New CNN Poll: Trump Is Thumping Biden, 49-43, As Most Americans (55%) Judge Trump's First Term a Success, and Most (61%) Judge Biden's Term a Failure

Let me quote CNN on this.

CNN Poll: Trump maintains lead over Biden in 2024 matchup as views on their presidencies diverge

"Diverge." She means that the public views Trump's presidency as a success and Biden's a failure, but she doesn't want to put that in a headline, because the feelings of CNN's audience of leftwing autists must be protected.

Donald Trump continues to hold an advantage over President Joe Biden as the campaign -- and the former president's criminal trial -- move forward, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. And in the coming rematch, opinions about the first term of each man vying for a second four years in the White House now appear to work in Trump's favor, with most Americans saying that, looking back, Trump's term as president was a success, while a broad majority says Biden's has so far been a failure.

Trump's support in the poll among registered voters holds steady at 49% in a head-to-head matchup against Biden, the same as in CNN's last national poll on the race in January, while Biden's stands at 43%, not significantly different from January's 45%.

Looking back, 55% of all Americans now say they see Trump's presidency as a success, while 44% see it as a failure. In a January 2021 poll taken just before Trump left office and days after the January 6 attack on the US Capitol, 55% considered his time as president a failure.

Assessing Biden's time in office so far, 61% say his presidency thus far has been a failure, while 39% say it's been a success. That's narrowly worse than the 57% who called the first year of his administration a failure in January 2022, with 41% calling it a success.

So good. So satisfying.

Negative views of Biden's work in office have held for much of his presidency. In the new poll, 60% disapprove of his handling of the job and 40% approve, about the same as it's been in CNN polling for more than a year. Even Biden's strongest issue approval ratings in the poll are also in negative territory, with 45% approving of his handling of health care policy and 44% approving his handling of student loan debt. And his worst issue approval rating -- for his handling of the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza -- yields 28% approval to 71% disapproval, including an 81% disapproval mark among those younger than 35 and majority disapproval among Democrats (53%).

Biden's approval ratings for the economy (34%) and inflation (29%) remain starkly negative, as voters say economic concerns are more important to them when choosing a candidate than they were in each of the past two presidential contests. In the new poll, 65% of registered voters call the economy extremely important to their vote for president, compared with 40% who felt that way in early 2020 and 46% who said the same at roughly this point in 2016. Those voters who say the economy is deeply important break heavily for Trump in a matchup against Biden, 62% to 30%.

A broad majority of all Americans, 70%, say economic conditions in the US are poor, with many, particularly Republicans, who feel that way saying their views would be more affected by a political shift than a change in the economy itself. About 4 in 10 in that group (41%) say that a change in political leadership in Washington would do more to change their impressions of the economy than a lower rate of inflation, a change in their personal financial situation or a sustained rise in the stock market. About 6 in 10 Republicans (61%) who say the economy is in bad shape say a change in leadership would shift their views, compared with 13% of Democrats who feel that way.

This is amazing:

In the Biden vs. Trump matchup, the poll finds Biden faring worse than in previous CNN polls among the youngest voters, trailing Trump by a 51%-to-40% margin among voters younger than 35. Biden's deficit with voters in that group is driven largely by those who did not vote in 2020. With that group excluded, voters between the ages of 18 and 34 in this poll divide 46% for Biden to 47% for Trump.

So CNN is holding out hope that all of the young voters who didn't bother voting at all in 2020, and who now favor Trump, will continue not voting.

RCP's averages of swing state polls look bad for Biden, too:

It has to be remembered that most winning Republicans have lost the national vote in the past few decades, but won in the swing states.

If a Republican is ahead in the national vote -- forget about it, it's a blowout. Democrats run behind the national vote in the electoral college, so if Trump actually wins more votes, we're looking at a 300 electoral vote drubbing.

posted by Disinformation Expert Ace at 04:31 PM

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