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September 08, 2013

Global warming? No, actually we're cooling, claim scientists

That's the UK Telegraph's headline. Mine would've been something like, "Oops! Climate 'Deniers' Right All Along, Owed Huge Apology".

There has been a 60 per cent increase in the amount of ocean covered with ice compared to this time last year, they equivalent of almost a million square miles.

In a rebound from 2012's record low an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia's northern shores, days before the annual re-freeze is even set to begin.

The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year, forcing some ships to change their routes.

A leaked report to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) seen by the Mail on Sunday, has led some scientists to claim that the world is heading for a period of cooling that will not end until the middle of this century.

If correct, it would contradict computer forecasts of imminent catastrophic warming. The news comes several years after it was predicted that the arctic would be ice-free by 2013.

For well over a decade, people who have looked at the "science" behind global warming with a critical eye have observed that the models used to forecast Carbon Dioxide Driven DOOM! have been force-fit to match history (and an altered history at that) but begin breaking down at first contact with reality. These observations are met with shouts of DENIER! while the "scientists" fiddle with the dials on the models and pull the levers on the observed temperature history like so many Wizards of Oz.

The real "deniers" here, of course, are the scientists who refuse to acknowledge that there are many more questions than answers about climate and that their certainty about catastrophic anthropogenic climate change has been dramatically overplayed.

The IPCC says it is “95 per cent confident” that global warming has been caused by humans - up from 90 per cent in 2007 – according to the draft report.

However, US climate expert Professor Judith Curry has questioned how this can be true as that rather than increasing in confidence, “uncertainty is getting bigger” within the academic community.

Long-term cycles in ocean temperature, she said, suggest the world may be approaching a period similar to that from 1965 to 1975, when there was a clear cooling trend.

At the time some scientists forecast an imminent ice age.

If you read Climate Audit, Watts Up With That, etc., none of this will come as a surprise to you, but we may just be on the verge of evidence against the "consensus" becoming overwhelming.

With any luck that will open the door to the scientific method making a big comeback: Svensmark’s cosmic ray theory of clouds and global warming looks to be confirmed

Related (from BuzzFeed of all places): Al Gore’s Incredible Shrinking Climate Change Footprint

Now, discussing their efforts online, Gore staffers say the effort isn’t smaller — the group has just found its “niche,” said Dan Stiles, the chief operating officer of the Climate Reality Project, in a wide-ranging interview with BuzzFeed on the organization’s history. “I don’t think what we’re doing right now is any less expansive than what we were doing before,” Stiles said. “Our appeal is just becoming more selective.”

That last quote may have been altered a bit.






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