Barack Obama: "You Just Can't Make Stuff Up"
Obama Spokesmonster Stephanie Cutter: "I Disagree"
| Main | Overnight Open Thread (8-22-2012)
August 22, 2012

University of Colorado Election Model Predicts... Romney Victory, & Obama Loses Almost All Swing States


Is this something? I don't know.

A state-by-state analysis of the presidential race conducted by two University of Colorado professors predicts that Mitt Romney will be our next president. The analysis, released today, by political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver, is based on economic and other factors within each of the 50 states. This same study has correctly predicted the winners of the last eight presidential elections, starting with the 1980 election won by Ronald Reagan.

The model says Obama will win 218 EVs, and Romney will win 320. @conartcritic could not be reached for comment.

The authors of the study said an incumbent Democratic president loses advantages of incumbency when unemployment hits the level of 5.6 percent.

If the unemployment figure changes in Obama's favor, it could help him with some of the marginal 50/50 type states that Romney wins (by the model).

How much could it actually help him, though? It sure isn't going down to 5.6%.

And speaking of the economy: Paul Ryan knocks Obama's "imaginary recovery."

Video below. Here's some text:

"He said last summer was going to be the summer of recovery," Ryan said. "It's a summer later and it's still worse. He said that the private sector is doing just fine, we need more government. This is President Obama's imaginary recovery. It's not here."

He makes a big gaffe, though. He thinks he's going to be speaking to Biden in October, at the debates.

We'll see about that.


digg this
posted by Ace at 08:52 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Bertram Cabot, Jr.: " [i]So this means goodbye any chance of OCare rep ..."

In Vino Veritits: "277 Negative vibes attract demons. And release ..."

Anon Y. Mous: ">>>What Moore, as well as his wife, lawyer, and cl ..."

lousagirl: "1504 Hikaru yes sadly it really is ..."

redbanzai: "I said border security first. You've ignored that ..."

westminsterdogshow........GNAMM ette: "Hat? Seriously you call 306 to 237 close? Dude? ..."

Reality Man: "Reading this high school nonsense... I mean these ..."

Infidel: "Hillary will never be President. ..."

sven10077: "1501 Posted by: davedavdavarf at December 12, 2017 ..."

Froderick Wonkensteen: "Oh, you meant Gary? *************************** ..."

logprof: "Newest BPS video is called "Star Wars: The Last SJ ..."

JeremiadBullfrog: "306 Posted by: Donna&&&&&&&V. at December 12, 20 ..."

Recent Entries
Search


MuNuvians
Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
News/Chat
Archives
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64