Virginia: Seven Point Romney Lead
Romeny 50-46 in... New Hampshire, Per ARG
| Main | White House: When Joe Biden Said "We Didn't Know" of Benghazi Security Requests, He Meant Himself, and the President.
And Now the White House.
October 12, 2012

Biden Dominates Ryan In Debate Polling, 48-41%...
...in...
...California

So, Biden won, 48-41. In California.

Good news? Nah, neutral news. But... Partisan split: R 26% D 45% I 28%. Heavily Democratic sample. D+19. Thanks to t-bird.

Here's the good news:

22% of respondents said they changed their leanings based upon the debate. Of that 22%, here's how votes shifted (bearing in mind we are now talking percentages of that subgroup):

* 30% switched from the Obama ticket to the Romney ticket. * 29% switched from undecided to the Romney ticket. * A total of 59% switched to the Romney ticket.

* 20% switched from the Romney ticket to the Obama ticket.
* 20% switched from undecided to the Obama ticket.
* A total of 40% switched to the Obama ticket.

Does this help in California? No. We're not winning California.

But if there's a net-positive movement towards Romney in liberal California, you can bet there's movement elsewhere.

Now, SurveyUSA does robocalls, and such calls have half the response rate of human-conducted interviews. However, the response rate for human-conducted polls is about 9%.

So, robocalls get half that.

9% vs. 4%? Still a very, very low response rate.

But that's why robocalls are usually discounted (by firms who do not do robocalls, of course).

Via @conartcritic

By the way, while Liberal Poll Truthers slag the CNN poll (48 Ryan, 44 Biden) for being "too Republican" -- 32 R, 30 D; so R+2 -- they gleefully cite the CBS poll, which is... D+8.

Or, I forget-- what's the rule? That's right -- they can examine partisan splits and dismiss polls based on what they consider a crazy split.

But if I look at a D+8 poll, and similarly discount it, I'm a "Poll Truther."

Chuck Todd and the Washington Post's Chris Cillizza told me that!

It should also be noted that CNN polled undecided likely voters.

And yes, likely voters do tend to be more Republican, dearhearts.

So It's Hillary, Then? Jay Carney walks it back to say Biden meant himself, the President, and the White House didn't know.

Says that's a State Department decision.

Okay, gee, can you call up the person who runs State? If you don't have her number, I'm sure someone can find it for you.



digg this
posted by Ace at 11:40 AM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Bruce: "Er....It, not I. Posted by: Mr. Peebles Good t ..."

Tim in Illinois: "Past Life experience in the present? That's a n ..."

Mr. Peebles: "Er....It, not I. ..."

Mr. Peebles: "I was Lee Harvey Weinstein shooting from the bushe ..."

NaCly Dog[/i]: "Oops. Work preps need to start now. Have a ser ..."

Tim in Illinois: "I think skinny little guys with big black eyes, fr ..."

NaCly Dog[/i]: "rickb223 One theory I always liked: LHO was sho ..."

Blue Hen: "I bet it says Cuba did it and State talked LBJ out ..."

rickb223 [/s][/b][/i][/u]: "I bet it says Cuba did it and State talked LBJ out ..."

NaCly Dog[/i]: "CharlieBrown'sDildo Some guys got all the luck. ..."

Slippery Slope Salesman [/i]: " Obviously, discussion about a guy who masturbate ..."

NaCly Dog[/i]: "Good morning FenelonSpoke. Good to see you here. ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64