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October 29, 2014

Marquette Law School Poll: Walker At 50%; Burke, 43%


Meanwhile, a majority of the most-likely to vote Millennials now want a Republican-controlled Congress.

This is good news, but not quite as good as it might appear upon first reading. Note that this is the subgrop of Millennials most likely to vote, which is only 26% of the larger group.

Nevertheless:

A new national poll of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds slightly more than half (51%) of young Americans who say they will "definitely be voting" in November prefer a Republican-run Congress with 47 percent favoring Democrat control -- a significant departure from IOP polling findings before the last midterm elections (Sept. 2010 -- 55%: prefer Democrat control; 43%: prefer Republican control). The cohort --26% of whom report they will “definitely” vote in the midterms -- appear up-for-grabs to both political parties and could be a critical swing vote in many races in November.

The larger group -- including those likely to vote, and those unlikely to vote -- still prefers Democrat control:

While more 18- to 29- year-olds (50%-43%) surveyed in the IOP’s fall 2014 poll would prefer that Congress be controlled by Democrats instead of Republicans, the numbers improve dramatically for the GOP when only young people who say they will "definitely vote" are studied.

Still, that sounds like one of Obama's strongest demographics will be a net wash.


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posted by Ace at 02:41 PM

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