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July 23, 2012

Doubling down: GOP wins big [Fritzworth]

All the way back on June 1st -- almost two months ago -- I put my marker down that Romney was going to win big this fall:

Not 1984 big, but so decisively as to preempt any Dem claims of voter irregularities and to forestall any Dem voter irregularities themselves. ("If it's not close, they can't cheat." -- Hugh Hewett)

I'm doubling down now. I believe that things are shaping up for this to be an even uglier election for the Dems than 2010 was in terms of (a) GOP/conservative enthusiasm, (b) Dem discouragement, and (c) a significant break in independent voting towards the GOP candidates.

As a consequence, I believe:

  • Romney will win big (as per my original post).
  • The GOP will not only hold onto the House, but they may actually add a seat or two.
  • The GOP will take the Senate.
  • The 2010 trend towards GOP control of statehouses and state legislatures will continue.

Yes, yes, I know -- don't get cocky. I'm not. But I have to say that the GOP national committee under Reince Priebus is the best I've ever seen it, period, and Romney has not only taken the gloves off but seems to be unwrapping the tape from his hands. Meanwhile, the Dems -- and in particular, the Obama campaign -- is just not gaining traction. I think the "blame Bush/GOP" schtick has finally expired, just in time for the populace to put the blame for the current wretched economy squarely where it belongs.

I'd say pass the popcorn, but I plan to be in the thick of it, to continue to make financial donations (I have already) and to make donations of time as well. This is, IMHO, as critical an election as we've had in my lifetime -- and I'm nearly 60. Should be interesting. ..fritz..

ADDENDUM [2030 ET] One more data point that lends to my conclusion: my liberal friends on Facebook (and I have quite a few) seem to be getting a bit more, uh, desperate. When their best response to Romney's riff on Obama's "You didn't build that" gaffe is to dredge up a Romney quote to Olympic atheletes -- as if there's a direct parallel between athletes making it to the Olympics and the fundamental relationship between government and business -- you know things aren't going well. As I said: no real traction on the Left.

Oh, and dragonfly: I'll back up my marker with $1000. How's about you? ..fritz..

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posted by Open Blogger at 06:46 PM

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