enthused to vote for Democrats this cycle.

Ryan James Girdusky @RyanGirdusky

Basically, Staten Island and Manhattan is having much larger turnout than the rest of the city. SI is less people but very pro-Zeldin, Manhattan is more ppl and pro-Hochul.

Brooklyn and Queens are not doing great but not far behind.

Bronx is abysmal. Bad for Hochul

cinyc @cinyc9

23m
PCT of RVs who have turned out so far, NYC:

-Manhattan 21.72%
-Bronx 11.25%
-Brooklyn 17.35%
-Queens 15.19%
-Staten Island 20.40%

Citywide: 17.02%

(Excludes absentees)

Democrats are losing badly in Clark County Nevada -- where all their votes are. As well as Washoe County, which they need to either win or at least tie.

Jon Ralston @RalstonReports

The latest.

GOP still ahead in Clark.

This is a familiar pattern early on Election Days.

GOP +5,200 out of 20K voted so far.

Dr. John R. Samuelsen @JohnRSamuelsen

Election Day Turnout Update in Clark County, Nevada

8:50am
Total 20350
Dem 4904 (24.1%)
Rep 10098 (49.6%) +5,194
Other 5348 (26.3%)



Jon Ralston
@RalstonReports

Repubs crushing Dems in very early going in Democratic Clark County, where all the votes are.


Jon Ralston
@RalstonReports


Repubs crushing it in early going in Washoe, too.

Ben Margiott @BenMargiott

34m
So far today, 5,292 have voted in Washoe County. Here's the breakdown by party:

1,065 Democrats
2,878 Republicans
1,349 Nonpartisans

Democrats' lead in early/mail voting wiped out in the first 2 hours of Election Day. Link

In heavily Democrat, heavily black Broward County, more Republicans are voting than Democrats. At least on election day. A lot more Dems voted by mail but we'll see if we can put a dent in that by day's end.

Dennis (Redacted) ―\_( ツ)_/― @grumpy_veteran


BREAKING: Fox news has called Arizona

democracydied.jpg



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