Sponsored Content




Intermarkets' Privacy Policy
Support


Donate to Ace of Spades HQ!



Recent Entries
Absent Friends
Bandersnatch 2024
GnuBreed 2024
Captain Hate 2023
moon_over_vermont 2023
westminsterdogshow 2023
Ann Wilson(Empire1) 2022
Dave In Texas 2022
Jesse in D.C. 2022
OregonMuse 2022
redc1c4 2021
Tami 2021
Chavez the Hugo 2020
Ibguy 2020
Rickl 2019
Joffen 2014
AoSHQ Writers Group
A site for members of the Horde to post their stories seeking beta readers, editing help, brainstorming, and story ideas. Also to share links to potential publishing outlets, writing help sites, and videos posting tips to get published. Contact OrangeEnt for info:
maildrop62 at proton dot me
Cutting The Cord And Email Security
Moron Meet-Ups

NoVaMoMe 2024: 06/08/2024
Arlington, VA
Details to follow


Texas MoMe 2024: 10/18/2024-10/19/2024 Corsicana,TX
Contact Ben Had for info





















« Attention All Bloggers: Pass This Along | Main | Break Their Backs, Take Their Lunch Money »
August 23, 2010

Geraghty: I'm Can't Say How Many Seats I Think The GOP Will Put Up So I Will Let Ace Put Words In My Mouth
Ace: He's Saying the Over-Under Is 69

Don't get cocky, and all of that.

69? Why not. "Tea Baggers" and everything.

Over at Hot Air, a link to The Hill deciding that fifteen Senate seats are now in play and only two of them are GOP seats.

And one of those is pure, unbridled liberal optimism: Rand Paul made this race a little more interesting that I might have liked, but he's buttoned-up and straight-laced now and the Democrats have about as good a chance of taking red Kentucky in this red-wave year as I have of having sex with a woman before I turn 30.

Yes, Florida, Florida, Florida... But damnit, Rubio's a great candidate, textbook-great, and Charlie Crist is an apricot Fig Newton.

Correction: Wrong! Four Republican seats are listed; I didn't notice Ohio and Missouri.

Those last two are silly, especially Missouri, but Brandon in Baton Rouge is right, I missed those. Look, they're just keeping some of these seats in there, and high on the list of "likely takeovers," no less, because... well, the reality is just too awful to bear.

Also at Hot Air, that interview with Democratic-leaning poll-guru Charlie Cook, where he keeps saying the GOP will gain 35-45 seats but then keeps adding "But really, it will be more."

This is that tendency I mentioned, about people finding comfort in making less-dramatic predictions than they really want to make; Charlie Cook keeps doing this, where he says "officially 35-45" and then adds, "Oh, but I'm being very conservative there and the chances of it being more than that are a lot higher than it being less."

He sort of wants credit for both predictions; he wants you to notice his conservative, comfortably-small prediction, but he also wants credit when his bigger real prediction comes through.

Bloodbath, baby.


Disclosure: AllahPundit promised to see "Jersey Boys" with me on Broadway, with Karol as a buffer, if I wrote a post linking Hot Air twice.


Oh:

Old and Busted: Republicans hope 2010 will be as about as bad for Democrats as 1994.

New Hotness: Democrats begin hoping 2010 will be about as bad for Democrats as 1994, and only that bad.



digg this
posted by Ace at 02:10 PM

| Access Comments




Recent Comments
Moron Robbie - If this is how Georgia hires attorneys, imagine how they manage elections: "I think it was grump928 who made an outstanding po ..."

Don Black: "is everyone over on the main page, slapping f5 lik ..."

JackStraw: ">>The long-shredded pretense to impartiality is su ..."

Moron Robbie - If this is how Georgia hires attorneys, imagine how they manage elections: "Wakandyass it is! ..."

Don Black: "NYR 0 COL 0 end 1st p 🏒 ..."

Alberta Oil Peon: "If the Wakandians hadn't been isolationists then t ..."

Puddleglum at work: "[i]173 167 I’ve often speculated that the re ..."

Moron Robbie - If this is how Georgia hires attorneys, imagine how they manage elections: "If the Wakandians hadn't been isolationists then t ..."

Ciampino - Bloody 'experts' again ...: "158 For being the alleged "birthplace of civilizat ..."

sock_rat_eez - these lying bastardi e stronzi have been lying to us for decades [/b][/u][/i][/s]: "got to have a spread of alternatives, amirite? ..."

Bulgaroctonus : "167 I’ve often speculated that the reason th ..."

Hairyback Guy: "Anita Bryant > All Other Female Crooners ..."

Recent Entries
Search


Polls! Polls! Polls!
Frequently Asked Questions
The (Almost) Complete Paul Anka Integrity Kick
Top Top Tens
Greatest Hitjobs

The Ace of Spades HQ Sex-for-Money Skankathon
A D&D Guide to the Democratic Candidates
Margaret Cho: Just Not Funny
More Margaret Cho Abuse
Margaret Cho: Still Not Funny
Iraqi Prisoner Claims He Was Raped... By Woman
Wonkette Announces "Morning Zoo" Format
John Kerry's "Plan" Causes Surrender of Moqtada al-Sadr's Militia
World Muslim Leaders Apologize for Nick Berg's Beheading
Michael Moore Goes on Lunchtime Manhattan Death-Spree
Milestone: Oliver Willis Posts 400th "Fake News Article" Referencing Britney Spears
Liberal Economists Rue a "New Decade of Greed"
Artificial Insouciance: Maureen Dowd's Word Processor Revolts Against Her Numbing Imbecility
Intelligence Officials Eye Blogs for Tips
They Done Found Us Out, Cletus: Intrepid Internet Detective Figures Out Our Master Plan
Shock: Josh Marshall Almost Mentions Sarin Discovery in Iraq
Leather-Clad Biker Freaks Terrorize Australian Town
When Clinton Was President, Torture Was Cool
What Wonkette Means When She Explains What Tina Brown Means
Wonkette's Stand-Up Act
Wankette HQ Gay-Rumors Du Jour
Here's What's Bugging Me: Goose and Slider
My Own Micah Wright Style Confession of Dishonesty
Outraged "Conservatives" React to the FMA
An On-Line Impression of Dennis Miller Having Sex with a Kodiak Bear
The Story the Rightwing Media Refuses to Report!
Our Lunch with David "Glengarry Glen Ross" Mamet
The House of Love: Paul Krugman
A Michael Moore Mystery (TM)
The Dowd-O-Matic!
Liberal Consistency and Other Myths
Kepler's Laws of Liberal Media Bias
John Kerry-- The Splunge! Candidate
"Divisive" Politics & "Attacks on Patriotism" (very long)
The Donkey ("The Raven" parody)
Powered by
Movable Type 2.64