Republicans Cruising To Senate And Gubernatorial Victories in Wisconsin. So Says Kos' Pollster, PPP

Russ Feingold, the state's Democratic Governor and comment trolls hit hardest.

Republicans are headed for comfortable wins in Wisconsin's races for both Senator and Governor. Ron Johnson leads Russ Feingold 53-44 in the US Senate race and Scott Walker leads by an identical margin against Tom Barrett.

There are two major factors leading to the GOP's likely victory on Tuesday:

1) Wisconsin has one of the largest enthusiasm gaps of any state in the country. Although it appears Democrats will have turnout issues pretty much everywhere the problem is unusually severe in Wisconsin. Those saying they're likely to vote this fall report having voted for Barack Obama by only 3 points in 2008. He actually won the state by 14 points. This year's electorate in the state appears as though it will be very Republican friendly compared to the last few election cycles.

2) Barack Obama's popularity in Wisconsin has declined at a rate much faster than the rest of the country and the state's Democratic Governor is one of the most unpopular people holding his position anywhere in the country as well.

There was some concern that the Senate race might be tightening. Now? Not quite as much.

There's this guy you may have heard of named Winston Wolfe. He has a rule about not celebrating prematurely. Listen to him. He's wise. But you know, as we approach the end game, it's okay to enjoy the sites a little, smell the roses and taste the tears of liberals.

....

....

....

Alright, enough of that. Back to work.

Hey Cheeseheads....Dan Kapanke in WI-3 looks like he could use some help. RCP says the race is "leans Democrat". With the Democratic brand so battered in that state, these are the kind of seats we need to pick up. Maybe not for a majority but we'll definitely need it for 'back breaking and soul crushing'.

The NRCC is still in there swinging away so it's not a lost cause.

posted by DrewM. at 11:34 PM

| Access Comments