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October 29, 2011

Des Moines Register Iowa Poll- Cain And Romney Basically Tied

Cain 23%, Romney 22%.

Cain has surged 13 percentage points since the first Iowa Poll of the caucus cycle, conducted in late June. His rise has come despite spending little time in Iowa recently, campaigning here just once since the Aug. 13 Iowa straw poll, where he placed fifth.

Likewise, Romney has campaigned in Iowa just three times this year, but he retains a core network of supporters from his near-constant presence in the state during his first presidential bid four years ago.

No one else is really even in the picture.

Paul is at 12%, Bachmann 8%, Perry and Gingrich are at 7% and Santorum brings up the rear at 5%.

A lot can happen in the next two months but if things stay this way, it will come down to the passion of Cain's supporters and Mitt's organization's ability to get people to come out in the cold 2 days after New Year.

Could Mitt more or less wrap this thing up by the end of January? I guess the upside to that is it would give us time to go through the stages of grieving and get to "#%$#@ acceptance" by November of next year.

Speaking of Romney and reconciling ourselves to his possible nomination...the George Will column that created a buzz yesterday is out. I'm not sure what the big deal is. It's nothing that has been said on this blog (in posts or comments) and every other righty blog for months, if not years.

Maybe it's a big deal because Will is more or less conservatives senior establishment columnist but so what? Will has the same problem a lot of us have...we loathe Romney but don't have a plausible alternative. You can't beat somebody with nobody.

I've joked before that if the economy is this bad by election day in 2012 we could run a ham sandwich and beat Obama. It appears that may very well be the plan at this point.


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posted by DrewM. at 08:27 PM

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