New Quinippiac Poll Has Trump Taking a "Slight," "Small" Lead

Please don't complain about this being a poll post. Everyone has been wondering how the Fake Conviction of Trump would wind up affecting the race.

The Fox News poll, which has always skewed to the left because Fox is a garbage corporation run by staunch New York liberals who literally hate your guts and want you to die, showed Biden creeping ahead, 50-48, after previously being behind by one. This "movement" was all within the margin of error and could not be said to be truly meaningful, but it was cause for concern.

The new Quinippiac poll has Trump "pulling ahead" -- the previous poll, before the Fake Conviction, had Biden ahead by 1.

As President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump prepare to face off in the first presidential debate of the 2024 election cycle, Trump has a slight lead over Biden 49 - 45 percent in a head-to-head matchup, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.

Four points is a "slight" lead? I always think of five points as being the start of a "solid" lead.

Cope and seethe, cope and seethe.

In state by state polling, they usually call a lead of 1-4 points a "lean" to one candidate, and 5-9 points "likely" to go to one candidate.

This is a small change from Quinnipiac University's May 22 poll when the race was too close to call with Biden receiving 48 percent support and Trump receiving 47 percent support.

It's a five point swing. That's a "small" change?

Do you realize how close presidential elections usually are? In a blowout, the winner might have an eight point lead. In most elections, the gap is three or four points, tops.

In today's poll, Republicans (93 - 4 percent) and independents (51 - 41 percent) back Trump, while Democrats (94 - 4 percent) back Biden.

I do not believe for one second that Biden holds Democrats better than Trump holds Republicans.

In a six-way hypothetical race that includes other candidates, Trump leads with 43 percent support, Biden receives 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 11 percent support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 2 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 2 percent support, and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver receives 1 percent support.

A "hypothetical race" is the race that actually exists with multiple candidates, according to this group.

Meanwhile, the two-man race -- which is not the real contest -- is the one they put forward as "real."

No, Quinippiac, this is exactly backwards. The two-man race is the hypothetical matchup.

Trump is ahead by six in the real race -- a "slight" lead, to be sure!

"The political heat rises in this steamy American summer of discord. Trump holds a narrow lead in the head-to-head matchup and is in a slightly better position when all the candidates are included, said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

"Narrow" lead. The coping is out of control.

Voters were asked how important each of eight issues is in their decision of who to support in the election for president...

preserving democracy in the United States: 51 percent say extremely important, 31 percent say very important, 12 percent say somewhat important, 2 percent say not so important, and 3 percent say not important at all;

The left always assumes this question indicates that people are worried about Trump.

It never occurs to them that more people are concerned about the demented, incompetent tyrant Biden.

the economy: 45 percent say extremely important, 41 percent say very important, 12 percent say somewhat important, 1 percent say not so important, and 1 percent say not important at all;

the United States Supreme Court: 38 percent say extremely important, 34 percent say very important, 17 percent say somewhat important, 4 percent say not so important, and 5 percent say not important at all;

immigration: 35 percent say extremely important, 33 percent say very important, 22 percent say somewhat important, 5 percent say not so important, and 4 percent say not important at all;

abortion: 29 percent say extremely important, 28 percent say very important, 20 percent say somewhat important, 8 percent say not so important, and 12 percent say not important at all;

Donald Trump's felony conviction in New York City: 23 percent say extremely important, 16 percent say very important, 11 percent say somewhat important, 10 percent say not so important, and 38 percent say not important at all;

A total of 50% say that the Fake Conviction is important to one degree or another, but only 39% -- the Democrat base, of course -- claim it's more than "somewhat" important.

climate change: 21 percent say extremely important, 25 percent say very important, 21 percent say somewhat important, 12 percent say not so important, and 20 percent say not important at all;

the Israel - Hamas war in Gaza: 18 percent say extremely important, 32 percent say very important, 30 percent say somewhat important, 8 percent say not so important, and 9 percent say not important at all.

Biden's approval rating falls again:

Voters give President Biden a negative 38 - 58 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 39 - 56 percent job approval rating in Quinnipiac University's May 22 poll.

Another "slight" change, I'm certain.

Two points, which I'm sure you know: 1, Trump outperforms his polls. So this lead may be understating things. The James Madison points out that the 2020 polls overstated Biden's "votes" by seven points.

A "slight" overstatement of seven points.

2, Republicans have an electoral college advantage, because Democrats tend to cluster in just a few big Democrat states, thus containing their evil to those states. Republicans are more spread out. A Republican tied in national voting will win easily in the electoral college. If he's ahead by 1-2, it will be a big win.

If he's actually ahead by a "small" six point lead, forget about it.

And if that six point lead actually understates the lead? Katy bar the door. Dee you bitch.

Biden's big plan for the debate? The obvious: Avoid talking about his dismal record and just keep attacking and insulting Trump, hoping he will respond poorly.

How will the public respond to this asshole continually throwing out attacks and insults, I wonder?

In the lead-up to the 2024 presidential debates, President Joe Biden's team is reportedly concentrating on tactics to provoke former President Donald Trump. According to sources, Biden's debate preparation involves identifying ways to elicit strong reactions from Trump, potentially to showcase Biden's composure and command in contrast.

Reports indicate that Biden's advisors believe that by triggering Trump, they can highlight moments where the former president might appear unhinged or overly aggressive. This strategy aims to leverage Trump's well-known propensity for heated responses as a means to make Biden look more presidential and in control.

Below, some comforting music for Quinippiac.

Buck up, little campers. #ItGetsWorse

posted by Disinformation Expert Ace at 03:22 PM

| Access Comments